Lorwyn Eclipsed Play Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Lorwyn Eclipsed Play Booster boxes using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots. Updated daily, this calculator uses publisher-documented contents and the qualified allocation assumptions described below to model realistic pack value projections.

Model assumptions & evidence

Each sealed box is modeled using the pack and card-slot configuration listed below, including product-specific bonus-sheet or treatment behavior where applicable. Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.

Set theme: Lorwyn Eclipsed is themed around a return to Lorwyn’s whimsical-yet-shadowed duality, blending bright fae-fantasy identities with darker twilight contrasts in its worldbuilding and card style.

30 packs / box 14 game cards / pack (non-game items excluded) Special Guests (SPG): 1 in 55 packs replaces a common — nonfoil only

SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

30 packs / box 14 game cards / pack (non-game items excluded) Special Guests (SPG): 1 in 55 packs replaces a common — nonfoil only

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

TCG seller type

Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order is added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Price source for EV

Prices load from local TCGCSV snapshots. EV applies Sift only after each pack's contents are drawn.

Sift

Rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if toggled on, and it is applied after each pack’s cards are drawn.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Central interval

Simulations

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.

Use Sift (≥) in EV

Low/High = central quantiles from slot-based Monte Carlo pack openings.

Purchase EV

Boxes Purchased

Price per box ($)

Free shipping?

Included setsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls

Lorwyn Eclipsed — Normal (nonfoil) Lorwyn Eclipsed — Normal (foil) Lorwyn Eclipsed — Fable Frame (U/R/M) Lorwyn Eclipsed — Borderless nonland (R/M) Lorwyn Eclipsed — Borderless reversible shock lands Special Guests (SPG) — Borderless (nonfoil) Lorwyn Eclipsed — Default-frame basics (incl. foil) Lorwyn Eclipsed — Full-art basics (incl. foil)

Sift is a price floor (USD): rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below.

Sealed Price / EV

Advertising disclosure: The Expected Value may earn commissions from qualifying purchases made through affiliate links. Programs used by the site include TCGplayer, Mana Pool, the eBay Partner Network, and Amazon Associates. As an Amazon Associate, The Expected Value earns from qualifying purchases.

Marketplace sealed box price compared to the current break-even price/box (mid).
Source	Box price	Break‑even price/box (mid)	P/E	Basis
Mana Pool	—	—	—	Loading…
TCGplayer	—	—	—	Loading…
eBay	—	—	—	Loading…
Amazon	—	—	—	Loading…

How to read this: Think of P/E as “dollars paid for each $1 of expected card value.” 1.00x means the box price and the current mid EV are the same. 1.25x means you are paying $125 for each $100 of expected value. 0.90x means you are paying $90 for each $100 of expected value. Lower is cheaper relative to EV, but EV is only an average estimate, not guaranteed profit.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —

Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
Metric	Low	Mid	High
Pack EV (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Simulated box EV (30 packs)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net proceeds after fees per box (before acquisition cost) (Purchase ÷ Boxes)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Break‑even price/box (mid)	$0.00

Purchase EV & Net Proceeds

Purchase expected value and financial summary across all selected boxes.
All boxes	Low	Mid	High
Gross EV	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net proceeds after fees (before acquisition cost)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
ROI (enter cost)	—	—	—

Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Lorwyn Eclipsed Play Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs: 30 packs / box
Cards: 14 game cards / pack (non-game items excluded)
Product detail: Special Guests (SPG): 1 in 55 packs replaces a common — nonfoil only
Rows: Loading

Pack Structure

Each Lorwyn Eclipsed Play Booster is modeled with 14 game-card slots.

Commons7 cards / pack

Pool: 101 modeled card outcomes.Common block: 6.9818 expected / pack.Common block SPG replacement: 0.0182 expected / pack (1.82% expected per pack).

Uncommons3 cards / pack

Pool: 110 modeled card outcomes.Uncommon slots: 2.7 expected / pack.Uncommon slots Fable Frame: 0.3 expected / pack (30% expected per pack).

