Scarlet & Violet—Twilight Masquerade
Sealed product EV calculator
Compare the expected value (EV) of supported Scarlet & Violet—Twilight Masquerade sealed products in one calculator. Choose Booster Box / Display, Elite Trainer Box, or Booster Bundle; the calculator uses the selected product's pack quantity and generated model while retaining the set's documented pull assumptions and live singles pricing.
Basic Energy, code cards, and sealed extras are not included in this calculation.
Calculation order: every pack's full card contents are drawn first. Disabled pools and optional Sift filtering apply only afterward and never backfill removed outcomes.
Unsupported product scope: The 11-pack Pokémon Center Exclusive Elite Trainer Box remains in generated sealed-product data for price visibility, but it is not selectable here because this calculator currently models the standard 9-pack Elite Trainer Box contents.
Set theme: Twilight Masquerade spotlights the masked Legendary Pokémon Ogerpon across its masks, plus Greninja ex, Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex, Sinistcha ex, Dragapult ex, and a deep ACE SPEC lineup alongside Illustration Rare, Special Illustration Rare, and Hyper Rare chase cards.
Twilight Masquerade pull-rate context (community estimates)
This calculator uses live pricing with a configurable Twilight Masquerade pack model. Published pull-rate references are listed below for context and tuned to the TCGplayer Twilight Masquerade pull-rate article. ACE SPEC hits are modeled as upgrades to the first reverse holo slot, while Illustration Rare, Special Illustration Rare, and Hyper Rare hits are handled as upgrades to the second reverse/premium slot.
| Rarity / slot | Article / community range | Model default |
|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 16.93% (~1 in 6 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 16.93% |
| Ultra Rare | 6.61% (~1 in 15 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 6.61% |
| ACE SPEC Rare | 5.06% (~1 in 20 packs) | First reverse-slot upgrade = 5.06% |
| Illustration Rare (IR) | 7.73% (~1 in 13 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 7.73% |
| Special Illustration Rare (SIR) | 1.17% (~1 in 86 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 1.17% |
| Hyper Rare (HR) | 0.68% (~1 in 146 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 0.68% |
Validation targets: TCGplayer’s English Twilight Masquerade pull-rate data, plus the official Twilight Masquerade card list for premium numbering ranges, ACE SPEC cards, and card names.
Included pools ▶
Selling Fees
Value Threshold
0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Booster Box / Display EV × 36 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break‑even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All boxes | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | — | — | — |
Simulation Results (after Sift)
| Name | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Boxes / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift | 0.00 | |||||