One Piece Card Game / Booster Box
The Azure Sea's Seven Booster Box EV Calculator
Estimate this physical product's no-chase expected value with a product-, region-, language-, and printing-specific model, then compare the modeled range with your entered cost. Estimated ROI is a planning metric, not a guaranteed return.
- Release
- January 16, 2026
- Market scope
- en / North America / English North America booster box
- Default singles price
- TCGplayer Low
- Model basis
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy
Sealed Price / EV
Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.
| Marketplace | Product price | Break-even price | P/E | Basis |
|---|
Simulation Results
Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.
Confidence band: --
Modeled contribution mix
Card Value Breakdown
See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.
Waiting for modeled rows
Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidenceBest Evidence — Japanese collation proxyReviewed September 4, 2026 Price coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline4 chase families excluded
Generated model: /data-static/one-piece/the-azure-seas-seven/models/the-azure-seas-seven-booster-box.json
Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy
Evidence
This calculator is based on Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy reviewed September 4, 2026.
Sources
- The Azure Sea's Seven [OP14-EB04] official English product page - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-03)
- TCGCSV category 68 group 24537, sealed product 665598 - TCGCSV (accessed 2026-09-03) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy and ordinary-pool classification - The Expected Value (accessed 2026-09-04)
- English OP14-EB04 combined card checklist - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-04)
- Japanese standalone OP14 six-card booster and roster - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-04)
- OP14 Japanese one-box opening published 2025-11-22; Rare and below omitted - Ice no Kakurega (accessed 2026-09-04)
- DP-09 separate one-card DON!! bonus, two designs - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-04)
Limitations
- collation.cardsPerPack and collation.packsPerProduct: the product uses 12 cards per pack and 24 packs per English booster box; those physical wrapper counts do not establish rarity-slot probabilities.
- collation.caseStructure: box-level hit counts and display/case correlations are unresolved for the exact English North America printing.
- evidence.sample: null because no reviewed observation provides a complete, attributable sample with exact unit, size, method, North America printing, and observation interval.
- identifiers.tcgcsvGroupId: The English publisher product is the combined OP14-EB04 release. TCGCSV group 24537 abbreviates it as OP14; that marketplace shorthand does not make the Asian standalone OP14 product interchangeable.
- Modeling policy approved 2026-09-04: every supported ordinary card in the same slot, rarity, treatment, and finish pool receives one equal positive selection weight. This is a transparent modeling assumption where the publisher or empirical sample gives pool odds but not card-level sheet weights.
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy: exact English wrapper and card-price identities are combined with an owner-approved Japanese-product collation proxy because a complete English rate ledger is not published. This is an estimate, not a factory guarantee.
- Only booster-pack slot counts and rarity probabilities are proxied. Card identities, treatments, TCGplayer Low prices, sealed-product identity, language, region, release date, and any explicitly modeled fixed bonus come from the exact English release.
- The proxy is first-order and product-family-specific. No display or case correlation is inherited, and no target is used as a donor for another target.
- Within each retained English rarity/treatment pool, exact positively priced card SKUs use equal positive weight where publisher sheet weights are unavailable.
- OP14-EB04 assumption-only box marginals: 166 Common, 72 Uncommon, 39 Rare, 4 Leader, 4 Super Rare, 1 regular Secret Rare, and 2 ordinary DON!! cards total 288 physical cards. No complete OP14-EB04 English or Japanese rarity ledger was found; these retained probabilities are explicit generic assumptions, not measured pull rates.
- Replace this proxy when a complete, attributable English collation ledger or publisher rate table becomes available for the exact release.
- The exact English combined roster contains 151 ordinary identities: OP14-001 through OP14-120 and EB04-011 through EB04-041. Its 59 Common, 30 Uncommon, 38 Rare, 7 Leader, 15 Super Rare and 2 Secret Rare identities are verified against the English checklist and exact English TCGplayer Low SKUs. EB04-001 through EB04-010 and EB04-042 onward are outside this release. Equal per-card weights within each retained rarity pool are an assumption; the checklist does not establish the OP14/EB04 share of a slot.
