One Piece Card Game / Booster Box
Carrying On His Will Booster Box EV Calculator
Estimate this physical product's no-chase expected value with a product-, region-, language-, and printing-specific model, then compare the modeled range with your entered cost. Estimated ROI is a planning metric, not a guaranteed return.
- Release
- November 7, 2025
- Market scope
- en / North America / English North America booster box
- Default singles price
- TCGplayer Low
- Model basis
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy
Sealed Price / EV
Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.
| Marketplace | Product price | Break-even price | P/E | Basis |
|---|
Simulation Results
Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.
Confidence band: --
Modeled contribution mix
Card Value Breakdown
See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.
Waiting for modeled rows
Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidenceBest Evidence — Japanese collation proxyReviewed September 4, 2026 Price coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline5 chase families excluded
Generated model: /data-static/one-piece/carrying-on-his-will/models/carrying-on-his-will-booster-box.json
Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy
Evidence
This calculator is based on Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy reviewed September 4, 2026.
Sources
- Carrying On His Will [OP-13] official English product page - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-03)
- TCGCSV category 68 group 24303, sealed product 628352 - TCGCSV (accessed 2026-09-03) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy and ordinary-pool classification - The Expected Value (accessed 2026-09-04)
- Japanese OP-13 six-card booster and set roster - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-04)
- OP-13 Japanese one-box opening, published 2025-08-27: partial rarity counts and one ordinary DON!! - Warabee (accessed 2026-09-04)
- OP-13 external Treasure Campaign Pack, limited to qualifying in-store purchases while stocks last - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-04)
Limitations
- collation.cardsPerPack and collation.packsPerProduct: the product uses 12 cards per pack and 24 packs per English booster box; those physical wrapper counts do not establish rarity-slot probabilities.
- collation.caseStructure: box-level hit counts and display/case correlations are unresolved for the exact English North America printing.
- evidence.sample: null because no reviewed observation provides a complete, attributable sample with exact unit, size, method, North America printing, and observation interval.
- Modeling policy approved 2026-09-04: every supported ordinary card in the same slot, rarity, treatment, and finish pool receives one equal positive selection weight. This is a transparent modeling assumption where the publisher or empirical sample gives pool odds but not card-level sheet weights.
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy: exact English wrapper and card-price identities are combined with an owner-approved Japanese-product collation proxy because a complete English rate ledger is not published. This is an estimate, not a factory guarantee.
- Only booster-pack slot counts and rarity probabilities are proxied. Card identities, treatments, TCGplayer Low prices, sealed-product identity, language, region, release date, and any explicitly modeled fixed bonus come from the exact English release.
- The proxy is first-order and product-family-specific. No display or case correlation is inherited, and no target is used as a donor for another target.
- Within each retained English rarity/treatment pool, exact positively priced card SKUs use equal positive weight where publisher sheet weights are unavailable.
- OP-13 assumption-only box marginals: 166 Common, 72 Uncommon, 39 Rare, 4 Leader, 4 Super Rare, 1 regular Secret Rare, and 2 ordinary booster DON!! cards total 288 physical cards. No complete OP-13 Japanese or English rarity ledger was found; the retained game-card mix remains the program's generic assumption, not measured OP-13 pull rates.
- Replace this proxy when a complete, attributable English collation ledger or publisher rate table becomes available for the exact release.
- The exact English OP-13 ordinary roster contains 120 base identities: 45 Common, 30 Uncommon, 26 Rare, 6 Leader, 10 Super Rare, and 3 Secret Rare. Checklist counts establish identities, not pull rates. Retained English card/treatment/finish SKUs use positive TCGplayer Low prices and equal weights within their pools.
- Warabee's directly attributable Japanese one-box opening, published 2025-08-27, reports 20 Rare, 3 Super Rare, 3 Leader, one alternate-art Rare and one ordinary Gol.D.Roger DON!!, with no Secret Rare. Common/Uncommon totals, pack positions, printing wave and opening interval are absent. This is a partial observation, not a complete rarity ledger; its introductory internet-sourced rate claims are not adopted. Scaling one observed Japanese DON!! to two expected English DON!! outcomes is an explicit assumption.
