One Piece Card Game / Booster Box
One Piece Card The Best Booster Box EV Calculator
Estimate this physical product's no-chase expected value with a product-, region-, language-, and printing-specific model, then compare the modeled range with your entered cost. Estimated ROI is a planning metric, not a guaranteed return.
- Release
- November 8, 2024
- Market scope
- en / North America / English North America booster box
- Default singles price
- TCGplayer Low
- Model basis
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy
Sealed Price / EV
Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.
| Marketplace | Product price | Break-even price | P/E | Basis |
|---|
Simulation Results
Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.
Confidence band: --
Modeled contribution mix
Card Value Breakdown
See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.
Modeled gross / booster box—
Waiting for modeled rows
Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidenceBest Evidence — Japanese collation proxyReviewed September 4, 2026 Price coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline4 chase families excluded
Generated model: /data-static/one-piece/one-piece-card-the-best/models/one-piece-card-the-best-booster-box.json
Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy
Evidence
This calculator is based on Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy reviewed September 4, 2026.
Sources
- One Piece Card The Best [PRB-01] official English product page - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-03)
- TCGCSV category 68 group 23496, sealed product 545399 - TCGCSV (accessed 2026-09-03) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy and ordinary-pool classification - The Expected Value (accessed 2026-09-04)
- Exact English PRB01 reprint, imprint and chase checklist - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-04)
- Exact English PRB01 twenty ten-card packs; not a rate source - GameStop (accessed 2026-09-04)
- English PRB01 first-hand selected hits and unverified detailed pack recipe - Longjumping-Olive727 and Amiibohunter000; recipe by No-Complaint8814 via Reddit (accessed 2026-09-04)
- Japanese PRB01 product identity, not an English rate ledger - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-04)
- Marketplace distinguishes changed artist-credit PRB01 reprint from original listing - TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04)
- Reviewed shared English ordinary reprint listings in group 3188 - TCGCSV / TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Reviewed shared English ordinary reprint listings in group 17698 - TCGCSV / TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Reviewed shared English ordinary reprint listings in group 22890 - TCGCSV / TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Reviewed shared English ordinary reprint listings in group 23024 - TCGCSV / TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Reviewed shared English ordinary reprint listings in group 23213 - TCGCSV / TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Reviewed shared English ordinary reprint listings in group 23272 - TCGCSV / TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Reviewed shared English ordinary reprint listings in group 3189 - TCGCSV / TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Reviewed shared English ordinary reprint listings in group 3191 - TCGCSV / TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Reviewed shared English ordinary reprint listings in group 3192 - TCGCSV / TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Reviewed shared English ordinary reprint listings in group 3190 - TCGCSV / TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Reviewed shared English ordinary reprint listings in group 17699 - TCGCSV / TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Reviewed shared English ordinary reprint listings in group 22930 - TCGCSV / TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Reviewed shared English ordinary reprint listings in group 22957 - TCGCSV / TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Reviewed shared English ordinary reprint listings in group 23348 - TCGCSV / TCGplayer (accessed 2026-09-04) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
Limitations
- collation.cardsPerPack and collation.packsPerProduct: the product uses 10 cards per pack and 20 packs per English booster box; those physical wrapper counts do not establish rarity-slot probabilities.
- collation.caseStructure: box-level hit counts and display/case correlations are unresolved for the exact English North America printing.
- evidence.sample: null because no reviewed observation provides a complete, attributable sample with exact unit, size, method, North America printing, and observation interval.
- Modeling policy approved 2026-09-04: every supported ordinary card in the same slot, rarity, treatment, and finish pool receives one equal positive selection weight. This is a transparent modeling assumption where the publisher or empirical sample gives pool odds but not card-level sheet weights.
- PRB01 assumption-based Japanese collation proxy: exact English wrapper and card-price identities are retained, informed by PRB01-specific English partial opening reports. No complete attributable English or Japanese rarity/finish ledger was established. The publisher verifies a ten-card English pack; the exact English retailer verifies twenty packs per display, totaling 200 physical cards. Checklist counts are identities, never pull rates. No other set's observations or Japanese prices are imported as PRB01 evidence.
- The ordinary English roster has 104 game identities: 23 C, 25 UC, 20 R, 25 SR, 6 regular SEC, 4 in-pack Promotion reprints and 1 Sanji Leader. The 111 headline additionally includes seven manga-only numbers; those are not extra ordinary SR/SEC/R candidates. C/UC/Promo/Leader use Normal; R/SR/SEC use Foil. The four P-numbered cards are genuine PRB01 reprints, not external promotions. All 72 ordinary Jolly Roger Foils are retained in separate imprint positions, never priced or drawn as base Normal reprints.
