Kaldheim Set Booster EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Kaldheim Set Booster Display using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend set-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

The calculator draws modeled box contents first from the backend slot contributions, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

One English Kaldheim Set Booster Display contains 30 packs. This scenario draws all 14 physical positions in every pack: 12 base-game cards, one Art Card, and one ad-or-List position. Art Cards and List printings remain collectible outcomes even when their prices are unavailable. Only the ad accessory is unvalued. Construct the eligible pools first, draw the complete display, then apply Sift and included-pool filters without reroll or backfill.

30 packs / box 14 physical positions / pack 420 physical positions / display Complete physical product scenario

SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

TCG seller type

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Price source for EV

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.

Sift

Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Central interval

Simulations

Use Sift (>=) in EV

Purchase EV

Boxes Purchased

Price per box ($)

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls

Loading backend model buckets...

All 420 physical positions, including 30 Art Cards, are drawn. Default EV scores the game-card pools; both Art comparison controls are off by default. Enable an Art comparison explicitly to include its value. Disabled pools are masked only after the draw, without reroll or backfill. Unknown included quotes remain unknown regardless of Sift.

Sealed Price / EV

Advertising disclosure: The Expected Value may earn commissions from qualifying purchases made through affiliate links. Programs used by the site include TCGplayer, Mana Pool, the eBay Partner Network, and Amazon Associates. As an Amazon Associate, The Expected Value earns from qualifying purchases.

Marketplace sealed box price compared to the current break-even price/box (mid).
Source	Box price	Break-even price/box (mid)	P/E	Basis
Mana Pool	-	-	-	Unavailable
TCGplayer	-	-	-	Unavailable
eBay	-	-	-	Unavailable
Amazon	-	-	-	Unavailable

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -

Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
Metric	Low	Mid	High
Average pack EV (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Box EV x 30 (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Gross EV per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)	$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across selected boxes.
All boxes	Low	Mid	High
Gross EV	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after expenses	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
ROI vs cost	-	-	-

Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Kaldheim Set Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs: 30 packs / box
Modeled total: 14 physical positions / pack
Modeled total: 420 physical positions / display
Rows: Loading

Pack Structure

Every pack has 12 base-game cards, one Art Card, and one ad-or-List position. All 420 physical positions are drawn for a full display.

Snow land1 position / pack

20 exact printings; 15% traditional foil.

Rare or mythic rare1 position / pack

120 eligible printings; the disclosed per-identity rarity/style allocation is a scenario.

Head-turner1 position / pack

31 snow common/uncommon, 12 showcase uncommon, or 5 Set/Theme-exclusive rare printings.

Traditional foil1 position / pack

333 eligible foil printings under a uniform allocation scenario.

Nonfoil wildcard1 position / pack

323 eligible nonbasic printings under a uniform allocation scenario.

Connected commons and uncommons7 positions / pack

206 printings including 15 Set/Theme-exclusive uncommons. Independent uniform allocation does not reconstruct thematic connectivity.

Art Card1 position / pack

81 illustrations; 5% gold-stamped, otherwise ordinary. Gold-stamped is not traditional foil.

Ad or List1 position / pack

25% List, otherwise an unvalued ad accessory. The List has 300 exact printing identities.

Expected display composition: 360 base-game cards, 30 Art Cards, 7.5 List cards, and 22.5 ad accessories. Expected fractional composition does not replace the 420 physical draws.

Published 15% foil snow land, 5% stamped Art, and 25% List rates are combined independently. Unpublished within-pool and joint allocations are explicitly modeled assumptions, not measured factory collation.

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Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
Name	Set	Card #	Rarity	Treatment	Value ($)	Seller fees (pct + txn)	Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift							0.00
Sanity total expected copies / box - all modeled rows							0.00
Gap to 420 physical positions / display							0.00

Expected copies / box0.00

Sanity check totals (ignore Sift and bucket toggles)

Model source: data-static/magic/khm/models/set-box.json. The model documents sealed contents as drawn first, then Sift and bucket filters are applied afterward.

Calculator notes

Complete contents: Art and List cards are included as collectible outcomes. Missing prices remain unknown; they are not known-zero cards. A partial priced subtotal is not a full-display Market EV.
Allocation scenario: guaranteed rare/mythic printings use the original 2:1 per-identity Rare/Mythic scenario, divided uniformly among eligible styles. Head-turner, foil, wildcard, Art and connected C/U identities use the stated uniform allocations. List C4/U3/R2/M1/S1/P1/L1 weights are a disclosed inference from publisher rarity-rate guidance, not published factory weights or a lower bound.
Source categories: snow duals retain provider rarity Land while their slot allocation follows publisher common-snow-dual wording. Phyrexian Vorinclex eligibility is a disclosed Showcase-context inference. No global provider rarity or finish is rewritten.
Draw then score: baseline exclusions are normalized before drawing the complete display. Sift and pool controls score those draws without reroll or backfill.
Results: Low, Mid and High use the same recalculated population. Seller-tier net proceeds are separate from gross card value.
Rows: an exact printing, finish and frame appears once in the results table, summing its contributions from the currently included slot pools.

Publisher sources and scope

Inside each Kaldheim product; Collecting Kaldheim; Kaldheim List; Kaldheim Art Cards. Publisher contents and aggregate rates are distinct from the explicitly disclosed allocation scenario.