Scarlet & Violet—Paradox Rift
Elite Trainer Box EV calculator

Estimate the opened booster-pack expected value (EV) of Paradox Rift elite trainer boxes using live TCGplayer market prices via TCGCSV. This calculator models the nine Paradox Rift booster packs inside a standard ETB with standard slots, rare-slot upgrades, guaranteed reverse holo pulls, and premium bonus-slot upgrades to produce realistic EV and variance projections.

This is pack-contents EV for the ETB. Basic Energy, code cards, the ETB promo, and ETB accessories are not included in this calculation.

Each sealed product is simulated pack-by-pack using the configured Paradox Rift pull-rate assumptions shown on the page. Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.

Set theme: Paradox Rift introduces Ancient and Future Pokémon, type-shifted Tera Pokémon ex, and one of the larger Scarlet & Violet premium sheets with Illustration Rare, Ultra Rare, Special Illustration Rare, and Hyper Rare chase cards.

9 packs / box Model defaults tuned to TCGplayer Paradox Rift pull-rate guidance Base slots: 4 Common • 3 Uncommon • 1 Rare-or-better Reverse slots: 1 guaranteed Reverse Holofoil + 1 bonus slot with IR / SIR / Hyper Rare upgrades Official numbering follows the uploaded Paradox Rift card list Live singles pricing from TCGCSV / TCGplayer

Paradox Rift pull-rate context (community estimates)

This calculator uses live pricing with a configurable Paradox Rift pack model. Published pull-rate references are listed below for context and tuned to the TCGplayer Paradox Rift pull-rate article. Reverse Holofoil cards are modeled across a guaranteed reverse slot plus a second reverse/premium slot, while Illustration Rare, Special Illustration Rare, and Hyper Rare hits are handled as upgrades to that bonus slot.

Simulation order: card contents are drawn first, then optional Sift filtering is applied to the drawn pulls.

Community-estimated Paradox Rift rarity upgrade rates used by the pack model.
Rarity / slotArticle / community rangeModel default
Double Rare15.57% (~1 in 6 packs)Rare-slot upgrade = 15.57%
Ultra Rare6.64% (~1 in 15 packs)Rare-slot upgrade = 6.64%
Illustration Rare (IR)7.70% (~1 in 13 packs)Bonus-slot upgrade = 7.70%
Special Illustration Rare (SIR)2.11% (~1 in 47 packs)Bonus-slot upgrade = 2.11%
Hyper Rare (HR)1.22% (~1 in 82 packs)Bonus-slot upgrade = 1.22%

Validation targets: TCGplayer’s English Paradox Rift pull-rate data, plus the official Paradox Rift card list for premium numbering ranges and card names.

Included pools
Sift is a price floor (USD): rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below, and it is applied after each pack’s cards are drawn.
Counts — Main (NF)
Counts — Rare slot
Counts — Reverse / Premium
Counts — Bonus slot
Sanity

Selling Fees

Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order is added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Changing this can materially alter EV. Low and Direct Low can be conservative when available.
Example: 0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.
Low/High = central quantiles measured from Monte Carlo pack openings.

Purchase EV

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV × 9 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break‑even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level EV, fees, profit, and ROI for the selected number of ETBs.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Sealed Price / EV

TCGplayer sealed Elite Trainer Box prices compared to the current pack-contents break-even price/box (mid).
TCGplayer product Box price Break-even price/box (mid) P/E Basis
TCGplayer Loading…
Daily TCGCSV sealed price rows for the standard Paradox Rift Elite Trainer Boxes.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.
Card-level expected value rows for the Paradox Rift Elite Trainer Box pack-contents model.
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value Seller fees Boxes / copy
Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift 0.00