Riftbound: Unleashed Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Riftbound: Unleashed booster boxes using live TCGplayer market prices via TCGCSV. This calculator models Unleashed slot composition, rarity weighting, and separate Alt Art / Overnumbered / Ultimate rare-slot pools for realistic EV and variance projections.

Signature cards, tokens, regular Rune rows, and Alt Rune rows are not included in this calculation.

Each sealed box is simulated as 24 packs with a separate foil slot plus two foil rare-or-better slots that can upgrade into Epic, Alt Art, Overnumbered, or Ultimate hits. Simulations draw full pack contents first, apply pool toggles to the drawn cards, and then apply optional Sift filtering so EV follows true opening order.

Set theme: Riftbound: Unleashed expands the main-set card pool with new champion identities, spell and battlefield support, and premium overnumbered chase variants. The calculator reads live card data from the Unleashed TCGCSV group rather than relying on a hardcoded checklist.

24 packs / box 13 EV‑modeled cards / pack (token/rune excluded) Base slots: 7C • 3U • 2 foil Rare‑or‑better slots Foil slot: configurable C/U/R/E mix Rare‑slot specials replace one rare‑or‑better slot, not the foil slot Alt Art rare-slot hit: modeled ≈1 in 12 packs Overnumbered + Ultimate branch: modeled ≈1 in 72 packs Ultimate Baron Nashor: modeled ≈1 in 1,368 packs (<0.1%) Epic rare-slot target: modeled ≈6 per box

Riot Facts & Model Assumptions

Riot-published: Unleashed booster displays have 24 packs. Each pack has 7 Commons, 3 Uncommons, 1 foil C/U/R/E slot, 2 Rare-or-better slots that can include Rare, Epic, Alt, Overnumber, or Ultimate cards, plus a separate token/rune/alt-rune slot and insert. Riot also says Ultimate cards appear in <0.1% of packs, with at most one Ultimate per pack.

Model assumptions: Alt Art is modeled at 1-in-12 packs, the combined non-Ultimate Overnumbered plus Ultimate branch at 1-in-72 packs, Baron Nashor Ultimate at 1-in-1,368 packs, the rare-slot Epic target at 6 per box, and the foil slot mix at 85% Common / 12% Uncommon / 2.7% Rare / 0.3% Epic.

Included pools ▶
Ultimate Baron Nashor remains available as an optional chase comparison, but is unchecked for baseline EV.
Sift is a price floor (USD): rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below; pack contents are drawn first, pool toggles are applied to those drawn cards, and Sift is applied last.
Counts — Main (NF)
Counts — Rare slot
Counts — Foil slot
Counts — Specials
Sanity

Selling Fees

Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order is added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Generated Riftbound pricing supports TCG Market, Low, and Direct Low only.
Example: 0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after the pack is drawn and pool toggles are applied.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.
Low/High = central quantiles measured from Monte Carlo pack openings.

Purchase EV

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV × 24 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break‑even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, pool toggles are applied to those cards, and then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value Seller fees Boxes / copy
Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift 0.00