- The attributable Japanese standalone OP14 opening published 2025-11-22 reports three Super Rares, one parallel Leader and one parallel Rare, while explicitly omitting Rare and below. It does not establish Common/Uncommon totals, a DON!! count, pack positions, printing wave or an opening interval. It is a partial observation, not a complete rarity ledger, and does not measure the different combined English product. No other set or Japanese price is used to establish English probabilities or card value.
- Ordinary English DON!! products 672185 (Dracule Mihawk) and 672188 (Egghead) use their exact Foil Low prices at equal retained-pool weights. Gold DON!! products 672186 and 672190 are removed before drawing. Two total DON!! outcomes per box, their equal design mix, and replacement of Common mass are explicit assumptions without a complete observed ledger. No source reviewed establishes extra wrapper cards: the two expected DON!! outcomes remain inside 24 twelve-card boosters.
- Each synthetic twelve-card pack has seven Common-or-DON!! positions weighted 83/84 Common and 1/84 DON!!, three Uncommons, one guaranteed Rare and one upgrade weighted 15/24 Rare, 4/24 Leader, 4/24 Super Rare and 1/24 regular Secret Rare. Slot assignment is an explicit modeling assumption. These are expected marginals, not guaranteed box counts, no-duplicate rules or case seeding. Embedded pack EV is box EV divided by 24, including the 2/24 DON!! expectation. Draw all 288 cards before Sift or other user filters; filtering never backfills the draw.
- Exact Dash Pack promotional SKUs 672373-672378 and DP-09 bonus DON!! SKUs 672736 and 672738 are excluded from booster positions. No external purchase or tournament promotion or box topper adds default value to sealed box 665598. All unsupported alternate arts, Manga, Special, anniversary, Treasure Rare and Gold DON!! identities are absent before drawing, with retained outcomes normalized in their applicable slots. Regular Secret Rare Crocodile 668640 and Dracule Mihawk 668641 remain eligible; their alternate arts and Manga do not occupy zero-EV positions.
- No-chase redraw policy approved 2026-09-04: Curio, Enchanted, alternate-art, parallel, showcase, serialized, signature, premium-rarity, promotional, and any other card or treatment without a supported pull rate are excluded. A chase hit is redrawn from the applicable supported ordinary pool, so excluded cards occupy no modeled outcome.
- Simulation ordering is draw the complete disclosed no-chase product first, record that draw, and only then apply Sift or another user filter. Sift never changes or backfills the completed modeled draw.
Local price snapshots
Pricing
TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.
- Row coverage (reviewed)
- 100.0%
- Modeled mass coverage (reviewed)
- 100.0%
- Coverage observed
- September 4, 2026
- Low-price source
- Available Via Tcgcsv
No catalog-level price fallbacks are recorded. Runtime gaps are disclosed below when data loads.
TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.
Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.
No-chase model
Chase Exclusions
Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.
- External Dash Pack and Double Pack promotional cards
- Gold DON!! cards
- Treasure Rare cards
- Unsupported alternate-art, manga and Special cards
Model assumptions & evidence
Simulation order: complete product contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied only after the draw, and filtered outcomes are never replaced or backfilled.
Product snapshot
Modeled Product Structure
- Cards per pack
- 12
- Packs per booster box
- 24
- Draw order
- Complete draw, then filters
All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.
Pack & Booster Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Booster Box EV × 24 packs (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Seller fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after purchase | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break-even price (Mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Estimated ROI
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Modeled ROI vs entered cost | -- | -- | -- |
booster boxes: 0 · Price/booster box: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00
How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.
Expected contribution
Card Value Breakdown
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Products / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected cards/booster box after toggles and Sift | 0.00 | ||||||
| All modeled game-card rows | 0.00 | ||||||
| Gap to modeled card total | 0.00 | ||||||
The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.