Outlaws of Thunder Junction Play Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate gross opened-card value for one English Outlaws of Thunder Junction Play Booster Display: 36 packs and 504 game cards. This estimate uses generated exact-printing prices, published aggregate slot rates, and the allocation assumptions below.

Model assumptions & evidence

Each sealed box is modeled using the pack and card-slot configuration listed below, including product-specific bonus-sheet or treatment behavior where applicable. Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.

Set theme: Outlaws of Thunder Junction is themed as a multiplayer western heist world, with villain crews, bounty flavor, and frontier-inspired treatments shaping both draft texture and collectible variants.

36 packs / box 14 cards / pack (game cards) Breaking News: 1/pack (≈ U 66.67%, R 26.67%, M 6.67%) The List: 1 in 5 packs (SPG 1/64; BIG remainder) Land slot fully modeled (basics, Western, duals; foil/nonfoil) Foil slot fully modeled across OTJ / OTP / BF
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order is added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from generated card-prices snapshots. TCG, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket choices use the same card rows; EV applies Sift only after each pack's contents are drawn.
Rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if toggled on, and it is applied after each pack’s cards are drawn.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.
Low/High = central quantiles from exact slot-sampled Monte Carlo pack openings.

Purchase EV

Included setsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Sift is a price floor (USD): rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after exact slots are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Simulated box EV (36 packs)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net proceeds after fees per box (before acquisition cost) (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break‑even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Net Proceeds

Purchase expected value and financial summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net proceeds after fees (before acquisition cost)$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI (enter cost)———
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Outlaws of Thunder Junction Play Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
36 packs / box
Cards
14 cards / pack (game cards)
Product detail
Breaking News: 1/pack (≈ U 66.67%, R 26.67%, M 6.67%)
Rows
Loading

Complete 14-card pack structure

Commons5 cards + 1 common/List position
81 ordinary commons. The replacement position is common80%, BIG59/320, Special Guests1/64. The List replaces a common, not a token.
Uncommons3 cards
100 ordinary uncommons, uniform within this assumed pool.
Nonfoil wildcard1 card
Published rare/mythic1/12; remaining11/12 split common:uncommon2:1 as retained assumption. Eligible OTJ Booster Fun included in rare/mythic pool.
Rare / mythic1 card
Published Booster Fun2.5%, ordinary97.5%. Retain assumed ordinary rare:mythic6:1. Uniform Booster Fun print weights except each Oko treatment has half weight.
Breaking News1 card
65 OTP printings1–65. Published rare/mythic1/3; retained conditional split rare:mythic4:1 (overall U2/3,R4/15,M1/15).
Traditional foil1 card
Eligible OTJ and OTP printings, including Wanted Poster and borderless; no foil BIG or SPG. Retain assumed rare/mythic1/12 and common:uncommon2:1 within remaining11/12.
Land1 card
Common dual1/2, Western landscape basic1/6, regular basic1/3. Each family20%foil. Ten duals, five Western arts, ten regular arts; uniform within each family.

Construct eligible pools first, draw every card in all36packs, then apply Sift and selected-pool filters without reroll or backfill. Token/ad/art inserts are outside EV. Collector-only extended art, textured OTP, BIG vault/raised foil, and foil SPG are absent.

Sources: Wizards collecting guide and publisher product guide. Unpublished within-bucket allocations, uniform card weights where stated, and independent slot/pack draws are modeling assumptions, not measured factory collation. The stored backend estimate retains a separate disclosed allocation; numeric parity is not claimed.

Showing all cards
Modeled card rows with set, treatment, value, seller fees, and average boxes per copy.
Name Set Card # Rarity Treatment Value ($) Seller fees (pct + txn) Boxes / copy
Total (Expected copies / box) — included sets & Sift 0.00
Expected copies / box0.00