The Expected Value

Product EV and P/E history
Compare same-day sealed and modeled values

This tool plots daily modeled EV and same-day sealed-price/opened-EV ratios using the selected pricing model, historical source, and sift assumption. Use it to see whether modeled value is trending up, fading, or diverging from sealed prices before deciding to buy, hold, or sell. The table includes sets released on or after Jan 1, 2025.

Products 14
History points 1110
First date 2026-08-01
Latest date 2026-10-29

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A server-selected 10% preview sample is sent to the browser. Where sorting or filtering is available, it applies only to that sample. Full paid rows are not sent until you log in with the ProTool Tier or higher on Patreon.

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Select products

Choose a set, then choose a product to add it to the chart and table. The prepared browsing window covers the last 90 days.

P/E points require sealed price and modeled opened EV on the same date, with matching currency and the selected source, pricing model, and sift. Persisted sifts are applied only after modeled contents are drawn; this page selects an already-generated sift slice.

Modeled opened-value edge after fees excludes labor, listing time, inventory aging, sell-through, and realized cash.

EV Over Time

Add a product to plot its EV over time.

Full range

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Add a product to plot EV over time.

Historical P/E

Changes use the nearest valid same-day ratio observation at or before each comparison date. The actual observation date is shown.

Historical P/E summaries are available with full ProTools access.

Products

Each row is one added product. Graph toggles control which rows stay plotted; product links use our affiliate tracking.

Advertising disclosure: The Expected Value may earn commissions from qualifying purchases made through affiliate links. Programs used by the site include TCGplayer, Mana Pool, Miniature Market through LinkConnector, the eBay Partner Network, and Amazon Associates. As an Amazon Associate, The Expected Value earns from qualifying purchases.

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Product EV history and price-to-EV durability by product
Graph