Yu-Gi-Oh! / Special Edition Box

Magnificent Monsters Box EV Calculator

Estimate this physical product's no-chase expected value with a product-, region-, language-, and printing-specific model, then compare the modeled range with your entered cost. Estimated ROI is a planning metric, not a guaranteed return.

Model assumptions & evidence

Simulation order: complete product contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied only after the draw, and filtered outcomes are never replaced or backfilled.

Release
September 4, 2026
Market scope
en / North America / English North America — 1st Edition
Default singles price
TCGplayer Low
Model basis
Publisher collation

Calculator Settings

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Price and Sift

EV RangeMonte CarloAdvanced

Purchase EV

Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.

Sealed Price / EV

Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.

Low sealed marketplace price compared with the current Mid break-even price.
MarketplaceProduct priceBreak-even priceP/EBasis

Simulation Results

Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.

Confidence band: --

Modeled contribution mix

Card Value Breakdown

See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.

Waiting for modeled rows

Card contribution data appears after prices load.Contents are drawn first; included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied afterward.
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidencePublisher collationReviewed October 5, 2026 Price coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline3 chase families excluded

Generated model: /data-static/yugioh/magnificent-monsters/models/magnificent-monsters-box.json

Publisher collation

Evidence

This calculator is based on Publisher collation reviewed October 5, 2026.

Sources

Limitations

  • Publisher-backed slot counts; equal positive card weights within each retained ordinary pool are an explicit modeling assumption. Konami does not publish card-sheet weights or short-print distributions.
  • Exact C/D/E membership is corroborated by the versioned English checklist, not inferred from collector-number ranges or rarity counts. The third-party assignments are distinct from Konami’s slot-count evidence.
  • Chase-excluded estimate: serialized Grand Master Rare and all Starlight Rare versions are absent. Extended Art Ultra upgrades for 001–018 are also absent because Konami gives no exact aggregate rate. The ordinary Extended Art-only Ultra identities 019/020 remain in Pool A.
  • Chibi and ordinary variant-art cards are included in their publisher-defined ordinary pools; those treatments alone do not make them unsupported chase cards.
  • All three five-card packs plus one Secret Rare from each of the three bonus pools are drawn, for 18 cards per box. Bonus cards are outside pack EV. Exclusions normalize eligible outcomes before drawing; Sift and user filters apply afterward without reroll or backfill.
  • Independent pool/card draws approximate factory collation. No box/case guarantee, correlation, empirical sample, or inherited-rate proxy is claimed.
  • Exact pricing identity is TCGplayer 715291 (one box), not 694826 (a display) or 715292 (a loose pack).

Local price snapshots

Pricing

TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.

Row coverage (reviewed)
100.0%
Modeled mass coverage (reviewed)
100.0%
Coverage observed
October 5, 2026
Low-price source
Available Via Tcgcsv

No catalog-level price fallbacks are recorded. Runtime gaps are disclosed below when data loads.

TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.

Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.

No-chase model

Chase Exclusions

Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.

  • Serialized Grand Master Rare
  • Starlight Rare upgrades with unpublished rates
  • Extended Art Ultra Rare upgrades for MAMO-EN001 through MAMO-EN018 with unpublished rates

Product snapshot

Modeled Product Structure

Cards per pack
5
Packs per box
3
Draw order
Complete draw, then filters

All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Magnificent Monsters Box

Product profile. This box resolves 18 card positions across 146 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated October 5, 2026 contains 120 Ultra Rare, 26 Secret Rare. Its largest slot groups are 40 pool c, 20 pool a, 20 pool b, 20 pool d, 20 pool e. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Crystron Halqifibrax Prism #MAMO-EN126 (0.167 expected per box), Galaxy Eyes Antimatter Dragon #MAMO-EN124 (0.167 expected per box), Infernal Strike Fighter #MAMO-EN123 (0.167 expected per box), Nightmare Eyes Restrict #MAMO-EN122 (0.167 expected per box), Ruler of the End of the World #MAMO-EN121 (0.167 expected per box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. A Bao A Qu the Lightless Shadow (Chibi Art) #MAMO-EN038, A Bao A Qu the Lightless Shadow Secret Rare (Chibi Art) #MAMO-EN038, Ancient Warriors Oath Double Dragon Lords #MAMO-EN088, Archfiend Matriarch #MAMO-EN070, Assault Blackwing Kusanagi the Gathering Storm Secret Rare #MAMO-EN026, Astrograph Sorcerer the Starfrost Magician #MAMO-EN015, Crowley the Gifted Magistus #MAMO-EN059, Wind Unicorn Parallel the Dracoslayer #MAMO-EN125, Dark Magician the Pharaohs Servant #MAMO-EN001. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Low snapshot dated October 5, 2026, 146 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Sky Striker Mecha Widow Anchor Extended Art (Extended Art) #MAMO-EN019 ($10.35), Sky Striker Mobilize Linkage Extended Art (Extended Art) #MAMO-EN020 ($10.13), Dark Magical Curtain #MAMO-EN003 ($0.93), Dark Magician the Pharaohs Servant #MAMO-EN001 ($0.30), Cyberse Contract Witch #MAMO-EN018 ($0.17). Together those five rows account for 92.9% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Pack & Special Edition Box EV

Pack and per-product Low, Mid, and High expected value ranges from one recalculation. Each physical unit is simulated separately. Fractional display-rate slots are coupled as needed to keep the full pack card count and preserve expected slot weights; factory pack correlations remain an approximation.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV (3 packs + 3 bonus cards, gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Seller fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after purchase$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price (Mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Estimated ROI

Purchase Low, Mid, and High EV and estimated ROI values from the same recalculated simulation.
MetricLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
Modeled ROI vs entered cost------

boxes: 0 · Price/box: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00

How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.

Expected contribution

Card Value Breakdown

Modeled card rows, current values, fees, and expected products per copy.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValueSeller feesProducts / copy
Expected cards/box after toggles and Sift0.00
Preparing calculator...

The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.