Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Set Booster EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Set Booster Display using generated local exact-printing quotes and the disclosed full-display scenario. Missing quotes remain unknown.

Model assumptions & evidence

The browser draws the complete physical scenario, then applies included-pool toggles and optional Sift as post-draw scoring filters without reroll or backfill.

30 packs contain twelve AFR Magic cards, one art card and one accessory/List position each. The List appears in 25% of packs; game-card count varies. This is an explicit source-constrained scenario, not verified factory collation. Approximately 27% two-rares / 3% three-rares and about 10% alternate rare/mythic pack incidence use publisher point estimates. Conditional allocation among positions and identities is assumed; four-rares and 15% foil-land use dated AFR secondary weights. List per-card rarity weights 16C:4U:2R:1M are assumed to preserve the published rarity ordering. Art uses all81 illustrations with 1-in-20 gold-stamped. Unknown art quotes stay unavailable; priced subtotals are not full-product estimates. Draw every physical position before Sift or pool filters; rejected cards never reroll or backfill.
30 packs / box12 Magic cards + art + accessory / pack420 physical positions / displayDisclosed full-draw scenario
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 30 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Set Booster Content Snapshot

The disclosed scenario constructs all fourteen physical positions, then scores the complete draw after Sift and included-pool controls.

Packs
30 packs / box
Cards
12 Magic cards + art + accessory / pack
Modeled total
420 physical positions / display
Rows
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Pack Structure

Scenario: six connected common/uncommon positions, one guaranteed Booster Fun common/uncommon, two wildcards, one rare/mythic, one traditional foil, one basic or foil land, one art card, and one accessory or List card. Twelve Magic cards plus art and accessory/List make fourteen physical positions. The List can add a thirteenth game card.

At most seven uncommons and seven to ten commons/uncommons are enforced before the twelve AFR game cards are drawn. The rare-count point estimates apply to these twelve positions; any extra List rarity is separate, an explicit interpretation of the publisher wording. Individual identities are uniform within each stated rarity/style bucket; no serialized branch is included.

Expected contents per display:360 AFR Magic cards,30 art cards,7.5 List cards and22.5 other accessories;420 physical positions. Card values are exact printing/finish quotes when available.

Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00