The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Set Booster EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Set Booster boxes using live TCGplayer market prices. Updated daily, this calculator uses official set-booster slot odds, rarity weighting, and treatment mappings for realistic pack value projections.

Each sealed box is modeled using the listed LCI pack/slot configuration below (including set-specific behavior such as bonus-sheet and treatment-family buckets where applicable). Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.

Set theme: The Lost Caverns of Ixalan is themed around subterranean exploration, ancient civilizations, and artifact-rich adventure, blending dinosaurs, vampires, merfolk, and pirates with discovery-focused flavor.

30 packs / box 12 game cards / pack REX: ~1 in 12 Set Boosters (wildcard slot; non‑foil) The List: ~25% of packs (SPG + non‑SPG) Land: 70% Cave / 30% Core FA (20% foil) Box Topper: 1 per display (non‑foil)
Included sets ▶
References: What’s New on The List — Lost Caverns of Ixalan (The List shows ~25% of the time in Set Boosters; lists SPG and the wave contents). Rarity behavior within The List (“fall at the proper rate to one another”) is described in Set Boosters (2020).

Selling Fees

Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (2.5% processing). $0.30/order added only in summary.

Value Threshold

Mid and Low pull from TCGCSV (TCGplayer mirror). “Min” chooses the lowest non-null value, and Market falls back to whichever price is available.
Rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if toggled on, and it is applied after each pack’s cards are drawn.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Default 4,000 for smooth bands.

Purchase EV

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV × 30 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break‑even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.
Name Set Card # Rarity Treatment Value ($) Seller fees (pct + txn) Boxes / copy
Total (Expected / box) — included sets & Sift 0.00
Preparing…
Pack contents: Main R/M, two wildcard C/U/R/M (REX consumes part of wildcard mass), 1 foil C/U/R/M, 1 double‑faced C/U, land slot (70% Cave / 30% Core FA; 20% foil), and The List slot (~25%, SPG + non‑SPG). PLST verification: This page models the LCI wave of The List using the Wizards article above (linked) and Scryfall queries tied to Nov 2023. Do PLST commons drop more often than PLST rares? Yes—rarity weighting is **ON by default**; toggle “rarity‑weighted PLST” off if you want equal‑per‑card.