Scarlet & Violet
Elite Trainer Box EV calculator
Estimate the expected value (EV) of Scarlet & Violet elite trainer boxes using live TCGplayer market prices via TCGCSV. This calculator models the Scarlet & Violet English pull structure with standard slots, rare-slot upgrades, guaranteed reverse holo pulls, and premium bonus-slot upgrades to produce realistic EV and variance projections.
Ordinary Basic Energy-slot cards, code cards, the Koraidon or Miraidon promo, and ETB accessories are not included in this calculation. Numbered premium Basic Energy cards remain in their rarity pools.
Each sealed product is simulated pack-by-pack using the configured Scarlet & Violet pull-rate assumptions shown on the page. Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.
Set theme: Scarlet & Violet launches the era with Koraidon ex, Miraidon ex, Gardevoir ex, and one of the deepest early premium sheets in the block, pairing Illustration Rare standouts like Slowpoke, Ralts, Kirlia, Riolu, and Starly with Special Illustration Rare chase cards like Miriam, Gardevoir ex, Koraidon ex, and Miraidon ex plus gold Nest Ball, Rare Candy, and Basic Energy cards.
Scarlet & Violet pull-rate context (community estimates)
This calculator uses live pricing with a configurable Scarlet & Violet pack model. The Pokémon Company has not published exact English Scarlet & Violet booster pull rates, so the defaults below are community and TCGplayer-observed assumptions tuned to the TCGplayer Scarlet & Violet pull-rate article. Reverse Holofoil cards are modeled across a guaranteed reverse slot plus a second reverse/premium slot, while Illustration Rare, Special Illustration Rare, and Hyper Rare hits are handled as upgrades to that bonus slot.
Simulation order: card contents are drawn first, then optional Sift filtering is applied to the drawn pulls.
| Rarity / slot | Article / community range | Model default |
|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 13.76% (~1 in 7 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 13.76% |
| Ultra Rare | 6.57% (~1 in 15 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 6.57% |
| Illustration Rare (IR) | 7.67% (~1 in 13 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 7.67% |
| Special Illustration Rare (SIR) | 3.15% (~1 in 32 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 3.15% |
| Hyper Rare (HR) | 1.85% (~1 in 54 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 1.85% |
Validation targets: TCGplayer’s English Scarlet & Violet pull-rate data, plus the official Scarlet & Violet card list for premium numbering ranges and card names.
Included pools ▶
Selling Fees
Value Threshold
0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Box EV × 9 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break‑even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All boxes | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | — | — | — |
Sealed Price / EV
| Source | Box price | Break-even price/box (mid) | P/E | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCGplayer | — | — | — | Loading… |
Simulation Results (after Sift)
| Name | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Boxes / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift | 0.00 | |||||