Yu-Gi-Oh! / Booster Display

World Championship 2026 Booster Display EV Calculator

Estimate this physical product's no-chase expected value with a product-, region-, language-, and printing-specific model, then compare the modeled range with your entered cost. Estimated ROI is a planning metric, not a guaranteed return.

Model assumptions & evidence

Simulation order: complete product contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied only after the draw, and filtered outcomes are never replaced or backfilled.

Release
August 29, 2026
Market scope
en / North America / English North American release; manufacturing wave undisclosed
Default singles price
TCGplayer Low
Model basis
Best Evidence — Owner-approved ordinary display model

Calculator Settings

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Price and Sift

EV RangeMonte CarloAdvanced

Purchase EV

Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.

Sealed Price / EV

Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.

Low sealed marketplace price compared with the current Mid break-even price.
MarketplaceProduct priceBreak-even priceP/EBasis

Simulation Results

Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.

Confidence band: --

Modeled contribution mix

Card Value Breakdown

See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.

Waiting for modeled rows

Card contribution data appears after prices load.Contents are drawn first; included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied afterward.
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidenceBest Evidence — Owner-approved ordinary display modelReviewed October 5, 2026 Price coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline4 chase families excluded

Generated model: /data-static/yugioh/limited-pack-world-championship-2026/models/booster-display-owner-model-no-chase.json

Best Evidence — Owner-approved ordinary display model

Evidence

This calculator is based on Best Evidence — Owner-approved ordinary display model reviewed October 5, 2026.

Sources

Limitations

  • Best Evidence — Owner-approved ordinary display model: 3 Ultra Rare and 1 Secret Rare per four-card pack, ten packs per display. Explicitly approved by the repository owner October 5, 2026. These are modeling assumptions, not publisher odds, measured pull rates, a Japanese donor recipe or factory guarantees.
  • Equal positive weights within each exact English rarity pool are assumed because individual print-sheet weights are unpublished. Draws are independent; no short-print weights, within-box placement, duplicate restrictions or box/case correlations are claimed.
  • Unsupported premium and serialized cards and branches are removed before baseline construction. Normalize retained outcomes, fill every physical position, draw the complete 40-card display, then apply Sift and user filters without reroll or backfill. No chase probability or zero-EV occupied outcome is retained.
  • Exact English North American product/card identities and positive TCGplayer Low prices are retained. Row and expected-count mass coverage must both remain complete. New inventory or credible contradictory collation requires re-review.
  • Ordinary Ultra and Secret pools each contain twenty exact 1st Edition SKUs. All forty logo parallels, six Ukiyo-e variants including Monster Reborn Secret, and Starlight Monster Reborn are excluded. No 2025 WCS or Battles of Legend rates are inherited.

Local price snapshots

Pricing

TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.

Row coverage (reviewed)
100.0%
Modeled mass coverage (reviewed)
100.0%
Coverage observed
October 5, 2026
Low-price source
Available Via Tcgcsv

No catalog-level price fallbacks are recorded. Runtime gaps are disclosed below when data loads.

TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.

Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.

No-chase model

Chase Exclusions

Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.

  • Ukiyo-e variant art
  • Starlight Rare
  • World Championship logo parallel
  • Serialized cards

Basis: Unsupported premium and serialized cards and branches are removed before baseline construction. Normalize retained outcomes, fill every physical position, draw the complete 40-card display, then apply Sift and user filters without reroll or backfill. No chase probability or zero-EV occupied outcome is retained.

Product snapshot

Modeled Product Structure

Cards per pack
4
Packs per display
10
Draw order
Complete draw, then filters

All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives World Championship 2026 Booster Display

Product profile. This display resolves 40 card positions across 40 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated October 5, 2026 contains 20 Secret Rare, 20 Ultra Rare. Its largest slot groups are 20 ordinary secret, 20 ordinary ultra. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. A Case for K9 #26LP-EN011 (1.50 expected per display), Allied Code Talker Ignister #26LP-EN019 (1.50 expected per display), Ame no Murakumo no Mitsurugi #26LP-EN021 (1.50 expected per display), Dracotail Arthalion #26LP-EN003 (1.50 expected per display), Dracotail Faimena #26LP-EN002 (1.50 expected per display). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. A Case for K9 Secret Rare #26LP-EN011, Exosister Elis #26LP-EN016, Dracotail Faimena Secret Rare #26LP-EN002, Dracotail Arthalion Secret Rare #26LP-EN003, Ketu Dracotail #26LP-EN004, Ketu Dracotail Secret Rare #26LP-EN004, YummySnatchy #26LP-EN005, YummySnatchy Secret Rare #26LP-EN005. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Low snapshot dated October 5, 2026, 40 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Dracotail Arthalion Secret Rare #26LP-EN003 ($0.47), Lunalight Silver Hound Secret Rare #26LP-EN012 ($0.35), K9 17 Ripper Secret Rare #26LP-EN010 ($0.28), Vanquish Soul Jiaolong Secret Rare #26LP-EN009 ($0.25), Dracotail Arthalion #26LP-EN003 ($0.22). Together those five rows account for 27.2% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Pack & Booster Display EV

Pack and per-product Low, Mid, and High expected value ranges from one recalculation. Each physical unit is simulated separately. Fractional display-rate slots are coupled as needed to keep the full pack card count and preserve expected slot weights; factory pack correlations remain an approximation.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Booster Display EV × 10 packs (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Seller fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after purchase$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price (Mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Estimated ROI

Purchase Low, Mid, and High EV and estimated ROI values from the same recalculated simulation.
MetricLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
Modeled ROI vs entered cost------

displays: 0 · Price/display: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00

How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.

Expected contribution

Card Value Breakdown

Modeled card rows, current values, fees, and expected products per copy.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValueSeller feesProducts / copy
Expected cards/display after toggles and Sift0.00
Preparing calculator...

The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.