Scarlet & Violet
Sealed product EV calculator
Compare the expected value (EV) of supported Scarlet & Violet sealed products in one calculator. Choose Booster Box / Display, Elite Trainer Box — Koraidon, Elite Trainer Box — Miraidon, or Booster Bundle; the calculator uses the selected product's pack quantity and generated model while retaining the set's documented pull assumptions and live singles pricing.
Basic Energy, code cards, and sealed extras are not included in this calculation.
Calculation order: every pack's full card contents are drawn first. Disabled pools and optional Sift filtering apply only afterward and never backfill removed outcomes.
Set theme: Scarlet & Violet launches the era with Koraidon ex, Miraidon ex, Gardevoir ex, and one of the deepest early premium sheets in the block, pairing Illustration Rare standouts like Slowpoke, Ralts, Kirlia, Riolu, and Starly with Special Illustration Rare chase cards like Miriam, Gardevoir ex, Koraidon ex, and Miraidon ex plus gold Nest Ball, Rare Candy, and Basic Energy cards.
Scarlet & Violet pull-rate context (community estimates)
This calculator uses live pricing with a configurable Scarlet & Violet pack model. Published pull-rate references are listed below for context and tuned to the TCGplayer Scarlet & Violet pull-rate article. Reverse Holofoil cards are modeled across a guaranteed reverse slot plus a second reverse/premium slot, while Illustration Rare, Special Illustration Rare, and Hyper Rare hits are handled as upgrades to that bonus slot.
Simulation order: card contents are drawn first, then optional Sift filtering is applied to the drawn pulls.
| Rarity / slot | Article / community range | Model default |
|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 13.76% (~1 in 7 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 13.76% |
| Ultra Rare | 6.57% (~1 in 15 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 6.57% |
| Illustration Rare (IR) | 7.67% (~1 in 13 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 7.67% |
| Special Illustration Rare (SIR) | 3.15% (~1 in 32 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 3.15% |
| Hyper Rare (HR) | 1.85% (~1 in 54 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 1.85% |
Validation targets: TCGplayer’s English Scarlet & Violet pull-rate data, plus the official Scarlet & Violet card list for premium numbering ranges and card names.
Included pools ▶
Selling Fees
Value Threshold
0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Booster Box / Display EV × 36 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break‑even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All boxes | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | — | — | — |
Simulation Results (after Sift)
| Name | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Boxes / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift | 0.00 | |||||