Trainer analytics • 30C

30th Celebration Sealed Product EV Calculator

Estimate Booster Bundle opened value using disclosed community pull rates, generated card prices, seller fees and post-draw Sift. Other product listings remain unavailable until their complete contents are resolved.

Community-estimated, not publisher-verified odds. Guaranteed Basic Energy is included; Futuristic Rare chase cards are excluded. See model evidence and assumptions below. No Pitch Black probabilities are reused.

Set 30th CelebrationProduct Booster BundlePacks 6Currency USD

Product snapshot

30th Celebration Booster Bundle

Generated data
Packs / product
6
Modeled cards
36 / bundle
Catalog cards
Loading
Release
2026-10-02 (announced)
Singles snapshot
Unavailable

Six 30th Celebration boosters: 30 foil game cards plus six guaranteed Basic Energy cards. Community-estimated slot allocation; official US product announcement date.

Official US announcement; regional dates and retailer stock require local confirmation

Opening model

Pack Structure

6 modeled cards / pack
2Base foil
1Illustration / Classic
1Rare or better
2Pikachu + Energy

Community-estimated slot allocation for each pack. Futuristic Rare chase outcomes are removed and eligible outcomes normalized before drawing; Sift applies after the complete draw.

Value concentration

Top EV Contributors

Live results
Cards ranked by expected value contribution per sealed product.
CardRarityValueExpected / bundleEV contribution
A reviewed complete model is required.

Contribution uses value multiplied by expected copies per bundle after the current Sift setting.

Model evidence, community estimates and remaining inputsPull rates, exclusions, and calculation order
Loading selected product model evidence and assumptions.

The official checklist and generated catalog identify 158 main cards, 30 Classic Collection cards and eight Basic Energy cards. The 420-pack community study remains an estimated model, not official odds. Guaranteed Basic Energy is retained by explicit policy; other Futuristic Rare chase cards remain excluded. The official US showcase confirms selected later product announcements, while regional availability and retailer stock remain unverified.

Official English checklist · Official product announcement

The Booster Bundle's estimated complete model includes guaranteed Pikachu and Basic Energy plus disclosed slot-allocation assumptions. Community sample rates are not publisher odds, and uniform per-card allocation and independent slots are simplifying assumptions. Fixed promos, deck lists and other unresolved product contents still block those calculators; they are not assigned $0 EV. Chase exclusions are normalized within the same eligible slot before drawing, preserving the complete card count.

Selling Fees

Percentage seller and payment fees are applied to opened-card EV. Fixed per-unit fees and shipping are not deducted.

Value Threshold

Cards below this value count as $0 only when post-draw Sift is enabled.
Simulation settingsConfidence interval, run count, and Sift basis

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Sift is applied only after complete bundle contents are drawn.

Purchase EV

Loading generated calculator data. A reviewed complete model is required; unavailable values are not $0.

LowUnavailableLower confidence bound
MeanUnavailableMonte Carlo arithmetic mean
HighUnavailableUpper confidence bound
Detailed EV & profit breakdownPer-bundle gross, fees, purchase cost, and profit

Bundle and purchase EV

Bundle expected value summary across low, mean, and high simulation estimates.
MetricLowMeanHigh
Gross EV per bundleUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Net after percentage fees per bundleUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Purchase profit after fees and costUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

No current simulation results.

Distribution

Simulation Results (after Sift)

4,000 simulations
Confidence band: unavailable
Each bar groups simulated bundle totals after complete contents are drawn and optional Sift is applied. Ranges do not include pull-rate estimation uncertainty.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives 30th Celebration Booster Bundle EV

Product profile. The modeled Booster Bundle contains six packs and resolves 36 physical card positions. Its eligible catalog has 194 rows: 156 cards from the main 30th Celebration checklist, 30 Classic Collection cards and eight guaranteed Basic Energy cards. The four Futuristic Rare chase outcomes are removed from their slot before any cards are drawn rather than retained as zero-value hits.

Slot structure. A bundle draws 12 base foils from 68 Common or Uncommon cards; six optional-slot cards from a 116-card Common, Illustration Rare and Classic Collection pool; six Rare-or-better cards; six Pikachu cards; and six Basic Energy cards. The optional slot uses the community sample weights 292/420 Common or Uncommon, 84/420 Illustration Rare and 44/420 Classic Collection. The Rare-or-better slot normalizes 275 Rare, 116 Double Rare and 22 Special Illustration Rare observations after chase exclusion.

Where uncertainty enters. The rates come from an early 420-pack community study, not publisher collation data. Slot assignment, independence between slots and packs, and uniform allocation within each eligible rarity pool are disclosed modeling assumptions. The displayed simulation interval measures opening variance under those assumptions; it does not measure uncertainty in the estimated pull rates.

How to read the result. Current card prices determine which eligible outcomes contribute most to opened value, while the sealed P/E rows retain each marketplace's own sealed low. Changing the singles price basis or Sift threshold can change the simulated Low, Mean and High together, but it does not change the underlying product construction.

The baseline product is constructed first, including guaranteed Energy and normalized chase exclusions. The calculator draws all 36 cards next. Optional Sift and user filters evaluate that completed draw afterward and never reroll or backfill a rejected card.

Sealed P/E and price history

Marketplace rows always use that marketplace's sealed low. Selecting market or Direct low singles never changes the sealed-price basis. Opened EV is percentage-fee-adjusted; promotional assumptions never enter baseline P/E or Market Ping.

MarketplaceSealed lowOpened EV (USD)P/EFreshness / pricing period
Prices unavailable until generated data loads.
Observed sealed-price history

Launch-day and first-30-day observations are volatile, not stable historical pricing. Catalog-reported product dates are not treated as verified launch dates.

DateMarketplaceLowPeriod
No history loaded.

Singles data

Card Value Breakdown

Expansion, Classic Collection and guaranteed Basic Energy use separate model pools. Eligibility below reflects the selected product's loaded model, not mere catalog membership. Futuristic Rare chase cards remain visible for price reference only. The eight reviewed Basic Energy cards (MEE 009-016) are included only in the guaranteed-energy slot despite TCGCSV's Futuristic Rare classification; other MEE cards remain ineligible.

CardSet / numberRarityTreatmentValueExpected / productGross EVModel eligibility
Loading card values.
Optional October 2 Mewtwo acquisition-cost scenario

Official promotion terms. Official indexed text corroborated by an attributed reproduction; direct official access blocked. Confirm local retailer terms before purchase.

Starts 2026-10-02; $15 or more on Pokemon TCG products; currency outside the US and retailer-specific transaction rules require confirmation. Applies to Pokemon TCG products, not only 30th Celebration. In-store or online, while supplies last; no fixed end date verified.

US retailers: GameStop, Best Buy, Hot Topic, Five Below, Barnes & Noble, Macy's, BoxLunch. Oceania: EB Games Australia, JB Hi-Fi, BIG W, Toymate, Mr Toys. Canada: EB Games is reported but not independently verified. Oceania listing does not establish every country's eligibility or local currency threshold. No end date or per-person limit was recovered; retailers may impose additional rules.

Enter your actual retailer cost and your own hypothetical promo credit, allocated once per qualifying purchase. Blank is not zero. This optional analysis never modifies sealed prices or baseline P/E.

Optional scenario off. Effective acquisition cost unavailable.

Pokemon calculators · Sealed P/E