Scarlet & Violet—Prismatic Evolutions
Sealed product EV calculator
Compare the expected value (EV) of supported Scarlet & Violet—Prismatic Evolutions sealed products in one calculator. Choose Elite Trainer Box or Booster Bundle; the calculator uses the selected product's pack quantity and generated model while retaining the set's documented pull assumptions and the selected generated singles-price snapshot.
Basic Energy inserts, fixed promos, Energy bricks, code cards and accessories are excluded from this booster-contents EV. The named ETB or bundle supplies 9 or 6 packs; each pack has 10 modeled game cards plus its excluded Basic Energy insert. The ETB also contains its excluded Eevee promo and 45-card Energy brick. Original TCGplayer Authentication Center 1,200-plus-pack measured marginal rates and uniform per-card allocations are modeling estimates, not factory-guaranteed odds. SIR2.22% is average cards per pack, not probability of at least one SIR; God/Demigod joint rates are not established. The independent reverse-position sampler is a disclosed approximation, not measured joint collation. Complete product draws precede Sift and pool filters without rerolls or backfill.
Calculation order: every pack's full card contents are drawn first. Disabled pools and optional Sift filtering apply only afterward and never backfill removed outcomes.
Set theme: Prismatic Evolutions centers Eevee and its Evolutions, brings Poké Ball and Master Ball pattern reverse holos to English packs, and replaces the usual Illustration Rare lane with a premium second reverse slot that can upgrade into Master Ball Pattern, Special Illustration Rare, or Hyper Rare pulls.
Prismatic Evolutions pull-rate context (community estimates)
This calculator reads generated local exact-printing prices. Its retained independent model uses 4 Common, 3 Uncommon, 1 Rare-family and 2 Reverse/premium positions. The original TCGplayer Authentication Center 1,200-plus-pack study supplies empirical marginal estimates; uniform per-card allocations and independent/exclusive slot sampling are modeling assumptions, not factory-guaranteed joint collation. SIR2.22% means average SIR cards per pack; God/Demigod packs can contain multiple SIRs and their frequency is unknown. No usual Illustration Rare tier is modeled. First-hand opening study · Publisher checklist.
Simulation order: card contents are drawn first, then optional Sift filtering is applied to the drawn pulls.
| Rarity / slot | Article / community range | Model default |
|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 16.51% (~1 in 6 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 16.51% |
| Ultra Rare | 7.46% (~1 in 13 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 7.46% |
| ACE SPEC Rare | 4.68% (~1 in 21 packs) | First reverse-slot upgrade = 4.68% |
| Poké Ball Pattern | 33.10% (~1 in 3 packs) | First reverse-slot upgrade = 33.10% |
| Master Ball Pattern | 4.92% (~1 in 20 packs) | Second reverse-slot upgrade = 4.92% |
| Special Illustration Rare (SIR) | 2.22% (~1 in 45 packs) | Second reverse-slot upgrade = 2.22% |
| Hyper Rare (HR) | 0.56% (~1 in 180 packs) | Second reverse-slot upgrade = 0.56% |
Validation targets: TCGplayer’s English Prismatic Evolutions pull-rate data, the uploaded Prismatic Evolutions card list for premium numbering ranges, and PokéBeach’s note that ACE SPEC cards live in the first reverse slot while Master Ball Pattern cards live in the second reverse slot.
Included pools ▶
Release-specific model analysis
What drives Scarlet & Violet—Prismatic Evolutions Sealed product
Product profile. This Elite Trainer Box resolves 90 card positions across 447 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated July 21, 2026 contains 171 Common, 112 Uncommon, 84 Rare, 32 Special Illustration Rare, 25 Double Rare, 12 Ultra Rare. Its largest slot groups are 100 foil common, 100 poke ball pattern, 67 master ball pattern, 46 nf common, 33 nf uncommon. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.
Largest modeled weights. Area Zero Underdepths #094/131 (0.818 expected per Elite Trainer Box), Binding Mochi #095/131 (0.818 expected per Elite Trainer Box), Briar #100/131 (0.818 expected per Elite Trainer Box), Bronzong #067/131 (0.818 expected per Elite Trainer Box), Buddy-Buddy Poffin #101/131 (0.818 expected per Elite Trainer Box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.
Release-specific card examples. Amarys (Holofoil) #132/131, Amarys (Holofoil) #170/131, Amarys (Poke Ball Pattern) #093/131, Amarys (Reverse Holofoil) #093/131, Amarys #093/131, Applin (Master Ball Pattern) #009/131, Archaludon (Holofoil) #070/131, Bug Catching Set #102/131, Exeggcute (Master Ball Pattern) #001/131. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.
Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 447 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Umbreon ex (Holofoil) #161/131 ($9.20), Sylveon ex (Holofoil) #156/131 ($3.19), Leafeon ex (Holofoil) #144/131 ($2.10), Espeon ex (Holofoil) #155/131 ($1.98), Vaporeon ex (Holofoil) #149/131 ($1.88). Together those five rows account for 34.9% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.
The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.
Selling Fees
Value Threshold
0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Elite Trainer Box EV × 9 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break‑even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All boxes | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | — | — | — |
Simulation Results (after Sift)
| Name | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Boxes / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift | 0.00 | |||||