Best evidence · No-chase model

GODDESS OF VICTORY: NIKKE Vol.2 Booster Display EV Calculator

Estimate this sealed product with an evidence-backed, no-chase model and compare its recalculated Low, Mid, and High range with your entered cost.

Model assumptions & evidence

Assumed equal weights across all 112 ordinary card identities, including different rarities. Opening ranges are model simulations, not verified factory collation.

Best evidence / no chase

Release
September 25, 2026
Product
Booster Display
Singles pricing
TCGplayer Low
Model
Best evidence / no chase

Calculator Settings

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Price and Sift

EV RangeMonte CarloAdvanced

Purchase EV

Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.

Sealed Price / EV

Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.

Low sealed marketplace price compared with the current Mid break-even price.
MarketplaceProduct priceBreak-even priceP/EBasis

Simulation Results

Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.

Confidence band: --

Modeled contribution mix

Card Value Breakdown

See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.

Waiting for modeled rows

Card contribution data appears after prices load.Contents are drawn first; included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied afterward.
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidencePublisher recipe + model assumptionReviewed September 26, 2026 Historical Low coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline1 chase family excluded

Generated model: /data-static/weiss-schwarz/bp-nik2/models/booster-display-empirical-no-chase.json

Publisher recipe + model assumption

Evidence

This calculator is based on Publisher recipe + model assumption reviewed September 26, 2026.

Sources

Limitations

  • Best Evidence — Assumed ordinary-card weights: the September 25, 2026 English release contains eight cards per pack, ten packs per display and twelve displays per carton. The display baseline contains eighty booster cards plus one separate nonfoil PR, for 81 modeled cards. Embedded pack EV contains eight cards and no display bonus.
  • The publisher lists 112 normal types: 12 Double Rare, 27 Rare, 30 Uncommon, 30 Common and 13 Climax Rare. All eighty booster positions use the exact English E001-E112 ordinary identities with assumed equal weights of 1/112. Type counts verify the checklist, not rarity probabilities. No complete English rarity ledger, sheet weights, box guarantees or case correlations are claimed. Independent simulated draws and their spread are assumptions, not measured factory collation.
  • The publisher guarantees one of 26 display PR variants (13 normal and 13 parallel). The no-chase baseline removes the thirteen foil variants before drawing, normalizes the retained nonfoil E113-E125 identities, and draws one with assumed equal 1/13 weights. This is a conditional nonfoil estimate; the actual normal-versus-parallel split is unknown. The guaranteed bonus position stays filled and its value is never prorated into pack EV.
  • The twelve E126S-E137S carton PRs and PE shop/event promos are outside this display model. No carton bonus or case price is prorated into a box. Reprints require a separate review of bonus inclusion and printing identity.
  • All AGR, SEC, SSP, SP, RRR, SR and other unsupported parallel/signed/premium outcomes are absent from the baseline. The first-edition AGR is excluded entirely. Normalize eligible ordinary and display-bonus pools before drawing the full product; apply Sift and user filters only afterward, without rerolling or backfilling rejected cards.
  • Every included exact English product ID, collector number, rarity and Normal-subtype TCGplayer Low must match the reviewed roster. Missing or zero Low values block publication rather than silently dropping cards. Vol.1 has a different twelve-pack display and supplies no Vol.2 rates or prices.

Local price snapshots

Pricing

TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.

Historical Low row coverage (reviewed)
100.0%
Historical Low modeled mass coverage (reviewed)
100.0%
Coverage observed
September 26, 2026
Low-price source
Available Via Tcgcsv

The original September 26, 2026 reviewed Low snapshot covers all 125 modeled rows. The retained audit snapshot has 117 reported Market rows and eight unavailable Market rows; those dated inputs do not establish complete Market EV. Runtime selected-source coverage is disclosed below.

TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.

Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.

No-chase model

Chase Exclusions

Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.

  • Parallel and premium printings, including the 13 foil display PR variants

Product snapshot

Modeled Product Structure

Cards per pack
8
Packs per booster display
10
Booster Displays per case
12
Draw order
Complete draw, then filters
Modeled contents
80 booster cards + 1 nonfoil display PR = 81 cards

All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives GODDESS OF VICTORY: NIKKE Vol.2 Booster Display

Product profile. This booster display resolves 81 card positions across 125 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated September 26, 2026 contains 30 Common, 30 Uncommon, 27 Rare, 13 Climax Rare, 13 Promo, 12 Double Rare. Its largest slot groups are 30 common, 30 uncommon, 27 rare, 13 climax rare, 13 promo. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. A World Coming Alive With Color #NIK/S135-E077 (0.714 expected per booster display), ABSOLUTE #NIK/S135-E082 (0.714 expected per booster display), Ade Agent Bunny #NIK/S135-E098 (0.714 expected per booster display), Aegis Cannon Helm #NIK/S135-E009 (0.714 expected per booster display), Alice Wonderland Bunny #NIK/S135-E075 (0.714 expected per booster display). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. ABSOLUTE PR #NIK/S135-E122, Almighty Muscle Rumani #NIK/S135-E101, Anchor Innocent Maid #NIK/S135-E008, Asceticism Nayuta #NIK/S135-E002, BEAUTY FULL SHOT #NIK/S135-E081, BOOM Install Neon #NIK/S135-E011, Elegg Boom and Shock #NIK/S135-E001, Protecting Your Hope Laplace #NIK/S135-E003. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Low snapshot dated September 26, 2026, 125 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Kill the Target D Killer Wife #NIK/S135-E029 ($2.14), Plot Spoiler Grave #NIK/S135-E028 ($1.61), Privaty Banquet Princess #NIK/S135-E083 ($1.21), Asceticism Nayuta #NIK/S135-E002 ($1.16), Noble King Who Protects the Kingdom Crown #NIK/S135-E057 ($1.07). Together those five rows account for 29.4% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Pack & Booster Display EV

Pack and per-product Low, Mid, and High expected value ranges from one recalculation. Each physical unit is simulated separately. Fractional display-rate slots are coupled as needed to keep the full pack card count and preserve expected slot weights; factory pack correlations remain an approximation.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Display EV (10 packs + 1 nonfoil PR, gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Seller fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after purchase$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price (Mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Estimated ROI

Purchase Low, Mid, and High EV and estimated ROI values from the same recalculated simulation.
MetricLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
Modeled ROI vs entered cost------

booster displays: 0 · Price/booster display: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00

How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.

Expected contribution

Card Value Breakdown

Modeled card rows, current values, fees, and expected products per copy.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValueSeller feesProducts / copy
Expected cards/booster display after toggles and Sift0.00
Preparing calculator...

The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.