One Piece Card Game / Booster Box
A Fist of Divine Speed Booster Box EV Calculator
Estimate this physical product's no-chase expected value with a product-, region-, language-, and printing-specific model, then compare the modeled range with your entered cost. Estimated ROI is a planning metric, not a guaranteed return.
- Release
- June 6, 2025
- Market scope
- en / North America / English North America booster box
- Default singles price
- TCGplayer Low
- Model basis
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy
Sealed Price / EV
Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.
| Marketplace | Product price | Break-even price | P/E | Basis |
|---|
Simulation Results
Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.
Confidence band: --
Modeled contribution mix
Card Value Breakdown
See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.
Waiting for modeled rows
Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidenceBest Evidence — Japanese collation proxyReviewed September 4, 2026 Price coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline5 chase families excluded
Generated model: /data-static/one-piece/a-fist-of-divine-speed/models/a-fist-of-divine-speed-booster-box.json
Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy
Evidence
This calculator is based on Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy reviewed September 4, 2026.
Sources
- A Fist of Divine Speed [OP-11] official English product page - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-03)
- TCGCSV category 68 group 24241, sealed product 620180 - TCGCSV (accessed 2026-09-03) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy and ordinary-pool classification - The Expected Value (accessed 2026-09-04)
- Japanese OP-11 six-card booster and set roster - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-04)
- OP-11 Japanese box opening, 2025-03-01: one observed DON!!; no full rarity ledger - Chaos Hobby Blog (accessed 2026-09-04)
- Double Pack Set Vol.7 separate DON!! bonus designs - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-04)
Limitations
- collation.cardsPerPack and collation.packsPerProduct: the product uses 12 cards per pack and 24 packs per English booster box; those physical wrapper counts do not establish rarity-slot probabilities.
- collation.caseStructure: box-level hit counts and display/case correlations are unresolved for the exact English North America printing.
- evidence.sample: null because no reviewed observation provides a complete, attributable sample with exact unit, size, method, North America printing, and observation interval.
- pricing.coverage: exact TCGCSV identity is known, but modeled row and expected-mass coverage have not been measured.
- Modeling policy approved 2026-09-04: every supported ordinary card in the same slot, rarity, treatment, and finish pool receives one equal positive selection weight. This is a transparent modeling assumption where the publisher or empirical sample gives pool odds but not card-level sheet weights.
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy: exact English wrapper and card-price identities are combined with an owner-approved Japanese-product collation proxy because a complete English rate ledger is not published. This is an estimate, not a factory guarantee.
- Only booster-pack slot counts and rarity probabilities are proxied. Card identities, treatments, TCGplayer Low prices, sealed-product identity, language, region, release date, and any explicitly modeled fixed bonus come from the exact English release.
- The proxy is first-order and product-family-specific. No display or case correlation is inherited, and no target is used as a donor for another target.
- Within each retained English rarity/treatment pool, exact positively priced card SKUs use equal positive weight where publisher sheet weights are unavailable.
- OP-11 assumption-only box marginals: 166 Common, 72 Uncommon, 39 Rare, 4 Leader, 4 Super Rare, 1 regular Secret Rare, and 2 booster DON!! cards total 288 physical cards. No complete OP-11 Japanese or English rarity ledger was found; the game-card rarity mix remains the program's generic assumption and must not be read as measured OP-11 pull rates.
- Replace this proxy when a complete, attributable English collation ledger or publisher rate table becomes available for the exact release.
- Bandai's English OP-11 roster lists 128 game-card types plus one DON!! type: 119 ordinary identities, six Special cards, two 3rd Anniversary Special cards, and one Treasure Rare. The 45 Common, 30 Uncommon, 26 Rare, 6 Leader, 10 Super Rare, and 2 Secret Rare base identities remain eligible with exact English TCGplayer Low prices.
- A dated first-hand Japanese OP-11 box report describes 24 six-card packs and one booster DON!! card. This supports that design's in-pack identity, not exact English rates. Scaling the observed one-DON count to two DON!! per 288-card English box is an explicit assumption; the rarity totals for the other cards were not counted by that report and are not attributed to it.
- Exact English booster DON!! product 636742 uses its Foil Low price. Double Pack Set Vol.7 products 636744 and 636745 belong to the separate one-card bonus in DP-07 and are excluded. No box topper or purchase promotion is added to the OP-11 booster box.
- No reviewed OP-11 source establishes a thirteenth card in English DON!! packs or the replaced rarity. The two assumed DON!! outcomes replace two assumed Common positions, preserving the advertised 24 twelve-card boosters. The retained 166/72/39/4/4/1 game-card marginals are unresolved assumptions, including the regular Secret Rare normalization after unsupported chase removal; no other set supplies empirical evidence for them.
- Each synthetic twelve-card pack contains seven Common-or-DON!! positions weighted 83/84 Common and 1/84 DON!!, three Uncommons, one guaranteed Rare, and one upgrade weighted 15/24 Rare, 4/24 Leader, 4/24 Super Rare, and 1/24 regular Secret Rare. This Common/DON!! slot allocation and the other pack positions are assumptions, not measured OP-11 collation. Independent draws within these slots preserve the expected box totals without fixing the number of DON!! or upgrade outcomes, imposing no-duplicate rules, or seeding case patterns. Embedded pack EV is one twenty-fourth of box EV, including the 2/24 DON!! expectation. All 288 cards are drawn before Sift or other user filters; those filters never backfill the completed draw.
- Every unsupported alternate art, manga, Special, 3rd Anniversary silver/gold, Treasure Rare, and external promotional outcome is absent before drawing. Regular-art Monkey.D.Luffy OP11-118 and Koby OP11-119 Secret Rares remain eligible, with equal positive weights within their retained English rarity/treatment pools.
- No-chase redraw policy approved 2026-09-04: Curio, Enchanted, alternate-art, parallel, showcase, serialized, signature, premium-rarity, promotional, and any other card or treatment without a supported pull rate are excluded. A chase hit is redrawn from the applicable supported ordinary pool, so excluded cards occupy no modeled outcome.
- Simulation ordering is draw the complete disclosed no-chase product first, record that draw, and only then apply Sift or another user filter. Sift never changes or backfills the completed modeled draw.
Local price snapshots
Pricing
TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.
- Row coverage (reviewed)
- 100.0%
- Modeled mass coverage (reviewed)
- 100.0%
- Coverage observed
- September 4, 2026
- Low-price source
- Available Via Tcgcsv
No catalog-level price fallbacks are recorded. Runtime gaps are disclosed below when data loads.
TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.
Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.
No-chase model
Chase Exclusions
Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.
- Alternate-art, parallel, and promotional cards
- Separate-product Double Pack DON!! cards
- Showcase, serialized, signature, and hyperspace cards
- Special and 3rd Anniversary cards
- Treasure Rare cards
Model assumptions & evidence
Simulation order: complete product contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied only after the draw, and filtered outcomes are never replaced or backfilled.
Product snapshot
Modeled Product Structure
- Cards per pack
- 12
- Packs per booster box
- 24
- Draw order
- Complete draw, then filters
All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.
Pack & Booster Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Booster Box EV × 24 packs (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Seller fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after purchase | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break-even price (Mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Estimated ROI
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Modeled ROI vs entered cost | -- | -- | -- |
booster boxes: 0 · Price/booster box: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00
How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.
Expected contribution
Card Value Breakdown
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Products / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected cards/booster box after toggles and Sift | 0.00 | ||||||
| All modeled game-card rows | 0.00 | ||||||
| Gap to modeled card total | 0.00 | ||||||
The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.