Mega Evolution – Phantasmal Flames
Sealed product EV calculator

Compare the expected value (EV) of supported Mega Evolution – Phantasmal Flames sealed products in one calculator. Choose Booster Box / Display, Elite Trainer Box, or Booster Bundle; the calculator uses the selected product's pack quantity and generated model while retaining the set's documented pull assumptions and live singles pricing.

Promos, energy/token inserts, and Mega Hyper Rare (MHR) cards are not included in this calculation.

Calculation order: every pack's full card contents are drawn first. Disabled pools and optional Sift filtering apply only afterward and never backfill removed outcomes.

Set theme: Mega Evolution – Phantasmal Flames is themed around spectral/fire-aligned Mega highlights and showcase chase pulls, combining competitive staples with collector-driven premium cards.

36 packs / booster box Model defaults calibrated against TCGplayer Mega Evolution pull-rate guidance 10 game cards / pack: 4 Common • 3 Uncommon • 1 Rare-or-better • 2 foil/showcase outcomes Foil/premium slots: configurable rarity mix Rare/Double Rare from Rare-slots can use foil pricing Showcase hits replace one foil/premium outcome at the configured pack rate

Mega Evolution–Phantasmal Flames pull-rate context (community estimates)

This calculator uses live pricing with a configurable pack model. Community pull-rate references are listed below for context and validated against the TCGplayer Mega Evolution pull-rate article; Pokémon does not publish exact odds for these premium rarity defaults. Mega Hyper Rare (MHR) cards are intentionally excluded from EV totals in this tool.

Simulation order: card contents are drawn first, then optional Sift filtering is applied to the drawn pulls.

Phantasmal Flames pull-rate reference ranges and default model assumptions.
RarityArticle rangeModel default
Mega EX / Double Rare~20.9% (~1 in 5 packs)Rare-slot Double Rare upgrade default = 20.9%
Illustration Rare (IR)~10.9% (~1 in 9 packs)Modeled through the configurable premium pool
Full Art Pokémon/Trainers~1 in 12 to 27 packsFoil Rare+Epic default = 5.0% (~1 in 20)
Special Illustration Rare (SIR)~1 in 78–100 packsShowcase default = 1 in 89 packs
Mega Hyper Rare (MHR)~1 in 1,260 packsExcluded from EV model

Validation target source: TCGplayer — Pokémon TCG Mega Evolution Pull Rates. Defaults are tuned to this range and can be adjusted if market behavior shifts.

Included pools ▶
Sift is a price floor (USD): rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below, and it is applied after each pack’s cards are drawn.
Counts — Main (NF)
Counts — Rare slot
Counts — Foil slots
Counts — Showcase
Sanity

Selling Fees

Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order is added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Choose Market, Low, or Direct Low from the generated TCGplayer price snapshot.
Example: 0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.
Low/High = central quantiles measured from Monte Carlo pack openings.

Purchase EV

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Booster Box / Display EV × 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break‑even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level expected value, fees, profit, and return across all boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.
Phantasmal Flames booster box expected value rows by card, rarity, treatment, price, fees, and boxes per copy.
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value Seller fees Boxes / copy
Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift 0.00