Terms of Service
The Expected Value LLC

1) Agreement to Terms

By accessing or using our website, calculators, and related content, you agree to be bound by these Terms. If you do not agree, please do not use the site.

We may update these Terms from time to time. We will update the date above and post material changes prominently on the site before or when they take effect. Where applicable law requires renewed consent, we will request it. Continued use after the effective date of an otherwise valid update means you accept the revised Terms.

2) Product, pricing, and calculator information

We strive to provide accurate, useful information, but we do not guarantee that simulation results, calculations, pricing, product descriptions, availability, release dates, or related content are complete, current, or error-free.

Data on our site may come from third-party sources. All figures and outputs are provided for informational purposes only. You should confirm final prices, details, and availability directly with stores, marketplaces, and distributors.

Our calculator methodology simulates pack contents first and applies sift/filter thresholds only after pack contents are drawn. Even with that modeling approach, real-world outcomes can vary materially.

Some tools may be offered as paid features. Fees, taxes, renewal terms, cancellation windows, and any refund policies should be reviewed at the point of purchase before starting or renewing paid access.

Products sold directly by The Expected Value are also subject to our Refund Policy.

3) ProTools paid access

"ProTools" refers to the analytics and data tools located in the /tools/ section of the site. ProTools access unlocks the full tools experience that may otherwise appear in preview mode.

ProTools access is available to Patreon members at the ProTool Tier or higher, as determined through Patreon account authentication. We may also provide access to specific early supporters, administrative users, or page-specific allowlisted accounts.

Patreon processes ProTools membership payments. Pricing, taxes, billing cadence, automatic renewal terms, cancellation steps, and refund handling are governed by the purchase flow and policies presented by Patreon. You are responsible for managing or canceling your Patreon membership through Patreon.

If your Patreon membership is canceled, lapses, is refunded, or no longer qualifies for ProTools access, access to the full tools experience may end. We may change, limit, suspend, or discontinue ProTools features as the site and data sources evolve.

4) Intellectual property, trademarks, and site use restrictions

Unless otherwise noted, site content (including text, graphics, logos, downloadable files, and calculator presentation) is owned by The Expected Value LLC and protected by applicable intellectual property laws.

Third-party names, game titles, trademarks, and logos appearing on the site are the property of their respective owners. Their presence does not imply ownership by or affiliation with The Expected Value LLC unless explicitly stated.

You agree not to crawl, scrape, or spider the site without our prior written permission. This restriction does not prohibit conventional search engines from indexing public pages when they comply with our robots.txt, rate limits, and published indexing directives.

If you submit suggestions, ideas, or feedback, you grant us a non-exclusive, worldwide, royalty-free right to use, reproduce, modify, publish, and distribute that feedback without compensation.

5) Videos and livestreams by creators

You may show, record, and discuss our publicly accessible pages in your own videos and livestreams, including content supported by ads or sponsors, without asking us first. This includes screenshots, screen recordings, calculator demonstrations, and brief quotations of our explanatory text in tutorials, reviews, commentary, or criticism. We welcome honest coverage. A link to the page you show is appreciated but is not required for this permission.

This permission applies only to material The Expected Value LLC owns or can authorize. Card artwork and images, game titles and logos, publisher materials, marketplace content, and other third-party material remain subject to their respective owners' rights and terms. We cannot grant permission on their behalf. Please review the applicable rules for any third-party material you feature, particularly when making thumbnails or other standalone graphics.

Do not suggest that we sponsor or endorse your content unless we have agreed to that separately. Do not expose another person's private account information. This permission does not allow scraping, bulk downloading, redistribution of site data or assets, or republishing the site as a standalone product; the site use restrictions above still apply. For uses outside this section or to arrange a sponsorship by us, contact contact@theexpectedvalue.com.

6) Disclaimer of warranties, limitation of liability, and indemnification

The site and all related services and content are provided on an "as is" and "as available" basis. To the maximum extent permitted by law, we disclaim all express and implied warranties, including implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and non-infringement.

To the maximum extent permitted by law, The Expected Value LLC will not be liable for indirect, incidental, special, consequential, exemplary, or punitive damages, or for any loss of profits, revenue, data, goodwill, or business interruption arising from your use of the site.

You agree to defend, indemnify, and hold harmless The Expected Value LLC, its affiliates, and their officers, directors, employees, and agents from and against any claims, liabilities, damages, losses, and expenses (including reasonable attorneys' fees) arising from your use of the site, your violation of these Terms, or your violation of any third-party rights.

Some jurisdictions do not allow certain warranty exclusions or liability limitations. In those jurisdictions, portions of this section may not apply to you, and you may have additional rights.

7) Related policies and order of control

Our Privacy Policy controls how personal information is handled. The User Agreement controls Manafolio account data and account features. Checkout terms and the Refund Policy control a direct purchase from The Expected Value. If those documents conflict with these general Terms on the same subject, the more specific document controls that subject.

8) Contact

Questions about these Terms can be sent to contact@theexpectedvalue.com.