Scarlet & Violet—Obsidian Flames
Sealed product EV calculator

Compare the expected value (EV) of supported Scarlet & Violet—Obsidian Flames sealed products in one calculator. Choose Booster Box / Display, Elite Trainer Box, or Booster Bundle; the calculator uses the selected product's pack quantity and generated model while retaining the set's documented pull assumptions and live singles pricing.

Ordinary Basic Energy-slot cards, code cards, and sealed extras are not included in this calculation; numbered premium Energy cards remain in their rarity pools.

Calculation order: every pack's full card contents are drawn first. Disabled pools and optional Sift filtering apply only afterward and never backfill removed outcomes.

Set theme: Obsidian Flames spotlights Darkness-type Charizard ex, Terastal Pokémon ex like Tyranitar ex and Eiscue ex, and a compact Scarlet & Violet premium sheet with Illustration Rare, Ultra Rare, Special Illustration Rare, and Hyper Rare chase cards.

36 packs / booster box Model defaults tuned to TCGplayer Obsidian Flames pull-rate guidance Base slots: 4 Common • 3 Uncommon • 1 Rare-or-better Reverse slots: 1 guaranteed Reverse Holofoil + 1 bonus slot with IR / SIR / Hyper Rare upgrades Official numbering follows the uploaded Obsidian Flames card list Live singles pricing from TCGCSV / TCGplayer

Obsidian Flames pull-rate context (community estimates)

This calculator uses live pricing with a configurable Obsidian Flames pack model. No exact publisher-published English rarity pull-rate table is available for Obsidian Flames, so these defaults remain TCGplayer/community estimates tuned to the TCGplayer Obsidian Flames pull-rate article. Reverse Holofoil cards are modeled across a guaranteed reverse slot plus a second reverse/premium slot, while Illustration Rare, Special Illustration Rare, and Hyper Rare hits are handled as upgrades to that bonus slot.

Simulation order: card contents are drawn first, then optional Sift filtering is applied to the drawn pulls.

Community-estimated Obsidian Flames rarity rates used by every supported sealed-product mode; the selected product controls pack count.
Rarity / slotArticle / community rangeModel default
Double Rare13.61% (~1 in 7 packs)Rare-slot upgrade = 13.61%
Ultra Rare6.63% (~1 in 15 packs)Rare-slot upgrade = 6.63%
Illustration Rare (IR)7.60% (~1 in 13 packs)Bonus-slot upgrade = 7.60%
Special Illustration Rare (SIR)3.13% (~1 in 32 packs)Bonus-slot upgrade = 3.13%
Hyper Rare (HR)1.92% (~1 in 52 packs)Bonus-slot upgrade = 1.92%

Validation targets: TCGplayer’s English Obsidian Flames pull-rate data, plus the official Obsidian Flames card list for premium numbering ranges and card names.

Included pools
Sift is a price floor (USD): rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below, and it is applied after each pack’s cards are drawn.
Counts — Main (NF)
Counts — Rare slot
Counts — Reverse / Premium
Counts — Bonus slot
Sanity

Selling Fees

Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order is added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Changing this can materially alter EV. Low and Direct Low can be conservative when available.
Example: 0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.
Low/High = central quantiles measured from Monte Carlo pack openings.

Purchase EV

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Booster Box / Display EV × 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break‑even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level expected value and profit after seller fees.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.
Modeled Obsidian Flames card rows with rarity, treatment, current value, seller fees, and expected boxes per copy.
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value Seller fees Boxes / copy
Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift 0.00