Commander Masters Set Booster EV Calculator

Model a full Commander Masters Set Booster Box using local exact-printing price snapshots. Published aggregate rates and disclosed allocation assumptions define complete draws. Unpriced outcomes remain unknown; displayed totals are priced subtotals when full EV is unavailable.

Model assumptions & evidence

Each sealed box is modeled using the listed Commander Masters pack/slot configuration below (24 packs per box with set-specific slot behavior). Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.

Set theme: Commander Masters is themed around high-impact multiplayer staples and Commander-focused reprints, with premium variants aimed at both gameplay upgrades and collector appeal.

24 packs / box 15 game cards / pack Retro basic land: 1/pack (20% foil) Legendary slots: 1 L-Unc + 1 L-R/M guaranteed Flex slot: 50% L-Unc / 50% nonlegendary R/M Borderless: 1 C/U guaranteed Wildcard slots: 2 (weighted MTGJSON sheet) The List: ~25% of packs Art card: 1/pack (10% foil‑stamped)

Each box contains 24 complete 17-position packs: 15 Magic cards, one Art card, and a token/ad or The List card. Published aggregate rates are included; individual allocations and joint correlations are disclosed model assumptions.
Set Booster-only model: commander deck new cards are excluded. The List is modeled from the official 300-card CMM wave at the 25% Set Booster rate.

SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Product model and allocation assumptions

24 packs × 17 positions. The List replaces the token/ad in 25% of packs; one Art card has a 10% gold-stamped chance. Dedicated retro basic is foil in 20%, and foil Borderless Mythic is 1%. The shared uncommon/rare slot stays 50/50.

Rounded main-card rare counts 34/48/15/2/<1% use a disclosed normalized 34:48:15:2:0.5 scenario. Within-rarity Rare:Mythic 2:1, frame allocation and conditional slot correlations are assumptions, not factory guarantees. Main 15 counts exclude the optional List insert. List identities are uniform across the official 300-card wave; Art illustrations uniform within each style. All 17 positions are drawn before Sift or pool filters; no reroll or backfill.

Legendary slots include legendary artifacts. Older List printings may have no printed collector number; provider reference keys identify those exact listings.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

TCG seller type

Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (2.5% processing). $0.30/order added only in summary.

Value Threshold

Price source for EV

Prices load from generated CMM card price snapshots. EV applies Sift only after each pack's contents are drawn.

Sift

Rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below, and it is applied after each pack’s cards are drawn.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Central interval

Simulations

Default 4,000 for smooth bands.

Use Sift (≥) in EV

Purchase EV

Boxes Purchased

Price per box ($)

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Included setsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls

CMM — Main set (nonfoil, #001–436) CMM — Main set (foil, #001–436) CMM — Borderless (standard, #622–667) CMM — Borderless Profile (#668–691) CMM — Borderless Frame Break (#692–703) CMM — Retro basic lands (#437–451; nonfoil + foil) Art cards — 81 illustrations, Normal and Gold-stamped The List — CMM official 300-card wave (nonfoil, per‑card)

References: Wizards: Collecting Commander Masters (slot breakdown), CMM set numbering for treatments/ranges, and What's New on The List for Commander Masters (official 300-card List whitelist and Set Booster List odds). This Set Booster model excludes Commander deck new cards (#704–743) plus collector‑booster‑only ranges (Foil‑Etched #452–621, Extended Art #744–778, Textured Foils #1057–1066).

Sealed Price / EV

Advertising disclosure: The Expected Value may earn commissions from qualifying purchases made through affiliate links. Programs used by the site include TCGplayer, Mana Pool, the eBay Partner Network, and Amazon Associates. As an Amazon Associate, The Expected Value earns from qualifying purchases.

Marketplace sealed box price compared to the current break-even price per box.
Source	Box price	Break-even price/box (mid)	P/E	Basis
Mana Pool	—	—	—	Unavailable
TCGplayer	—	—	—	Unavailable
eBay	—	—	—	Unavailable
Amazon	—	—	—	Unavailable

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —

Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
Metric	Low	Mid	High
Pack EV (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Simulated box EV (24 packs, gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Break‑even price/box (mid)	$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

All boxes	Low	Mid	High
Gross EV	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after expenses	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
ROI vs cost	—	—	—

Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Commander Masters Set Booster Box

24 packs, each with 15 Magic cards, one Art card and one token/ad or conditional List card: 408 complete physical positions per box.

Packs: 24 / box
Main Magic cards: 360 / box
Physical positions: 408 / box
Outcomes: 1526 exact outcomes

Complete pack structure

Four Commons, two nonlegendary Uncommons, one legendary Uncommon and one Borderless Common/Uncommon.
One shared legendary-Uncommon/nonlegendary-Rare-or-Mythic slot (50/50), two any-rarity wildcards, one legendary Rare/Mythic and one nonlegendary Rare/Mythic.
One traditional foil and one dedicated retro-frame Basic Land (20% foil). Eligible generic-foil Basic Lands remain possible in addition to the dedicated Basic Land.
One Art card from 81 illustrations (10% gold-stamped), plus one token/ad or a List card (25% List). Art stamp is a style with Normal source pricing, not traditional Foil pricing.

The List adds six game cards per box on average, separate from the 360 main Magic cards. Art adds 24 collectible cards; 18 token/ad objects remain unvalued on average. Expected value-bearing objects total 390, while every draw contains all 408 physical positions.

Construct and normalize eligible contents first. Draw every complete pack, then apply Sift and included-pool controls without reroll or backfill. Collectible Art and List outcomes with missing proper quotes remain unknown and are excluded from the priced subtotal; missing prices do not make them zero-valued.

Rounded Rare/Mythic counts and the conditional joint/frame allocation are disclosed scenario assumptions, not a measured factory distribution. Main-card count constraints concern the 15 main positions; the optional List insert is separate.

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