Scarlet & Violet—Stellar Crown
Sealed product EV calculator
Compare the expected value (EV) of supported Scarlet & Violet—Stellar Crown sealed products in one calculator. Choose Booster Box / Display, Elite Trainer Box, or Booster Bundle; the calculator uses the selected product's pack quantity and generated model while retaining the set's documented pull assumptions and generated singles-price snapshots.
Basic Energy, code cards, and sealed extras are not included in this calculation.
Calculation order: every pack's full card contents are drawn first. Disabled pools and optional Sift filtering apply only afterward and never backfill removed outcomes.
Set theme: Stellar Crown spotlights Terapagos ex, Hydrapple ex, Cinderace ex, Lapras ex, and Galvantula ex while mixing ACE SPEC cards, Illustration Rares, Special Illustration Rares, and Hyper Rare chase cards into the set.
Stellar Crown pull-rate context (community estimates)
This calculator uses generated price snapshots with a configurable Stellar Crown pack model. Published pull-rate references are listed below for context and tuned to the TCGplayer Stellar Crown pull-rate article. ACE SPEC hits are modeled as upgrades to the first reverse holo slot, while Illustration Rare, Special Illustration Rare, and Hyper Rare hits are handled as upgrades to the second reverse/premium slot.
| Rarity / slot | Article / community range | Model default |
|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 16.90% (~1 in 6 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 16.90% |
| Ultra Rare | 6.75% (~1 in 15 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 6.75% |
| ACE SPEC Rare | 4.94% (~1 in 20 packs) | First reverse-slot upgrade = 4.94% |
| Illustration Rare (IR) | 7.79% (~1 in 13 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 7.79% |
| Special Illustration Rare (SIR) | 1.11% (~1 in 90 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 1.11% |
| Hyper Rare (HR) | 0.73% (~1 in 137 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 0.73% |
Validation targets: TCGplayer’s English Stellar Crown pull-rate data, plus the official Stellar Crown card list for premium numbering ranges, ACE SPEC cards, and card names.
Included pools ▶
Release-specific model analysis
What drives Scarlet & Violet—Stellar Crown Sealed product
Product profile. This booster box resolves 360 card positions across 300 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated July 23, 2026 contains 142 Common, 78 Uncommon, 30 Rare, 14 Double Rare, 13 Illustration Rare, 11 Ultra Rare. Its largest slot groups are 125 foil common, 71 nf common, 39 nf uncommon, 15 rare slot rare, 14 rare slot double rare. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.
Largest modeled weights. Area Zero Underdepths #131/142 (2.77 expected per booster box), Azumarill #034/142 (2.77 expected per booster box), Briar #132/142 (2.77 expected per booster box), Celebi #004/142 (2.77 expected per booster box), Crabominable #042/142 (2.77 expected per booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.
Release-specific card examples. Alcremie (Holofoil) #065/142, Alcremie (Reverse Holofoil) #065/142, Antique Cover Fossil #129/142, Archaludon (Holofoil) #155/142, Area Zero Underdepths (Holofoil) #174/142, Blastoise ex (Holofoil) #030/142, Briar (Holofoil) #163/142, Briar (Holofoil) #171/142, Venusaur ex (Holofoil) #001/142. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.
Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 300 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Squirtle (Holofoil) #148/142 ($25.66), Bulbasaur (Holofoil) #143/142 ($22.58), Slowpoke #057/142 ($5.21), Dachsbun ex (Holofoil) #169/142 ($4.35), Milcery (Holofoil) #152/142 ($4.20). Together those five rows account for 38.4% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.
The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.
Selling Fees
Value Threshold
0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Enter a whole nonnegative product quantity. Previous values remain displayed until a valid quantity is entered.
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Booster Box / Display EV × 36 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break‑even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All boxes | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | — | — | — |
Simulation Results (after Sift)
| Name | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Boxes / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift | 0.00 | |||||