- Exact English ordinary booster DON!! product 660744 uses its Foil TCGplayer Low price. Gold DON!! product 660710 is chase-excluded, and the retained DON!! pool is normalized to the ordinary card before drawing. No reviewed OP-13 source establishes an extra card in an English DON!! pack or its replaced rarity, so two expected DON!! outcomes replace assumed Common mass inside 288 physical cards.
- Each synthetic twelve-card pack has seven Common-or-DON!! positions weighted 83/84 Common and 1/84 DON!!, three Uncommons, one guaranteed Rare, and one independent upgrade weighted 15/24 Rare, 4/24 Leader, 4/24 Super Rare, and 1/24 regular Secret Rare. Slot assignment is an explicit modeling assumption. These are expected marginals, not guaranteed box counts, no-duplicate rules or case seeding. Embedded pack EV is box EV divided by 24, including 2/24 expected DON!!. Draw the complete 288-card product before Sift or user filters; filtering never backfills the draw.
- Bandai's three-card 3rd Anniversary Treasure Campaign Pack is an external purchase promotion available only for qualifying in-store box purchases while stocks last; online purchases do not qualify. It is not sealed inside every OP-13 booster box and contributes no default box or pack EV. No separate-product promotional DON!!, Illustration Box cards or other external bonuses are added.
- All four Wanted Poster identities, Special cards, 3rd Anniversary silver/gold cards, Treasure Rare, alternate arts, Super Alternate Arts, Red Super Alternate Arts and Gold DON!! are absent before drawing. Wanted Poster products 657404, 657409 and 657414 retain SEC marketplace metadata but are explicitly excluded; only regular-art Monkey.D.Luffy 657400, Portgas.D.Ace 657405 and Sabo 657410 enter the three-card SEC pool. Unsupported chase positions are conditioned on retained ordinary outcomes before drawing; regular SEC frequency remains an assumption.
- No-chase redraw policy approved 2026-09-04: Curio, Enchanted, alternate-art, parallel, showcase, serialized, signature, premium-rarity, promotional, and any other card or treatment without a supported pull rate are excluded. A chase hit is redrawn from the applicable supported ordinary pool, so excluded cards occupy no modeled outcome.
- Simulation ordering is draw the complete disclosed no-chase product first, record that draw, and only then apply Sift or another user filter. Sift never changes or backfills the completed modeled draw.
Local price snapshots
Pricing
TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.
- Row coverage (reviewed)
- 100.0%
- Modeled mass coverage (reviewed)
- 100.0%
- Coverage observed
- September 4, 2026
- Low-price source
- Available Via Tcgcsv
No catalog-level price fallbacks are recorded. Runtime gaps are disclosed below when data loads.
TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.
Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.
No-chase model
Chase Exclusions
Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.
- Alternate-art, parallel, and promotional cards
- Gold DON!! cards
- Special and 3rd Anniversary cards
- Special and Wanted Poster cards
- Treasure Rare cards
Model assumptions & evidence
Simulation order: complete product contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied only after the draw, and filtered outcomes are never replaced or backfilled.
Product snapshot
Modeled Product Structure
- Cards per pack
- 12
- Packs per booster box
- 24
- Draw order
- Complete draw, then filters
All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.
Pack & Booster Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Booster Box EV × 24 packs (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Seller fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after purchase | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break-even price (Mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Estimated ROI
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Modeled ROI vs entered cost | -- | -- | -- |
booster boxes: 0 · Price/booster box: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00
How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.
Expected contribution
Card Value Breakdown
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Products / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected cards/booster box after toggles and Sift | 0.00 | ||||||
| All modeled game-card rows | 0.00 | ||||||
| Gap to modeled card total | 0.00 | ||||||
The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.