Trainer analytics ME05
Compare Pitch Black Booster Box / Display or Booster Bundle with generated card prices, configurable pull assumptions, selling fees, and post-draw Sift filtering.
Promos, Basic Energy, code cards, and Mega Hyper Rare #120/084 are excluded from EV. Calculation order: full card contents are drawn first; disabled pools and Sift apply afterward without backfilling slots.
Product snapshot
Opening model
Premium outcomes include foil and showcase branches. Official inner-slot odds are not published, so every assumption remains editable.
Value concentration
| Card | Rarity | Value | Pull rate | EV contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading card values… | ||||
Contribution uses value × expected copies per display after the current pool and Sift settings.
This calculator is checklist-aware and price-driven. The generated card list anchors the special-card ranges, while the configurable pack model estimates how those cards enter pack EV. Official inner-slot odds for Pitch Black are not published. The retained 4 Common, 3 Uncommon, 1 Rare-or-Double-Rare and 2 premium positions are a configurable scenario, not factory collation. Common, Uncommon and Rare position counts must total 8, alongside the 2 premium positions, to preserve 10 modeled game cards per pack. Individual weights are uniform. The original 20.9% Double Rare, 1/89 Special Illustration Rare and normalized 85:12:4.2:0.8 premium mix are assumptions. Common/Uncommon premium prices use Reverse Holofoil; Rare and higher-rarity outcomes use Holofoil, including the retained Rare premium bucket. Other legitimate finishes remain outside this selected comparison; their prices are not substitutes.
Simulation order: each pack is drawn first, then disabled pools and optional Sift filtering are applied to the drawn cards. Disabled pools do not backfill slots.
| Checklist range | Rarity bucket | Model treatment |
|---|---|---|
| #001–084 | Standard set | Uses generated rarity labels for Common / Uncommon / Rare / Double Rare |
| #085–095 | Illustration Rare (IR) | Forced into the higher-rarity pool |
| #096–113 | Ultra Rare (UR) | Forced into the higher-rarity pool |
| #114–119 | Special Illustration Rare (SIR) | Modeled as the dedicated premium replacement slot |
| #120 | Mega Hyper Rare (MHR) | Excluded from EV totals |
Defaults stay configurable on purpose. If Pitch Black-specific pack data becomes available later, update the slot assumptions rather than pruning pools before the draw.
0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Booster Box / Display EV × 36 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per display (Purchase ÷ Displays) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per display (Purchase ÷ Displays) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per display (Purchase ÷ Displays) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per display (Purchase ÷ Displays) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break‑even price/display (mid) | $0.00 | ||
| All displays | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | — | — | — |
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| Source | Display price | Break-even price/display (mid) | P/E | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCGplayer | — | — | — | Loading… |
| eBay | — | — | — | Loading… |
| Amazon | — | — | — | Link only |
Distribution
Release-specific model analysis
Product profile. This booster box resolves 360 card positions across 203 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated July 10, 2026 contains 74 Common, 52 Uncommon, 22 Rare, 20 Double Rare, 18 Ultra Rare, 11 Illustration Rare. Its largest slot groups are 39 foil epic, 37 foil common, 37 nf common, 26 foil uncommon, 26 nf uncommon. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.
Largest modeled weights. Annihilape #041/084 (4.15 expected per booster box), Backtrack Badge #074/084 (4.15 expected per booster box), Banette #034/084 (4.15 expected per booster box), Bronzong #064/084 (4.15 expected per booster box), Dark Bell #075/084 (4.15 expected per booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.
Release-specific card examples. Annihilape (Reverse Holofoil) #041/084, Antique Armor Fossil (Reverse Holofoil) #072/084, Antique Armor Fossil #072/084, Armarouge (Holofoil) #012/084, Armarouge (Holofoil) #086/084, Bastiodon (Holofoil) #062/084, Dhelmise #039/084, Gladion's Final Battle (Holofoil) #118/084, Tropius (Reverse Holofoil) #001/084. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.
Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 203 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Mega Darkrai ex (Holofoil) #116/084 ($15.55), Morpeko ex (Holofoil) #117/084 ($6.75), Mega Zeraora ex (Holofoil) #114/084 ($4.34), Mega Chandelure ex (Holofoil) #115/084 ($3.27), Gwynn (Holofoil) #119/084 ($2.69). Together those five rows account for 38.3% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.
The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.
Singles data
| Name | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Displays / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (Expected / display) — active pools & Sift | 0.00 | |||||