Scarlet & Violet—Black Bolt
Elite Trainer Box EV calculator
Estimate the expected value (EV) of Black Bolt Elite Trainer Boxes using live TCGplayer market prices via TCGCSV. This calculator models Black Bolt’s English pull structure with standard slots, rare-slot upgrades, parallel pattern pulls, and illustration-hit upgrades to produce realistic EV and variance projections.
Basic Energy, code cards, the Thundurus promo, and ETB accessories are not included in this calculation.
Each sealed product is simulated pack-by-pack using the configured Black Bolt pull-rate assumptions shown on the page. Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.
Set theme: Black Bolt revisits Unova with Zekrom, a deep Illustration Rare lineup, and Poké Ball / Master Ball pattern parallels.
Black Bolt pull-rate context (community estimates)
This calculator uses live pricing with a configurable Black Bolt pack model. Published pull-rate references are listed below for context and tuned to the TCGplayer Black Bolt / White Flare pull-rate article. Black White Rare chase cards are intentionally excluded from EV; their slot probability is preserved in the simulation, but they contribute $0 and are omitted from the per-card table.
Simulation order: card contents are drawn first, then optional Sift filtering is applied to the drawn pulls.
| Rarity / parallel | Article / community range | Model default |
|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 21.11% (~1 in 5 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 21.11% |
| Ultra Rare | 5.83% (~1 in 17 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 5.83% |
| Illustration Rare (IR) | 16.39% (~1 in 6 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 16.39% |
| Special Illustration Rare (SIR) | 1.25% (~1 in 80 packs) | Showcase default = 1.25% |
| Master Ball Pattern | 5.14% (~1 in 19 packs) | Parallel-slot upgrade = 5.14% |
| Black White Rare (BWR) | ~0.20% (~1 in 500 packs) | Excluded from EV ($0) |
Validation target source: TCGplayer’s English Black Bolt / White Flare pull-rate data; BWR slot odds are preserved, but Black White Rare cards are excluded from EV and the per-card table.
Included pools ▶
Selling Fees
Value Threshold
0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Box EV × 9 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break‑even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All boxes | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | — | — | — |
Simulation Results (after Sift)
| Name | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Boxes / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift | 0.00 | |||||