Scarlet & Violet—Black Bolt
Sealed product EV calculator
Compare the expected value (EV) of supported Scarlet & Violet—Black Bolt sealed products in one calculator. Choose Elite Trainer Box or Booster Bundle; the calculator uses the selected product's pack quantity and generated model while retaining the set's documented pull assumptions and live singles pricing.
Basic Energy, code cards, and sealed extras are not included in this calculation.
Calculation order: every pack's full card contents are drawn first. Disabled pools and optional Sift filtering apply only afterward and never backfill removed outcomes.
Set theme: Black Bolt revisits Unova with Zekrom, a deep Illustration Rare lineup, and Poké Ball / Master Ball pattern parallels.
Black Bolt pull-rate context (community estimates)
This calculator uses live pricing with a configurable Black Bolt pack model. Published pull-rate references are listed below for context and tuned to the TCGplayer Black Bolt / White Flare pull-rate article. Black White Rare chase cards are intentionally excluded from EV; the model treats them as nonexistent rather than preserving them as zero-EV pulls, so they are omitted from the simulation and per-card table.
Simulation order: card contents are drawn first, then optional Sift filtering is applied to the drawn pulls.
| Rarity / parallel | Article / community range | Model default |
|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 21.11% (~1 in 5 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 21.11% |
| Ultra Rare | 5.83% (~1 in 17 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 5.83% |
| Illustration Rare (IR) | 16.39% (~1 in 6 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 16.39% |
| Special Illustration Rare (SIR) | 1.25% (~1 in 80 packs) | Showcase default = 1.25% |
| Master Ball Pattern | 5.14% (~1 in 19 packs) | Parallel-slot upgrade = 5.14% |
| Black White Rare (BWR) | ~0.20% (~1 in 500 packs) | Excluded from the model |
Validation target source: TCGplayer’s English Black Bolt / White Flare pull-rate data; Black White Rare chase cards are left out of this chase-excluded EV model.
Included pools ▶
Selling Fees
Value Threshold
0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Elite Trainer Box EV × 9 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break‑even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All boxes | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | — | — | — |
Simulation Results (after Sift)
| Name | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Boxes / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift | 0.00 | |||||