UNION ARENA / Booster Display
BLEACH: Thousand-Year Blood War Booster Display EV Calculator
Estimate this physical product's no-chase expected value with a product-, region-, language-, and printing-specific model, then compare the modeled range with your entered cost. Estimated ROI is a planning metric, not a guaranteed return.
Model assumptions & evidence
Simulation order: complete product contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied only after the draw, and filtered outcomes are never replaced or backfilled.
- Release
- October 4, 2024
- Market scope
- en / North America / English North American release; manufacturing wave undisclosed
- Default singles price
- TCGplayer Low
- Model basis
- Best Evidence — Owner-approved ordinary display model
Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.
Sealed Price / EV
Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.
| Marketplace | Product price | Break-even price | P/E | Basis |
|---|
Simulation Results
Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.
Confidence band: --
Modeled contribution mix
Card Value Breakdown
See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.
Waiting for modeled rows
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidenceBest Evidence — Owner-approved ordinary display modelReviewed October 6, 2026 Price coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline3 chase families excluded
Generated model: /data-static/union-arena/bleach-thousand-year-blood-war/models/booster-display-owner-model-no-chase.json
Best Evidence — Owner-approved ordinary display model
Evidence
This calculator is based on Best Evidence — Owner-approved ordinary display model reviewed October 6, 2026.
Sources
- BLEACH UE01BT English North American product - Bandai (accessed 2026-10-06)
- Exact English UE01BT SKU and finish classification - TCGCSV / The Expected Value (accessed 2026-10-06)
- Owner-approved ordinary BLEACH display assumptions - The Expected Value repository owner (accessed 2026-10-06)
- First-person BLEACH one-case report (incomplete collation evidence) - sylliicollects (accessed 2026-10-06)
Limitations
- Best Evidence — Owner-approved ordinary display model: 6 Common, 4 Uncommon, 1 Rare and one additional card at 39/64 Rare and 25/64 Super Rare per pack; one equal-weight regular foil topper from six per display. Explicitly approved by the repository owner on October 6, 2026 ("Approve"). This is a modeling assumption, not publisher odds, a complete empirical ledger, an inherited CHAINSAW MAN recipe or a factory guarantee.
- A first-person BLEACH report states one sealed 16-box case: four boxes with seven ordinary SR and twelve with six, totaling 100 SR or 6.25 per display. The post is dated September 27, 2024, accessed October 6, 2026. Common, Uncommon, Rare and topper counts, printing wave and exact card ledgers are absent. Other reports disagree about six/seven SR. This report motivates a scenario only; it does not establish factory rates or replacement rules.
- The owner approved assigning 25/64 SR to the additional slot, six/four Common/Uncommon slots, one fixed Rare, eligible ordinary replacements for removed AP/parallels, equal positive within-pool and six-topper weights, and independent draws. Ordinary nonfoil AP cards are not inherently rare chase; their exclusion is an explicitly approved ordinary-card baseline scope decision.
- Serialized and unsupported premium cards are absent before drawing. In this proposed no-chase universe, normalize eligible ordinary outcomes and fill every physical position. Draw all 193 cards before applying Sift or user filters; never reroll or backfill filtered cards. No zero-EV occupied outcomes or invented chase probabilities remain.
- The exact English North American cards, finishes and box 552230 are retained. Case 552229 and loose packs are separate products and never public calculators. Toppers 584221 through 584226 are regular Foil, contribute one display card and no pack EV. Require complete exact Low row and expected-mass coverage.
- Bandai establishes 12 cards per pack, 16 packs per display, one of six foil toppers and the 98-card ordinary checklist, but supplies no included slot rates or topper weighting. Japanese UA08BT has a different wrapper and is not a donor. No display/case guarantees, short-print weights, duplicate restrictions, sheet weights or manufacturing equivalence are claimed.
- Replace or withdraw upon complete attributable English collation, publisher rates, contradictory product evidence or changed SKU/finish identity. Publication and stored downstream EV require the separately reviewed hash-bound transition; owner approval alone does not establish deployment.
Local price snapshots
Pricing
Historical Low-price review: these figures describe the printing pool and observation date used for the original review. They do not establish current price availability or completeness of a later corrected model. Current selected-source coverage is shown separately after loading.
TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.
- Row coverage (historical review)
- 100.0%
- Modeled mass coverage (historical review)
- 100.0%
- Coverage observed
- October 6, 2026
- Low-price source
- Available Via Tcgcsv
No catalog-level price fallbacks are recorded. Runtime gaps are disclosed below when data loads.
TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.
Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.
No-chase model
Chase Exclusions
Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.
- Alternate-art and signature parallels
- Action Point cards (ordinary and premium)
- Serialized cards
Basis: The owner approved assigning 25/64 SR to the additional slot, six/four Common/Uncommon slots, one fixed Rare, eligible ordinary replacements for removed AP/parallels, equal positive within-pool and six-topper weights, and independent draws. Ordinary nonfoil AP cards are not inherently rare chase; their exclusion is an explicitly approved ordinary-card baseline scope decision. Serialized and unsupported premium cards are absent before drawing. In this proposed no-chase universe, normalize eligible ordinary outcomes and fill every physical position. Draw all 193 cards before applying Sift or user filters; never reroll or backfill filtered cards. No zero-EV occupied outcomes or invented chase probabilities remain.
Product snapshot
Modeled Product Structure
- Cards per pack
- 12
- Packs per display
- 16
- Draw order
- Complete draw, then filters
All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.
Pack & Booster Display EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Booster Display EV × 16 packs (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Seller fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after purchase | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break-even price (Mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Estimated ROI
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Modeled ROI vs entered cost | -- | -- | -- |
displays: 0 · Price/display: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00
How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.
Expected contribution
Card Value Breakdown
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Products / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected cards/display after toggles and Sift | 0.00 | ||||||
| All modeled game-card rows | 0.00 | ||||||
| Gap to modeled card total | 0.00 | ||||||
The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.