Chocobo Bundle EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of a Magic: The Gathering—FINAL FANTASY Chocobo Bundle using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots, published Play Booster rates, and the bundle's included extras. See also the FINAL FANTASY Play Booster box calculator.

Model assumptions & evidence

The bundle model combines fixed inserts (lands and promo), randomized bundle-specific pulls, and 10 simulated Play Booster openings. Simulations always draw full pack and insert contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.

Set theme: The Chocobo Bundle is themed around FINAL FANTASY’s mascot creatures and travel motifs, mixing crossover showcase collectibles with standard Play Booster opening value.

Bundle insert probabilities:
• Chocobo Track — Wizards publishes equal rates for all 20 cards (EV uses 2/20 per bundle). The simulation treats the two selections as independent because their joint collation is not specified.
• Scene Card — The 24 non-foil cards are modeled at equal rates (1/24 per bundle), an assumption where individual rates are not published.
10 Play Boosters 32 Landmark full-art basics (16 foil, 16 non-foil) 10 Chocobo track foil basic lands Promo Paradise Chocobo 2 random track borderless foils 1 random Scene Box card
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order is added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from generated card-prices snapshots. TCG, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket choices use the same card rows; EV applies Sift only after each pack's contents are drawn.
Rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if toggled on, and it is applied per card as packs are drawn (always use the stricter method).

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.
Low/High = central quantiles measured from Monte Carlo pack openings.

Purchase EV

Included setsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Sift is a price floor (USD): rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated bundle totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = bundle value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
10 Play Pack gross$0.00$0.00$0.00
Bundle non‑Play Booster cards (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per bundle (Purchase ÷ Bundles)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per bundle (Purchase ÷ Bundles)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per bundle (Purchase ÷ Bundles)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per bundle (Purchase ÷ Bundles)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break‑even price/bundle (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value, fees, net value, profit, and return across all selected bundles.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Bundles: 0 • Price/bundle: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Guaranteed bundle cards

  • Basic lands
    • 32 FINAL FANTASY Landmark full-art basic lands (16 traditional foil, 16 non-foil)
    • 10 special Chocobo track foil basic lands
  • Special cards
    • 1 traditional foil “Paradise Chocobo” promo card (Birds of Paradise reprint)
    • 2 random Chocobo track foil borderless cards
    • 1 random non-foil card from a 24-card FINAL FANTASY Scene Box pool (1 per bundle)

Content Snapshot

Chocobo Bundle Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Boosters
10 Play Boosters
Product detail
32 Landmark full-art basics (16 foil, 16 non-foil)
Product detail
10 Chocobo track foil basic lands
Rows
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Product Structure

This Chocobo Bundle is modeled from the complete product components listed below.

Play Boosters10 Play Boosters
Complete modeled contents are drawn before included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied as scoring filters.
Basic Lands32 Landmark full-art basics (16 foil, 16 non-foil)
This component remains governed by the calculator's existing product-specific model.
Basic Lands10 Chocobo track foil basic lands
This component remains governed by the calculator's existing product-specific model.
PromosPromo Paradise Chocobo
This component remains governed by the calculator's existing product-specific model.
Borderless Foils2 random track borderless foils
This component remains governed by the calculator's existing product-specific model.
Scene Cards1 random Scene Box card
This component remains governed by the calculator's existing product-specific model.

Future EV calculations should draw all 10 Play Boosters, fixed lands, the random Chocobo Bundle cards, the fixed Paradise Chocobo promo, and the random Scene Box card first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic after the draw.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Showing all cards
Card-level expected value rows for the Chocobo Bundle model.
Name Set Card # Rarity Treatment Value Seller fees Bundles / copy
Total (Expected copies / bundle) — included pools & Sift 0.00
Expected / bundle0.00