Riftbound: Unleashed Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Riftbound: Unleashed booster boxes using live TCGplayer market prices via TCGCSV. This calculator models Unleashed slot composition, rarity weighting, and separate Alt Art / Overnumbered rare-slot pools for realistic EV and variance projections.

Signature cards, Ultimate cards, tokens, runes, and Alt Rune rows are not included in this calculation. Ultimate odds are treated as inferred and intentionally excluded from EV.

Each sealed box is simulated as 24 packs with a separate foil slot plus two rare-or-better slots that can upgrade into Epic, Alt Art, or Overnumbered hits. Simulations draw full pack contents first, apply pool toggles to the drawn cards, and then apply optional Sift filtering so EV follows true opening order.

Set theme: Riftbound: Unleashed expands the main-set card pool with new champion identities, spell and battlefield support, and premium overnumbered chase variants. The calculator reads live card data from the Unleashed TCGCSV group rather than relying on a hardcoded checklist.

24 packs / box 13 EV‑modeled cards / pack (token/rune/Ultimate excluded) Base slots: 7C • 3U • 2 Rare‑or‑better slots Foil slot: configurable rarity mix Rare‑slot specials replace one rare‑or‑better slot, not the foil slot Overnumbered rare-slot hit: ≈1 in 72 packs (≈1 per 3 boxes) Epic rares: ≈1 in 4 packs (≈6 per box) Alt Art rare-slot hit: ≈1 in 12 packs (≈2 per box) Ultimate: excluded until non-inferred odds are available
Included pools ▶
Sift is a price floor (USD): rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below; pack contents are drawn first, pool toggles are applied to those drawn cards, and Sift is applied last.
Counts — Main (NF)
Counts — Rare slot
Counts — Foil slot
Counts — Specials
Sanity

Selling Fees

Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order is added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Changing this can materially lower EV if Market/Mid are stale. “Min” is most conservative.
Example: 0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after the pack is drawn and pool toggles are applied.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.
Low/High = central quantiles measured from Monte Carlo pack openings.

Purchase EV

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV × 24 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break‑even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, pool toggles are applied to those cards, and then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value Seller fees Boxes / copy
Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift 0.00