Yu-Gi-Oh! / Booster Box
Quarter Century Stampede Booster Box EV Calculator
Estimate this physical product's no-chase expected value with a product-, region-, language-, and printing-specific model, then compare the modeled range with your entered cost. Estimated ROI is a planning metric, not a guaranteed return.
Model assumptions & evidence
Simulation order: complete product contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied only after the draw, and filtered outcomes are never replaced or backfilled.
- Release
- April 11, 2025
- Market scope
- en / North America / English North America
- Default singles price
- TCGplayer Low
- Model basis
- Publisher collation
Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.
Sealed Price / EV
Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.
| Marketplace | Product price | Break-even price | P/E | Basis |
|---|
Simulation Results
Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.
Confidence band: --
Modeled contribution mix
Card Value Breakdown
See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.
Waiting for modeled rows
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidencePublisher collationReviewed October 5, 2026 Price coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline2 chase families excluded
Generated model: /data-static/yugioh/quarter-century-stampede/models/quarter-century-stampede-booster-box.json
Publisher collation
Evidence
This calculator is based on Publisher collation reviewed October 5, 2026.
Sources
- Quarter Century Stampede North America product and pack chart - Konami Digital Entertainment, Inc. (accessed 2026-10-05)
- Pack rarity table linked directly by the North America Stampede page - Konami Digital Entertainment, Inc. (accessed 2026-10-05)
- North America 24-pack display, matching UPC 083717867463 - Target (accessed 2026-10-05)
- Exact Quarter Century Stampede 1st Edition identities and Low prices - TCGCSV (accessed 2026-10-05) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Stampede retained no-chase pool classification and equal-within-pool assumptions - The Expected Value (accessed 2026-10-05)
Limitations
- Chase-excluded conditional estimate, not a factory-exact opening forecast. Each pack models one Super Rare, two Ultra Rares, one core Secret Rare and one nostalgia Platinum Secret Rare: 5 cards per pack, 120 per 24-pack box.
- The North America product page directly links the Bonanza rarity chart. Core Ultimate/Collector upgrades and core Platinum/Quarter Century upgrades are removed before drawing and their slots normalized to the retained ordinary rarity. The dedicated nostalgia slot is separately normalized to its 200 Platinum identities after removing Quarter Century outcomes. No nostalgia card is substituted with a core Secret Rare.
- Individual card sheet weights are unpublished. Every exact eligible 1st Edition SKU has an explicit equal positive 1/1 weight within its own pool. This is a disclosed repository-policy modeling assumption, not publisher probabilities inferred from rarity counts.
- The current exact identity snapshot contains 81 ordinary core identities in each retained rarity and 200 nostalgia Platinum identities. These are recipient-specific pools; no Bonanza card, price or pool is copied.
- No excluded premium probability is invented. This retained no-chase universe needs no undisclosed nostalgia Platinum-versus-Quarter Century split. No box/case guarantee or correlation is assumed.
- Draw all 120 modeled cards before applying Sift or user filters. Filters never reroll or backfill a rejected card.
- QCS is the North America publisher product identifier and calculator code; printed collector numbers and the exact TCGCSV group abbreviation are RA04.
Local price snapshots
Pricing
Historical Low-price review: these figures describe the printing pool and observation date used for the original review. They do not establish current price availability or completeness of a later corrected model. Current selected-source coverage is shown separately after loading.
TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.
- Row coverage (historical review)
- 100.0%
- Modeled mass coverage (historical review)
- 100.0%
- Coverage observed
- October 5, 2026
- Low-price source
- Available Via Tcgcsv
No catalog-level price fallbacks are recorded. Runtime gaps are disclosed below when data loads.
TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.
Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.
No-chase model
Chase Exclusions
Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.
- Quarter Century Secret Rare including QCR-only variant art
- Core premium upgrades with unpublished retained splits
Product snapshot
Modeled Product Structure
- Cards per pack
- 5
- Packs per box
- 24
- Draw order
- Complete draw, then filters
All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.
Release-specific model analysis
What drives Quarter Century Stampede Booster Box
Product profile. This box resolves 120 card positions across 443 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated October 5, 2026 contains 200 Platinum Secret Rare, 81 Secret Rare, 81 Super Rare, 81 Ultra Rare. Its largest slot groups are 200 nostalgia platinum, 81 secret rare, 81 super rare, 81 ultra rare. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.
Largest modeled weights. A Hero Lives UR #RA04-EN087 (0.593 expected per box), Aleister the Invoker Alternate Art UR (Alternate Art) #RA04-EN024 (0.593 expected per box), Amphibious Swarmship Amblowhale UR #RA04-EN077 (0.593 expected per box), Apprentice Illusion Magician UR #RA04-EN023 (0.593 expected per box), Archfiend Eccentrick UR #RA04-EN017 (0.593 expected per box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.
Release-specific card examples. A Hero Lives #RA04-EN087, A Hero Lives Secret Rare #RA04-EN087, ABC Dragon Buster Platinum Secret Rare #RA04-EN271, Ash Blossom and Joyous Spring Alternate Art UR (Alternate Art) #RA04-EN025, Mystic Piper #RA04-EN005, Mystic Piper Secret Rare #RA04-EN005, Mystic Piper UR #RA04-EN005, Esper Girl #RA04-EN006. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.
Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Low snapshot dated October 5, 2026, 443 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Mulcharmy Fuwalos UR #RA04-EN050 ($5.10), Mulcharmy Fuwalos Secret Rare #RA04-EN050 ($3.56), Mulcharmy Fuwalos #RA04-EN050 ($2.67), Metamorphosis Platinum Secret Rare #RA04-EN123 ($1.56), Dark Magician Girl 7th Art Platinum Secret Rare #RA04-EN107 ($1.53). Together those five rows account for 36.5% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.
The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.
Pack & Booster Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Booster Box EV × 24 packs (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Seller fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after purchase | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break-even price (Mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Estimated ROI
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Modeled ROI vs entered cost | -- | -- | -- |
boxes: 0 · Price/box: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00
How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.
Expected contribution
Card Value Breakdown
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Products / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected cards/box after toggles and Sift | 0.00 | ||||||
| All modeled game-card rows | 0.00 | ||||||
| Gap to modeled card total | 0.00 | ||||||
The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.