Pack Destruction Tracker
Estimate how many packs have been opened using PSA grading data

Every time someone pulls a hyper rare from a Pokémon booster pack, there is a good chance that card ends up being submitted to PSA for grading. By combining PSA's population report numbers with known pull rates, we can work backwards to estimate how many total packs have been opened for any given set. The table below shows estimates for every set, with the average implied packs across each set's hyper rare cards. Click any row to see the individual card breakdown.

Assumptions

55%
Percentage of all graded copies that are graded by PSA (vs. CGC, BGS, etc.)
40%
Percentage of hyper rares actually pulled that get submitted to any grading company
Combined Capture Rate (PSA Market Share × Grading Rate) 22.0%

Data Source

Cached data

Estimated Pack Destruction by Set

Click any row to expand and see the individual hyper rare cards used to derive the estimate. The "Est. Packs Opened" value shown is the average of the implied packs from each hyper rare in that set.

Set Release Date Cards Tracked Avg PSA 10 Rate Est. Packs Opened Est. Boxes Opened

Methodology

Why Hyper Rares?

Hyper rares (Special Illustration Rares, Gold Rares, and similar ultra-premium cards) are among the most valuable pulls in any set. Because of their high market value, a disproportionately large fraction of pulled copies end up submitted for professional grading. This makes them the strongest proxy signal we have for estimating total pack volume opened.

The Formula

Known Limitations

  • Not every pulled hyper rare gets graded — especially lower-value copies, damaged cards, or cards held by casual collectors.
  • PSA isn't the only grading company. CGC, Beckett (BGS), and others capture a portion of submissions that aren't counted here.
  • Resubmissions and crossovers can inflate pop counts — one physical card may appear multiple times.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced estimates. The Pokémon Company does not officially publish exact rates for every print run.
  • Print run changes, reprintings, and promotional pack differences all affect the accuracy of any estimate.
  • Averaging across multiple hyper rares in the same set reduces variance and produces more stable estimates.

Data Freshness

PSA population data is cached periodically. Use the "Refresh from PSA" button to attempt a live fetch — note that direct browser requests to PSA's API are typically blocked by CORS, so cached data is the default for most users. The cached data shown here was last updated as noted next to each set.