- Fifty changed base reprints/new Leader have exact PRB01 marketplace listings. Fifty-four unchanged English base reprints use an explicit product-and-group allowlist of their shared original English listings, reconciled to the publisher's exact PRB01 collector numbers and ordinary art/treatment. Distinct artist-credit reprints, alternate arts, pre-release stamps, Jolly Roger, Full Art, Textured and Japanese versions are not substitutes. Each of all 236 retained exact price SKUs requires positive TCGplayer Low; any missing ordinary price fails the entire classification rather than shrinking its pool. The shared listing's market price pools indistinguishable copies from multiple products; that marketplace limitation is disclosed.
- Each synthetic ten-card pack contains five ordinary C/UC/Promo draws, one ordinary Rare, one SR/SEC draw, one imprint/Leader draw, one no-chase imprint draw and one DON!! draw. Assumed box marginals are 100 bulk, 20 Rare, 18 SR, 2 regular SEC, 39 Jolly Roger Foils, 1 Leader and 20 ordinary DON!! = 200. Bulk rarity/card allocation is uniform across 52 C/UC/Promo identities, not an observed C/UC split. Imprint allocation is uniform across 72 identities. The 19/20 imprint versus 1/20 Leader probability is explicitly assumed; it is not inferred from one Leader design.
- English first-hand reports in the November 2024 discussion describe two SEC and two Foil-or-Gold DON!! per box, but report selected hits only. The detailed ten-position recipe and 18 SR statement are community claims without a complete opening ledger. Their 9/10 SR versus 1/10 SEC and 9/10 Normal versus 1/10 Foil DON!! allocations are adopted only as disclosed PRB01 assumptions, not verified rates or box guarantees. Thirty ordinary DON!! designs each retain both positive-priced Normal and Foil SKUs. The two finishes share ONE physical DON!! mass of twenty expected draws, not forty or sixty cards; finish probabilities are 90/10, not an arbitrary 50/50 mixture. Publisher ordinary versus Gold labels alone do not prove nonfoil versus foil.
- PRB01 has no separate collector product; this premium booster baseline excludes all alternate-art, Full Art, Textured, Gold DON!! and Manga/god-pack chase outcomes before drawing. Condition the special-art slot to its retained Jolly Roger outcomes and the Gold/Foil slot to ordinary Foil DON!! before drawing, preserving all ten pack positions. Do not preserve zero-EV chase occupancy. No external purchase campaign, tournament promotion or separate topper is added. Draw all 200 cards first, then apply Sift and user filters without backfill. Independent draws preserve expected marginals, not guaranteed box counts, pack no-duplicate rules, case seeding or god-pack frequency. Embedded pack EV is box EV divided by 20; only the box is public. evidence.sample remains null: exact printing wave and observation interval are unresolved.
- No-chase redraw policy approved 2026-09-04: Curio, Enchanted, alternate-art, parallel, showcase, serialized, signature, premium-rarity, promotional, and any other card or treatment without a supported pull rate are excluded. A chase hit is redrawn from the applicable supported ordinary pool, so excluded cards occupy no modeled outcome.
- Simulation ordering is draw the complete disclosed no-chase product first, record that draw, and only then apply Sift or another user filter. Sift never changes or backfills the completed modeled draw.
Local price snapshots
Pricing
TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.
- Row coverage (reviewed)
- 100.0%
- Modeled mass coverage (reviewed)
- 100.0%
- Coverage observed
- September 4, 2026
- Low-price source
- Available Via Tcgcsv
No catalog-level price fallbacks are recorded. Runtime gaps are disclosed below when data loads.
TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.
Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.
No-chase model
Chase Exclusions
Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.
- Cards outside the supported ordinary recipe
- Gold DON!! cards
- Manga and god-pack cards
- Unsupported alternate-art, Full Art or Textured treatments
Model assumptions & evidence
Simulation order: complete product contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied only after the draw, and filtered outcomes are never replaced or backfilled.
Product snapshot
Modeled Product Structure
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Packs per booster box
- 20
- Draw order
- Complete draw, then filters
All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.
Pack & Booster Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Booster Box EV × 20 packs (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Seller fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after purchase | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break-even price (Mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Estimated ROI
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Modeled ROI vs entered cost | -- | -- | -- |
booster boxes: 0 · Price/booster box: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00
How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.
Expected contribution
Card Value Breakdown
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Products / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected cards/booster box after toggles and Sift | 0.00 | ||||||
| All modeled game-card rows | 0.00 | ||||||
| Gap to modeled card total | 0.00 | ||||||
Preparing calculator...
The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.