Zendikar Rising Set Booster EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Zendikar Rising Set Booster Display using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend set-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

The calculator draws modeled box contents first from the backend slot contributions, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

ZNR Set Booster Displays model the published 30-pack display with one Expedition Box Topper. The known land, connected common/uncommon, and rare/mythic slots are modeled; head-turning, wildcard, guaranteed foil, token/ad/List, and Expedition topper branches remain occupied zero-EV slots. Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

30 packs / box 13 card slots / pack 391 modeled card slots / box Backend Set Booster model

Snapshot TCG Market + $0.25 Sift Based on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

TCG seller type

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Price source for EV

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.

Sift

Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Central interval

Simulations

Use Sift (>=) in EV

Purchase EV

Boxes Purchased

Price per box ($)

Included model buckets Choose which backend model buckets count toward EV. Backend model

Loading backend model buckets...

Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Sealed Price / EV

Advertising disclosure: The Expected Value may earn commissions from qualifying purchases made through affiliate links. Programs used by the site include TCGplayer, Mana Pool, the eBay Partner Network, and Amazon Associates. As an Amazon Associate, The Expected Value earns from qualifying purchases.

Marketplace sealed box price compared to the current break-even price/box (mid).
Source	Box price	Break-even price/box (mid)	P/E	Basis
Mana Pool	-	-	-	Unavailable
TCGplayer	-	-	-	Unavailable
eBay	-	-	-	Unavailable
Amazon	-	-	-	Unavailable

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -

Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
Metric	Low	Mid	High
Average pack EV (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Box EV x 30 (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Gross EV per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)	$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across selected boxes.
All boxes	Low	Mid	High
Gross EV	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after expenses	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
ROI vs cost	-	-	-

Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Set Booster Content Snapshot

The display resolves all thirteen pack positions and its Expedition topper position before included-bucket toggles or optional Sift score the result.

Packs: 30 / box
Cards: 13 / pack
Display total: 391 positions
Rows: Loading

Pack and Display Structure

The conservative backend model keeps every physical game-card position occupied, including branches without assigned card identities.

Connected commons and uncommons6 cards / pack

The modeled sequence contributes 180 priced card positions per display.

Head-turning slot1 / pack

Preserved as an occupied zero-EV branch because exact identities are not assigned.

Wildcard rarity slots2 / pack

Both wildcard positions remain occupied zero-EV branches.

Rare or mythic rare1 card / pack

Main-set rare and mythic outcomes contribute 30 priced positions per display.

Guaranteed foil slot1 / pack

Preserved as occupied zero EV where the model does not assign foil identities.

Full-art basic land1 card / pack

A modeled full-art basic land contributes 30 priced positions per display.

Token, ad, or The List slot1 / pack

Kept as an occupied zero-EV branch and never backfilled with another card.

Expedition Box Topper1 / display

The display topper remains an occupied zero-EV branch because price identities are not assigned in this model.

The five zero-EV rows occupy 151 display positions. Together with 240 priced positions, they preserve the model's full 391-position total.

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Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
Name	Set	Card #	Rarity	Treatment	Value ($)	Seller fees (pct + txn)	Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift							0.00
Sanity total expected copies / box - all modeled rows							0.00
Gap to 391 modeled card slots / box							0.00

Expected copies / box0.00

Sanity check totals (ignore Sift and bucket toggles)

Model source: data-static/magic/znr/models/set-box.json. The model documents sealed contents as drawn first, then Sift and bucket filters are applied afterward.