Chaos Rising
Booster display box EV calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Pokemon TCG: Chaos Rising booster display boxes using generated card and price snapshots for set code CRI.

Promos, Basic Energy, code cards, and the checklist’s Mega Hyper Rare #122/086 are excluded from EV.

Each sealed display box is simulated pack-by-pack using the configurable rarity and premium-slot assumptions shown below. Cards are always drawn first, then disabled pools and optional Sift filtering are applied afterward; disabled pools do not backfill slots.

Checklist-aware buckets: the Chaos Rising checklist places standard-set cards at #001–086, illustration rares at #087–097, ultra rares at #098–115, special illustration rares at #116–121, and a Mega Hyper Rare at #122.

Set code: CRI 36 packs / display box Checklist-aware rarity overrides for #087–122 Base slots: 4 Common • 3 Uncommon • 1 Rare-or-better Premium slot: foil, with SIR replacement at configured pack rate Official inner-slot odds not published; defaults remain configurable

Chaos Rising model assumptions

This calculator is checklist-aware and price-driven. The generated card list anchors the special-card ranges, while the configurable pack model estimates how those cards enter pack EV. Official inner-slot odds for Chaos Rising are not published, so Pokemon pull-rate assumptions are community-estimated, transparent, and editable.

Simulation order: each pack is drawn first, then disabled pools and optional Sift filtering are applied to the drawn cards. Disabled pools do not backfill slots.

Checklist ranges and rarity buckets used by this pack model.
Checklist rangeRarity bucketModel treatment
#001–086Standard setUses generated rarity labels for Common / Uncommon / Rare / Double Rare
#087–097Illustration Rare (IR)Forced into the higher-rarity pool
#098–115Ultra Rare (UR)Forced into the higher-rarity pool
#116–121Special Illustration Rare (SIR)Modeled as the dedicated premium replacement slot
#122Mega Hyper Rare (MHR)Excluded from EV totals

Defaults stay configurable on purpose. If Chaos Rising-specific pack data becomes available later, update the slot assumptions rather than pruning pools before the draw.

Included pools ▶
Sift is a price floor (USD): rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below, and it is applied after each pack’s cards are drawn.
Counts — Main (NF)
Counts — Rare slot
Counts — Foil slot
Counts — SIR
Sanity

Selling Fees

Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order is added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Generated price snapshots may not include every source for every card; unavailable source values fall back only within the same source family.
Example: 0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.
Low/High = central quantiles measured from Monte Carlo pack openings.

Purchase EV

Pack & Display EV

Pack and display expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Display EV × 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per display (Purchase ÷ Displays)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per display (Purchase ÷ Displays)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per display (Purchase ÷ Displays)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per display (Purchase ÷ Displays)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break‑even price/display (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit across all displays.
All displaysLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Displays: 0 • Price/display: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated display totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = display value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.
Per-card expected copies and values for modeled pulls.
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value Seller fees Displays / copy
Total (Expected / display) — active pools & Sift 0.00