THE EXPECTED VALUE / SPORTS

Before the rip.

Know what’s in the box.
Know what the numbers can tell you.

BOX CALCULATORS—Complete box simulations
CARD PRICESUNGRADEDPrices in US dollars
EXCLUDED FROM EVCHASE CARDSCase hits and 1/1s excluded

Box research

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The number has to earn its place.

Every box. Every eligible outcome.

01 / THE PRODUCT

Exact box, complete checklist.

Hobby, Jumbo and retail are different products. We review the publisher’s checklist, pack counts, bonus contents and odds for the exact format.

02 / THE MODEL

Construct. Draw. Then filter.

Ordinary numbered cards are included. Chase/case-hit families and 1/1s are removed before drawing. Eligible alternatives are normalized within the same slot to keep the full card count. Sift and user filters apply after the draw, with no reroll or backfill. Earlier calculators are labeled while their numbered-card inventories are updated.

03 / THE VALUE

Unpriced cards stay unsold.

A drawn card without a usable Raw price contributes $0 to sold-card EV. Its quote stays unavailable, and coverage reports actual usable prices. Current quotes retain their disclosed recency basis; comps, history and estimates remain separate evidence.