XY - Furious Fists
Booster Box no-chase EV calculator

Estimate the no-chase expected value of the English XY Furious Fists Booster Box (TCGplayer product 92168): 36 booster packs × 10 modeled game-card positions. The archived original publisher sell sheet identifies display code 146-11898 / EAN 0820650118982. Singles prices use exact printing and finish values from generated same-origin snapshots; source dates are shown when available. The dated reference snapshot below remains historical and does not describe current market movement.

Chase branches are excluded: holo rares, EX/GX/V/VMAX/VSTAR, secret rares, Shiny/Radiant/Trainer Gallery, illustration, hyper, ACE SPEC, and other premium rows do not contribute to this baseline.

Calculation order: ordinary pack contents are assigned to card rows first, then disabled pools and optional Sift filtering are applied afterward. Disabled rows do not backfill into other cards.

36 packs / booster box FFI · group 1481 5 Common / 3 Uncommon / 1 Rare / 1 Reverse Independent browser simulation

No-chase baseline

The official English XY Furious Fists checklist verifies 29 Common, 39 Uncommon and 20 ordinary Rare identities with standard and parallel printings: 88 eligible identities and 176 Normal/Reverse outcomes. Herbal Energy 103/111 and Strong Energy 104/111 remain Uncommon Special Energy in both pools; Trainers 88–102 remain Uncommon. The checklist shows 1–111; excluded secrets 112–114 are not shown. This documented no-chase scenario removes Holo Rare, EX, Ultra/Secret and premium outcomes before drawing, then normalizes the retained 5 Common / 3 Uncommon / 1 ordinary Rare / 1 Reverse recipe. A bounded firsthand English pack corroborates those observed position families; uniform within-pool identity allocations and independent slots are assumptions, not measured factory odds. All 360 modeled game-card positions are drawn before Sift and pool filters without reroll or backfill.

The original standalone inserts, basic Energy insert slots, non-game inserts and code-card exclusions remain outside this ten-game-card no-chase valuation basis. The archived original publisher sheet states 36 boosters per display and 10 cards per booster. A bounded firsthand English opening shows ten game cards, including a Rare-family EX outcome which this no-chase scenario excludes and normalizes to ordinary Rare. No separate Basic Energy or modern VSTAR marker is assumed for Furious Fists. Numbered Herbal Energy 103/111 and Strong Energy 104/111 remain Uncommon Special Energy in both eligible pools. The original excluded-Basic-Energy counter stays zero; it is not a factory guarantee. No new product or public loose-pack calculator is added.

Loaded pools: waiting for card data.

Included pools ▶
Sift is a price floor. Row tinting always uses the Sift value; EV only uses it when Use Sift in EV is checked.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives XY - Furious Fists Booster Box

Product profile. This booster box resolves 360 card positions across 176 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated June 10, 2026 contains 78 Uncommon, 58 Common, 40 Rare. Its largest slot groups are 88 reverse standard, 39 nf uncommon, 29 nf common, 20 rare slot rare. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Bellsprout #1/111 (6.21 expected per booster box), Clauncher #23/111 (6.21 expected per booster box), Clefairy (69) (6.21 expected per booster box), Clefairy (70) (6.21 expected per booster box), Cubchoo #21/111 (6.21 expected per booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Accelgor (Reverse Holofoil) #9/111, Accelgor #9/111, Aurorus #26/111, Drowzee #35/111, Bellsprout (Reverse Holofoil) #1/111, Weepinbell (Reverse Holofoil) #2/111, Weepinbell #2/111, Shroomish (Reverse Holofoil) #6/111. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 176 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Pikachu #27/111 ($33.77), Sylveon #72/111 ($24.30), Tyrantrum #62/111 ($15.10), Aurorus #26/111 ($15.05), Sylveon (Reverse Holofoil) #72/111 ($13.43). Together those five rows account for 31.6% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Selling Fees

Per-row net EV uses the selected seller and payment deductions. Shipping and order estimates are disabled.

Value Threshold

Generated Pokemon price snapshots support Market, Low, and Direct Low pricing for EV.
Rows below Sift are removed from EV only if the toggle below is on.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; low and high are central quantiles from product openings.

Purchase EV

Whole boxes only (0–1,000); fractional and out-of-range input is normalized before calculating.

Waiting for card data...

Pack & Product EV

Pack and product no-chase expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Product EV x 36 packs (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per product$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per product$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per product$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per product$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/product (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level no-chase expected value using the active whole-product count and entered product cost.
All productsLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Products: 0 - Price/product: $0.00 - Total cost: $0.00 - Rows priced: 0 / 0 missing

Sealed Price / EV

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Marketplace sealed booster box low prices compared to the current no-chase break-even price/product (mid).
Source Product price Break-even price/product (mid) P/E Basis
TCGplayer - - - Loading...
Loading sealed marketplace low prices...

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated product totals after cards are drawn, then Sift and pool toggles are applied to those pulls.
Per-card no-chase expected value rows for the current filters and price source.
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value Seller fees Expected / product Gross EV Net EV Products / copy
Loading generated card data...
Deterministic total - active pools & Sift 0.00 $0.00 $0.00 -
Sanity total - all modeled ordinary rows 0.00 - - -
Expected copies are modeled from ordinary pack slots first. Gross and net EV apply disabled pool filters and optional Sift afterward, so filtered rows do not rebalance into other slots.