Trainer analytics ME05

Pitch Black Sealed Product EV Calculator

Compare Pitch Black Booster Box / Display or Booster Bundle with generated card prices, configurable pull assumptions, selling fees, and post-draw Sift filtering.

Promos, Basic Energy, code cards, and Mega Hyper Rare #120/084 are excluded from EV. Calculation order: full card contents are drawn first; disabled pools and Sift apply afterward without backfilling slots.

Set Pitch Black Product Packs 36 Release July 17, 2026 Currency USD

Product snapshot

Pitch Black Booster Display Box

Generated data

Packs per box: 36
Modeled cards / pack: 10
Checklist size: 120
SIR pack rate: 1 in 89
Price snapshot: Jul 10, 2026

Opening model

Pack Structure

10 modeled cards

4Common

3Uncommon

1Rare or better

2Premium outcomes

Premium outcomes include foil and showcase branches. Official inner-slot odds are not published, so every assumption remains editable.

Value concentration

Top EV Contributors

Live results

Cards ranked by expected value contribution per sealed product.
Card	Rarity	Value	Pull rate	EV contribution
Loading card values…

Contribution uses value × expected copies per display after the current pool and Sift settings.

Model notes & checklist mapping Transparent assumptions for #001–120

This calculator is checklist-aware and price-driven. The generated card list anchors the special-card ranges, while the configurable pack model estimates how those cards enter pack EV. Official inner-slot odds for Pitch Black are not published, so Pokemon pull-rate assumptions are community-estimated, transparent, and editable.

Simulation order: each pack is drawn first, then disabled pools and optional Sift filtering are applied to the drawn cards. Disabled pools do not backfill slots.

Checklist range	Rarity bucket	Model treatment
#001–084	Standard set	Uses generated rarity labels for Common / Uncommon / Rare / Double Rare
#085–095	Illustration Rare (IR)	Forced into the higher-rarity pool
#096–113	Ultra Rare (UR)	Forced into the higher-rarity pool
#114–119	Special Illustration Rare (SIR)	Modeled as the dedicated premium replacement slot
#120	Mega Hyper Rare (MHR)	Excluded from EV totals

Defaults stay configurable on purpose. If Pitch Black-specific pack data becomes available later, update the slot assumptions rather than pruning pools before the draw.

Included poolsDraw first, filter after the opening9 pools included▶

Main — Common (nonfoil) Main — Uncommon (nonfoil) Rare slot — Rare Rare slot — Double Rare SIR slot — Special Illustration Rare Foil slot — Common Foil slot — Uncommon Foil slot — Rare Foil slot — Higher rarity

Sift is a price floor (USD): rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below, and it is applied after each pack’s cards are drawn.

Counts — Main (NF)

Counts — Rare slot

Counts — Foil slot

Counts — SIR

Sanity

Selling Fees

TCG seller type

Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order is added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Price source for EV

Generated price snapshots may not include every source for every card; unavailable source values fall back only within the same source family.

Sift

Example: 0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.

Simulation settings Confidence interval, run count, and Sift basis

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Central interval

Simulations

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.

Use Sift (≥) in EV

Low/High = central quantiles measured from Monte Carlo pack openings.

Purchase EV

Displays Purchased

Price per display ($)

Refresh the live range with the current settings

Low — Lower confidence bound

Mean — Monte Carlo arithmetic mean

High — Upper confidence bound

Detailed EV & profit breakdown Pack, display, fee, purchase, and ROI tables

Pack & Display EV

Pack and display expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
Metric	Low	Mid	High
Pack EV (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Booster Box / Display EV × 36 (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Gross EV per display (Purchase ÷ Displays)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees per display (Purchase ÷ Displays)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees per display (Purchase ÷ Displays)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after fees per display (Purchase ÷ Displays)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Break‑even price/display (mid)	$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

All displays	Low	Mid	High
Gross EV	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after expenses	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
ROI vs cost	—	—	—

Displays: 0 • Price/display: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Sealed Price / EV

Advertising disclosure: The Expected Value may earn commissions from qualifying purchases made through affiliate links. Programs used by the site include TCGplayer, Mana Pool, the eBay Partner Network, and Amazon Associates. As an Amazon Associate, The Expected Value earns from qualifying purchases.

Generated sealed display price compared to the current break-even price/display (mid).
Source	Display price	Break-even price/display (mid)	P/E	Basis
TCGplayer	—	—	—	Loading…
eBay	—	—	—	Loading…
Amazon	—	—	—	Link only

How to read this: P/E is dollars paid for each $1 of expected card value. Lower is cheaper relative to EV, but EV is only an average estimate, not guaranteed profit.

Distribution

Simulation Results (after Sift)

4,000 simulations

Confidence band: —

Each bar groups simulated display totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = display value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Singles data

Card Value Breakdown

Name	Card #	Rarity	Treatment	Value	Seller fees	Displays / copy
Total (Expected / display) — active pools & Sift						0.00
Sanity total (Expected / display) — all modeled rows (game cards only)						0.00
Gap to modeled cards/display target						0.00

Sanity check totals (ignore Sift & pool toggles; exclude token/rune)