One Piece Card Game / Booster Box

Adventure on Kami's Island Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate this physical product's no-chase expected value with a product-, region-, language-, and printing-specific model, then compare the modeled range with your entered cost. Estimated ROI is a planning metric, not a guaranteed return.

Release
April 3, 2026
Market scope
en / North America / English North America booster box
Default singles price
TCGplayer Low
Model basis
Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy

Sealed Price / EV

Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.

Low sealed marketplace price compared with the current Mid break-even price.
MarketplaceProduct priceBreak-even priceP/EBasis

Simulation Results

Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.

Confidence band: --

Modeled contribution mix

Card Value Breakdown

See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.

Waiting for modeled rows

Card contribution data appears after prices load.Contents are drawn first; included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied afterward.
Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidenceBest Evidence — Japanese collation proxyReviewed September 4, 2026 Price coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline4 chase families excluded

Generated model: /data-static/one-piece/adventure-on-kamis-island/models/adventure-on-kamis-island-booster-box.json

Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy

Evidence

This calculator is based on Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy reviewed September 4, 2026.

Sources

Limitations

  • collation.cardsPerPack and collation.packsPerProduct: the product uses 12 cards per pack and 24 packs per English booster box; those physical wrapper counts do not establish rarity-slot probabilities.
  • collation.caseStructure: box-level hit counts and display/case correlations are unresolved for the exact English North America printing.
  • evidence.sample: null because no reviewed observation provides a complete, attributable sample with exact unit, size, method, North America printing, and observation interval.
  • identifiers.tcgcsvGroupId: The English publisher product is the combined OP15-EB04 release. It must not be substituted with the Asian standalone OP15 product.
  • Modeling policy approved 2026-09-04: every supported ordinary card in the same slot, rarity, treatment, and finish pool receives one equal positive selection weight. This is a transparent modeling assumption where the publisher or empirical sample gives pool odds but not card-level sheet weights.
  • OP15-EB04 assumption-only box marginals: 166 Common, 72 Uncommon, 39 Rare, 4 Leader, 4 Super Rare, 1 regular Secret Rare, and 2 ordinary DON!! outcomes total 288 physical cards. No complete OP15-EB04 English or Japanese rarity ledger was established. The retained probabilities and Secret Rare conditioning are explicit generic assumptions, not measured pull rates or a factory guarantee.
  • The exact English combined roster contains 149 ordinary identities: OP15-001 through OP15-119, EB04-001 through EB04-010, and EB04-042 through EB04-061. Its 60 Common, 30 Uncommon, 35 Rare, 7 Leader, 14 Super Rare and 3 Secret Rare identities use exact English treatment/finish SKUs with positive TCGplayer Low prices. EB04-011 through EB04-041 belong to the different OP14-EB04 release. Equal card weights within retained rarity pools are assumptions; the checklist does not establish the OP15/EB04 mixture or printing-sheet weights.
  • The reviewed first-hand Japanese OP15 opening explicitly omits Rare and below; it supplies no complete rarity/DON!! ledger, pack sequence, printing wave or opening interval. Commenters' asserted standard hit rates are not adopted as measured data. The separate Japanese OP15 product and partial opening corroborate identity only; Japanese prices, the entire EB04 roster, and another set's observations do not establish this English box's probabilities or value.
  • English ordinary booster DON!! Luffy product 686650 uses its exact Foil Low price. Gold DON!! 686651 is removed before drawing and the retained DON!! pool is normalized to the ordinary card. Two expected DON!! per box and replacement of Common positions are explicit assumptions. No reviewed source establishes a thirteenth card, so DON!! remains inside the 24 twelve-card boosters with no phantom cards or separate box-only DON!! bonus.
  • Each synthetic twelve-card pack has seven Common-or-DON!! positions weighted 83/84 Common and 1/84 DON!!, three Uncommons, one guaranteed Rare, and one upgrade weighted 15/24 Rare, 4/24 Leader, 4/24 Super Rare and 1/24 regular Secret Rare. Slot assignment is an explicit modeling assumption. These independent draws preserve expected marginals, not guaranteed box counts, no-duplicate rules or case seeding. Embedded pack EV is box EV divided by 24, including 2/24 expected DON!!. Chase is removed and retained same-slot outcomes normalized before drawing; draw all 288 cards before Sift or user filters, which never backfill the draw.
  • Exact Dash Pack SKUs 686291-686296, DP-10 bonus DON!! 689810/689811, and Regional Top 64 prize 710740 are external promotions, excluded from booster positions. No external purchase or tournament promotion adds default value to sealed box 682057. All unsupported alternate arts, Manga, Special, Treasure Rare and Gold DON!! identities are absent before drawing, including the Roronoa Zoro Treasure Rare 685335 whose title has no SP marker. Regular Secret Rares EB04-061 Monkey.D.Luffy 685333, OP15-118 Enel 685477, and OP15-119 Monkey.D.Luffy 685480 remain eligible; their alternate arts and Manga never occupy zero-EV positions.
  • No-chase redraw policy approved 2026-09-04: Curio, Enchanted, alternate-art, parallel, showcase, serialized, signature, premium-rarity, promotional, and any other card or treatment without a supported pull rate are excluded. A chase hit is redrawn from the applicable supported ordinary pool, so excluded cards occupy no modeled outcome.
  • Simulation ordering is draw the complete disclosed no-chase product first, record that draw, and only then apply Sift or another user filter. Sift never changes or backfills the completed modeled draw.

Local price snapshots

Pricing

TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.

Row coverage (reviewed)
100.0%
Modeled mass coverage (reviewed)
100.0%
Coverage observed
September 4, 2026
Low-price source
Available Via Tcgcsv

No catalog-level price fallbacks are recorded. Runtime gaps are disclosed below when data loads.

TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.

Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.

No-chase model

Chase Exclusions

Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.

  • External Dash Pack, Double Pack and tournament promotional cards
  • Gold DON!! cards
  • Treasure Rare cards
  • Unsupported alternate-art, manga and Special cards

Model assumptions & evidence

Simulation order: complete product contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied only after the draw, and filtered outcomes are never replaced or backfilled.

Product snapshot

Modeled Product Structure

Cards per pack
12
Packs per booster box
24
Draw order
Complete draw, then filters

All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.

Pack & Booster Box EV

Pack and per-product Low, Mid, and High expected value ranges from one recalculation. Each physical unit is simulated separately. Fractional display-rate slots are coupled as needed to keep the full pack card count and preserve expected slot weights; factory pack correlations remain an approximation.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Booster Box EV × 24 packs (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Seller fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after purchase$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price (Mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Estimated ROI

Purchase Low, Mid, and High EV and estimated ROI values from the same recalculated simulation.
MetricLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
Modeled ROI vs entered cost------

booster boxes: 0 · Price/booster box: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00

How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.

Expected contribution

Card Value Breakdown

Modeled card rows, current values, fees, and expected products per copy.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValueSeller feesProducts / copy
Expected cards/booster box after toggles and Sift0.00
Preparing calculator...

The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.

Calculator Settings

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Price and Sift

EV RangeMonte CarloAdvanced

Purchase EV