Best evidence · No-chase model
Girls Band Cry Booster Display EV Calculator
Estimate this sealed product with an evidence-backed, no-chase model and compare its recalculated Low, Mid, and High range with your entered cost.
Best evidence / no chase
- Release
- January 23, 2026
- Product
- Booster Display
- Singles pricing
- TCGplayer Low
- Model
- Best evidence / no chase
Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.
Sealed Price / EV
Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.
| Marketplace | Product price | Break-even price | P/E | Basis |
|---|
Simulation Results
Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.
Confidence band: --
Modeled contribution mix
Card Value Breakdown
See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.
Waiting for modeled rows
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidencePublisher recipe + model assumptionReviewed July 24, 2026 Historical Low-price review100.0% modeled mass100.0% historical rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline2 chase families excluded
Generated model: /data-static/weiss-schwarz/pb-gbc/models/booster-display-empirical-no-chase.json
Publisher recipe + model assumption
Evidence
This calculator is based on Publisher recipe + model assumption reviewed July 24, 2026.
Sources
- Girls Band Cry - archived official English product page - Bushiroad (accessed 2026-07-22)
- TCGCSV Weiss Schwarz category groups - TCGCSV (accessed 2026-07-22) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- TCGCSV Girls Band Cry Premium Booster products - TCGCSV (accessed 2026-07-22) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Owner-directed Weiss Schwarz ordinary-pool best-evidence classification - The Expected Value (accessed 2026-07-24)
Limitations
- Bushiroad publishes the physical recipe: 4 cards per pack, 6 packs per display, and 30 displays per carton.
- Bushiroad lists 69 normal card types and 80 parallel card types. Type counts do not establish pull probabilities, replacement rules, per-display guarantees, or within-pool card weights.
- The reviewed publisher territory includes the United States and Canada. This record does not generalize rates to other English territories.
- Exact premium pack and display identities.
- Modeling policy approved 2026-07-24: every supported ordinary card in the same slot, rarity, treatment, and finish pool receives one equal positive selection weight. This is a transparent modeling assumption where the publisher or empirical sample gives pool odds but not card-level sheet weights.
- No-chase policy approved 2026-07-24: signed, serialized, hot-stamped, premium, special, secret-plus, parallel, promotional, and equivalent chase cards and branches do not exist in this model. The exact physical card count is drawn only from the supported ordinary pool; there is no simulated chase hit, zero-EV occupied outcome, redraw, backfill, or renormalization.
- Simulation ordering is draw the complete disclosed no-chase product first, record that draw, and only then apply Sift or another user filter. Sift never changes or backfills the completed modeled draw.
- Best-evidence Weiss Schwarz baseline approved 2026-07-24: the publisher's exact cards-per-pack and packs-per-display are modeled as ordinary draws from the exact English TCGCSV normal-card pool. This is a transparent assumption-based estimate, not a claim about factory rarity collation, replacement rules, display guarantees, or pack correlation.
- When multiple ordinary physical variants share one published card number, their positive weights divide one card-number weight equally so variants do not inflate the publisher's normal-card type count.
Local price snapshots
Pricing
TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.
- Row coverage (reviewed)
- 100.0%
- Modeled mass coverage (reviewed)
- 100.0%
- Coverage observed
- August 30, 2026
- Low-price source
- Available Via Tcgcsv
These historical Low-price review figures do not establish current TCGplayer Market coverage or full-product Market EV. Actual generated Low quotes and current selected-source coverage are shown separately after loading; missing ordinary-card quotes remain unavailable.
TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.
Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.
No-chase model
Chase Exclusions
Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.
This Girls Band Cry Premium Booster scenario draws 24 ordinary Standard Frame, Non-Foil cards across six four-card packs. The published 69 Normal types receive equal ordinary weights as a documented modeling assumption; the 80 GBCR, SP, and SEC+ parallel printings are excluded before drawing. Separate TE trial-deck and PE promotional printings are outside this product scenario. This is not a factory foil-frequency or guaranteed-collation claim.
- Cards outside the supported ordinary recipe
- Special printings excluded by the documented premium, parallel, trial-deck, promotional, or outside-ordinary scope; price availability alone does not determine eligibility.
Product snapshot
Modeled Product Structure
- Cards per pack
- 4
- Packs per booster display
- 6
- Booster Displays per case
- 30
- Draw order
- Complete draw, then filters
All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.
Release-specific model analysis
What drives Girls Band Cry Booster Display
Product profile. This booster display resolves 24 card positions across 69 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated August 30, 2026 contains 69 Normal. Its largest slot groups are 69 normal. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.
Largest modeled weights. A Stage Not Stood On Alone Rupa (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E40 N (0.348 expected per booster display), A Stage to Stand on Seriously Tomo (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E13 N (0.348 expected per booster display), A Way That Allows Freedom Momoka (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E25 N (0.348 expected per booster display), A Way That Shines Ai (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E62 N (0.348 expected per booster display), A Way That Shines Nana (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E59 N (0.348 expected per booster display). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.
Release-specific card examples. A Way That Shines Rin (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E54 N, Running Through Kawasaki Nina (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E01 N, TOGENASHIs Day Off Subaru (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E02 N, TOGENASHI TOGEARI Nina (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E03 N, ShinkawasakiTBA Momoka (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E04 N, Undecided Band Name Momoka (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E05 N, Liar Subaru (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E06 N, Undine Tomo (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E07 N. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.
Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Low snapshot dated August 30, 2026, 69 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Emptiness and Catharsis (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E51 N ($2.32), Liars True Feelings Subaru (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E11 N ($1.86), A Stage Not Stood On Alone Rupa (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E40 N ($1.22), A Stage to Stand on Seriously Tomo (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E13 N ($0.98), TOGENASHI TOGEARI Nina (Standard Frame) #GCR/SE48-E03 N ($0.94). Together those five rows account for 22.7% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.
The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.
Pack & Booster Display EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Booster Display EV × 6 packs (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Seller fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after purchase | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break-even price (Mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Estimated ROI
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Modeled ROI vs entered cost | -- | -- | -- |
booster displays: 0 · Price/booster display: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00
How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.
Expected contribution
Card Value Breakdown
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Products / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected cards/booster display after toggles and Sift | 0.00 | ||||||
| All modeled game-card rows | 0.00 | ||||||
| Gap to modeled card total | 0.00 | ||||||
The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.