The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth Set Booster EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth Set Booster Box using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend set-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

The browser independently draws complete modeled displays, then applies included-pool controls and optional Sift without rerolling or replacing filtered cards.

This full display contains 30 Set Boosters and 1 traditional-foil Realms and Relics topper. Every pack draws 14 physical positions, including its Art card and List or accessory position. Art scoring is off by default. Published aggregate rates and the guaranteed topper are combined with disclosed individual allocation assumptions; those allocations are not factory guarantees. Eligible outcomes are constructed before drawing, and Sift or pool filters score the completed draw without replacements. Pack EV excludes the separate display topper.

30 packs / box 14 physical positions / pack 421 physical positions / display Modeled Set Booster display

SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

TCG seller type

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Price source for EV

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.

Sift

Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Central interval

Simulations

Use Sift (>=) in EV

Purchase EV

Boxes Purchased

Price per box ($)

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls

Loading backend model buckets...

Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Sealed Price / EV

Advertising disclosure: The Expected Value may earn commissions from qualifying purchases made through affiliate links. Programs used by the site include TCGplayer, Mana Pool, the eBay Partner Network, and Amazon Associates. As an Amazon Associate, The Expected Value earns from qualifying purchases.

Marketplace sealed box price compared to the current break-even price/box (mid).
Source	Box price	Break-even price/box (mid)	P/E	Basis
Mana Pool	-	-	-	Unavailable
TCGplayer	-	-	-	Unavailable
eBay	-	-	-	Unavailable
Amazon	-	-	-	Unavailable

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -

Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
Metric	Low	Mid	High
Average pack EV (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Box EV x 30 (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Gross EV per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)	$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxes	Low	Mid	High
Gross EV	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after expenses	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
ROI vs cost	-	-	-

Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth Set Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs: 30 packs / box
Cards: 14 physical positions / pack
Modeled total: 421 physical positions / display
Rows: Loading

Pack Structure

Each pack has 12 game-card positions, 1 Art card and 1 List or accessory position. The 30-pack display also contains 1 traditional-foil Realms and Relics topper. Art scoring is off by default; enabling unpriced Art outcomes makes complete-product EV unavailable.

Commons3 positions / pack

Original disclosed sheet allocation.

Uncommons3 positions / pack

The nine Nazgul illustrations have equal relative weights.

Rare or mythic rare1 position / pack

Original disclosed rare/mythic allocation.

Traditional foil1 position / pack

Eligible common, uncommon, rare or mythic printings.

Wildcards2 positions / pack

Eligible common, uncommon, rare or mythic printings.

Scene or Ring-frame common/uncommon1 position / pack

Own documented eligible treatment pool.

Basic or full-art map land1 position / pack

20% traditional-foil aggregate.

Art card1 position / pack

81 illustrations; 10% gold-stamped aggregate. Scoring off by default.

List or accessory1 position / pack

25% List aggregate; remaining token, ad or Ring-helper outcome.

Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

The display also draws one of 30 traditional-foil toppers with equal probability. Art is physically drawn even when its scoring pool is off. Unknown Art prices are not zero; enabling an unknown eligible pool leaves full-product EV unavailable.

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Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
Name	Set	Card #	Rarity	Treatment	Value ($)	Seller fees (pct + txn)	Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift							0.00
Sanity total expected copies / box - all modeled rows							0.00
Gap to 421 physical positions / display							0.00

Expected copies / box0.00

Sanity check totals (ignore Sift and bucket toggles)

Model source: data-static/magic/ltr/models/set-box.json. The model documents sealed contents as drawn first, then Sift and bucket filters are applied afterward.