Land1 card / pack

Pool: 30 modeled card outcomes.Land default nonfoil: 0.4 expected / pack (40% expected per pack).Land full-art nonfoil: 0.4 expected / pack (40% expected per pack).Land default foil: 0.1 expected / pack (10% expected per pack).Land full-art foil: 0.1 expected / pack (10% expected per pack).

Rare / Mythic1 card / pack

Pool: 145 modeled card outcomes.Rare/mythic main rare: 0.782 expected / pack (78.2% expected per pack).Rare/mythic main mythic: 0.136 expected / pack (13.6% expected per pack).Rare/mythic Fable Frame rare: 0.046 expected / pack (4.6% expected per pack).Rare/mythic Fable Frame mythic: 0.012 expected / pack (1.2% expected per pack).Rare/mythic residual borderless mythic: 0.008 expected / pack (0.8% expected per pack).Rare/mythic residual borderless rare: 0.008 expected / pack (0.8% expected per pack).Rare/mythic residual shock land: 0.008 expected / pack (0.8% expected per pack).

Wildcard1 card / pack

Pool: 336 modeled card outcomes.Wildcard main uncommon: 0.5777 expected / pack (57.77% expected per pack).Wildcard main rare: 0.1892 expected / pack (18.92% expected per pack).Wildcard main common: 0.1793 expected / pack (17.93% expected per pack).Wildcard Fable Frame uncommon: 0.0199 expected / pack (1.99% expected per pack).Wildcard main mythic: 0.0199 expected / pack (1.99% expected per pack).Wildcard borderless rare: 0.01 expected / pack (1% expected per pack).Wildcard residual borderless mythic: 0.001 expected / pack (0.1% expected per pack).Wildcard residual shock land: 0.001 expected / pack (0.1% expected per pack).Wildcard residual Fable Frame mythic: 0.001 expected / pack (0.1% expected per pack).Wildcard residual Fable Frame rare: 0.001 expected / pack (0.1% expected per pack).

Foil Wildcard1 card / pack

Pool: 336 modeled card outcomes.Foil wildcard main common: 0.604 expected / pack (60.4% expected per pack).Foil wildcard main uncommon: 0.298 expected / pack (29.8% expected per pack).Foil wildcard main rare: 0.065 expected / pack (6.5% expected per pack).Foil wildcard main mythic: 0.011 expected / pack (1.1% expected per pack).Foil wildcard Fable Frame uncommon: 0.01 expected / pack (1% expected per pack).Foil wildcard Fable Frame rare: 0.01 expected / pack (1% expected per pack).Foil wildcard residual borderless mythic: 0.0005 expected / pack (0.05% expected per pack).Foil wildcard residual borderless rare: 0.0005 expected / pack (0.05% expected per pack).Foil wildcard residual shock land: 0.0005 expected / pack (0.05% expected per pack).Foil wildcard residual Fable Frame mythic: 0.0005 expected / pack (0.05% expected per pack).

Future EV calculations should draw all 14 game-card slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic after the draw.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

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Modeled card rows with set, treatment, value, seller fees, and average boxes per copy.
Name	Set	Card #	Rarity	Treatment	Value	Seller fees	Boxes / copy
Total (Expected copies / box) — included sets & Sift							0.00
Sanity total (Expected / box) — all modeled rows (game cards)							0.00
Gap to 420 cards/box							0.00

Expected copies / box0.00

Sanity check totals (ignore Sift & set toggles; exclude non‑game items)

Checking exact printing and finish price coverage…

Calculator notes

Model: 30 packs of 14 game cards. Wizards documents the contents and rounded slot rates. The original wildcard assumptions remain: allocate 0.10% to each of four listed <1% outcomes, then scale the rounded fixed wildcard buckets by 0.996. Rare-slot residuals split equally among three buckets (0.8% each); foil residuals split among four (0.05% each). Inner card allocations are uniform. These residual and inner allocations are assumptions, not publisher-confirmed individual odds. Serialized #352 and Collector-only contents are absent from this Play product. Complete contents are drawn before included-pool controls or Sift score them.
Simulation: Low, Mid, and High come from the same recalculated result set.
Pricing: existing generated price snapshots, fee handling, and marketplace sealed-price behavior are preserved.
Presentation: desktop rows become searchable result cards below 800px without changing the underlying EV rows.