Opening model
Pack Structure
Community-estimated slot allocation for each pack. Futuristic Rare chase outcomes are removed and eligible outcomes normalized before drawing; Sift applies after the complete draw.
Trainer analytics • 30C
Estimate Booster Bundle opened value using disclosed community pull rates, generated card prices, seller fees and post-draw Sift. Other product listings remain unavailable until their complete contents are resolved.
Community-estimated, not publisher-verified odds. Guaranteed Basic Energy is included; Futuristic Rare chase cards are excluded. See model evidence and assumptions below. No Pitch Black probabilities are reused.
Product snapshot
Six 30th Celebration boosters: 30 foil game cards plus six guaranteed Basic Energy cards. Community-estimated slot allocation; official US product announcement date.
Official US announcement; regional dates and retailer stock require local confirmation
Opening model
Community-estimated slot allocation for each pack. Futuristic Rare chase outcomes are removed and eligible outcomes normalized before drawing; Sift applies after the complete draw.
Value concentration
| Card | Rarity | Value | Expected / bundle | EV contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A reviewed complete model is required. | ||||
Contribution uses value multiplied by expected copies per bundle after the current Sift setting.
The official checklist and generated catalog identify 158 main cards, 30 Classic Collection cards and eight Basic Energy cards. The 420-pack community study remains an estimated model, not official odds. Guaranteed Basic Energy is retained by explicit policy; other Futuristic Rare chase cards remain excluded. The official US showcase confirms selected later product announcements, while regional availability and retailer stock remain unverified.
Official English checklist · Official product announcement
The Booster Bundle's estimated complete model includes guaranteed Pikachu and Basic Energy plus disclosed slot-allocation assumptions. Community sample rates are not publisher odds, and uniform per-card allocation and independent slots are simplifying assumptions. Fixed promos, deck lists and other unresolved product contents still block those calculators; they are not assigned $0 EV. Chase exclusions are normalized within the same eligible slot before drawing, preserving the complete card count.
Loading generated calculator data. A reviewed complete model is required; unavailable values are not $0.
| Metric | Low | Mean | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV per bundle | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Net after percentage fees per bundle | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Purchase profit after fees and cost | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
No current simulation results.
Distribution
Release-specific model analysis
Product profile. The modeled Booster Bundle contains six packs and resolves 36 physical card positions. Its eligible catalog has 194 rows: 156 cards from the main 30th Celebration checklist, 30 Classic Collection cards and eight guaranteed Basic Energy cards. The four Futuristic Rare chase outcomes are removed from their slot before any cards are drawn rather than retained as zero-value hits.
Slot structure. A bundle draws 12 base foils from 68 Common or Uncommon cards; six optional-slot cards from a 116-card Common, Illustration Rare and Classic Collection pool; six Rare-or-better cards; six Pikachu cards; and six Basic Energy cards. The optional slot uses the community sample weights 292/420 Common or Uncommon, 84/420 Illustration Rare and 44/420 Classic Collection. The Rare-or-better slot normalizes 275 Rare, 116 Double Rare and 22 Special Illustration Rare observations after chase exclusion.
Where uncertainty enters. The rates come from an early 420-pack community study, not publisher collation data. Slot assignment, independence between slots and packs, and uniform allocation within each eligible rarity pool are disclosed modeling assumptions. The displayed simulation interval measures opening variance under those assumptions; it does not measure uncertainty in the estimated pull rates.
How to read the result. Current card prices determine which eligible outcomes contribute most to opened value, while the sealed P/E rows retain each marketplace's own sealed low. Changing the singles price basis or Sift threshold can change the simulated Low, Mean and High together, but it does not change the underlying product construction.
The baseline product is constructed first, including guaranteed Energy and normalized chase exclusions. The calculator draws all 36 cards next. Optional Sift and user filters evaluate that completed draw afterward and never reroll or backfill a rejected card.
Marketplace rows always use that marketplace's sealed low. Selecting market or Direct low singles never changes the sealed-price basis. Opened EV is percentage-fee-adjusted; promotional assumptions never enter baseline P/E or Market Ping.
| Marketplace | Sealed low | Opened EV (USD) | P/E | Freshness / pricing period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prices unavailable until generated data loads. | ||||
Launch-day and first-30-day observations are volatile, not stable historical pricing. Catalog-reported product dates are not treated as verified launch dates.
| Date | Marketplace | Low | Period |
|---|---|---|---|
| No history loaded. | |||
Singles data
Expansion, Classic Collection and guaranteed Basic Energy use separate model pools. Eligibility below reflects the selected product's loaded model, not mere catalog membership. Futuristic Rare chase cards remain visible for price reference only. The eight reviewed Basic Energy cards (MEE 009-016) are included only in the guaranteed-energy slot despite TCGCSV's Futuristic Rare classification; other MEE cards remain ineligible.
| Card | Set / number | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Expected / product | Gross EV | Model eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading card values. | |||||||
Official promotion terms. Official indexed text corroborated by an attributed reproduction; direct official access blocked. Confirm local retailer terms before purchase.
Starts 2026-10-02; $15 or more on Pokemon TCG products; currency outside the US and retailer-specific transaction rules require confirmation. Applies to Pokemon TCG products, not only 30th Celebration. In-store or online, while supplies last; no fixed end date verified.
US retailers: GameStop, Best Buy, Hot Topic, Five Below, Barnes & Noble, Macy's, BoxLunch. Oceania: EB Games Australia, JB Hi-Fi, BIG W, Toymate, Mr Toys. Canada: EB Games is reported but not independently verified. Oceania listing does not establish every country's eligibility or local currency threshold. No end date or per-person limit was recovered; retailers may impose additional rules.
Enter your actual retailer cost and your own hypothetical promo credit, allocated once per qualifying purchase. Blank is not zero. This optional analysis never modifies sealed prices or baseline P/E.
Optional scenario off. Effective acquisition cost unavailable.