One Piece Card Game / Booster Box
Royal Blood Booster Box EV Calculator
Estimate this physical product's no-chase expected value with a product-, region-, language-, and printing-specific model, then compare the modeled range with your entered cost. Estimated ROI is a planning metric, not a guaranteed return.
- Release
- March 21, 2025
- Market scope
- en / North America / English North America booster box
- Default singles price
- TCGplayer Low
- Model basis
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy
Sealed Price / EV
Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.
| Marketplace | Product price | Break-even price | P/E | Basis |
|---|
Simulation Results
Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.
Confidence band: --
Modeled contribution mix
Card Value Breakdown
See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.
Waiting for modeled rows
Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidenceBest Evidence — Japanese collation proxyReviewed September 4, 2026 Price coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline5 chase families excluded
Generated model: /data-static/one-piece/royal-blood/models/royal-blood-booster-box.json
Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy
Evidence
This calculator is based on Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy reviewed September 4, 2026.
Sources
- Royal Blood [OP-10] official English product page - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-03)
- TCGCSV category 68 group 23766, sealed product 586671 - TCGCSV (accessed 2026-09-03) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy and ordinary-pool classification - The Expected Value (accessed 2026-09-04)
- Japanese OP-10 six-card booster and set contents - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-04)
- OP-10 complete single Japanese box opening, published 2024-12-08 - Tubuke Blog (accessed 2026-09-04)
- Tin Pack Set Vol.1 separate DON!! promotion - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-04)
Limitations
- collation.cardsPerPack and collation.packsPerProduct: the product uses 12 cards per pack and 24 packs per English booster box; those physical wrapper counts do not establish rarity-slot probabilities.
- collation.caseStructure: box-level hit counts and display/case correlations are unresolved for the exact English North America printing.
- evidence.sample: null because no reviewed observation provides a complete, attributable sample with exact unit, size, method, North America printing, and observation interval.
- Modeling policy approved 2026-09-04: every supported ordinary card in the same slot, rarity, treatment, and finish pool receives one equal positive selection weight. This is a transparent modeling assumption where the publisher or empirical sample gives pool odds but not card-level sheet weights.
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy: exact English wrapper and card-price identities are combined with an owner-approved Japanese-product collation proxy because a complete English rate ledger is not published. This is an estimate, not a factory guarantee.
- Only booster-pack slot counts and rarity probabilities are proxied. Card identities, treatments, TCGplayer Low prices, sealed-product identity, language, region, release date, and any explicitly modeled fixed bonus come from the exact English release.
- The proxy is first-order and product-family-specific. No display or case correlation is inherited, and no target is used as a donor for another target.
- Within each retained English rarity/treatment pool, exact positively priced card SKUs use equal positive weight where publisher sheet weights are unavailable.
- Per 24-pack English OP-10 box proxy: 170 Common, 60 Uncommon, 8 Leader, 2 parallel DON!!, 48 x 19/23 Rare, 48 x 3/23 Super Rare, and 48 x 1/23 regular Secret Rare expected cards fill 288 physical positions. These are marginal expectations from an assumed twelve-card pack allocation, not guaranteed box counts or a reconstructed English pack sequence.
- Replace this proxy when a complete, attributable English collation ledger or publisher rate table becomes available for the exact release.
- The reviewed OP-10 opening reports one Japanese box of 24 six-card packs: 85 C, 30 UC, 19 R, 4 L, 3 SR, 1 DON!!, 1 regular SEC and 1 SP, totaling 144. Scaling this small sample to the English 12-card wrapper is an explicit assumption; the opening author described this as a lucky box, so its frequencies must not be presented as population rates.
- The SP outcome is removed before drawing. Treating it as part of the rare-or-higher group is a modeling assumption because its physical slot was not recorded; that group is normalized across the observed ordinary Rare, Super Rare and Secret Rare mix of 19:3:1. No unsupported SP-to-Secret-only replacement, box hit guarantee, case correlation or no-duplicate rule is inferred. Sift and other user filters apply only after the complete product is drawn.
- The English ordinary pool contains 45 Common, 30 Uncommon, 26 Rare, 6 Leader, 10 Super Rare and 2 Secret Rare identities. All six SP identities, the English Portgas.D.Ace Treasure Rare, Trafalgar Law Manga, and unsupported game-card parallels remain absent before drawing. Regular-art Monkey.D.Luffy OP10-118 and Trafalgar Law OP10-119 remain eligible, using equal positive weights within each retained rarity pool.
- Booster DON!! product 624357 uses its exact English Foil price and contributes an expected 2/24 cards to embedded pack EV. DON!! occupies positions inside the 288-card wrapper; no 290-card total or box-only bonus is claimed. Tin Pack Set Vol.1 has its own separate DON!! promotion and does not add value to this booster-box SKU.
- Each modeled twelve-card pack contains 7 Common, 2 Uncommon, 1 guaranteed Rare, 1 filler and 1 upgrade draw. The filler uses 2/24 Common, 12/24 Uncommon, 8/24 Leader and 2/24 DON!!; the upgrade uses 15/23 Rare, 6/23 Super Rare and 2/23 regular Secret Rare. Slot assignment is an explicit modeling assumption because the source records only a box ledger. The two variable slots are sampled independently, preserving the normalized mean counts without fixed box hit totals. Simulated spread remains an approximation, not a measured English sealed-box distribution; replace it when an attributable English OP-10 pack or case ledger is available.
- No-chase redraw policy approved 2026-09-04: Curio, Enchanted, alternate-art, parallel, showcase, serialized, signature, premium-rarity, promotional, and any other card or treatment without a supported pull rate are excluded. A chase hit is redrawn from the applicable supported ordinary pool, so excluded cards occupy no modeled outcome.
- Simulation ordering is draw the complete disclosed no-chase product first, record that draw, and only then apply Sift or another user filter. Sift never changes or backfills the completed modeled draw.
Local price snapshots
Pricing
TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.
- Row coverage (reviewed)
- 100.0%
- Modeled mass coverage (reviewed)
- 100.0%
- Coverage observed
- September 4, 2026
- Low-price source
- Available Via Tcgcsv
No catalog-level price fallbacks are recorded. Runtime gaps are disclosed below when data loads.
TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.
Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.
No-chase model
Chase Exclusions
Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.
- Alternate-art, parallel, and promotional cards
- Showcase, serialized, signature, and hyperspace cards
- Special cards (SP)
- Treasure Rare cards
- Unsupported booster DON!! price subtype
Model assumptions & evidence
Simulation order: complete product contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied only after the draw, and filtered outcomes are never replaced or backfilled.
Product snapshot
Modeled Product Structure
- Cards per pack
- 12
- Packs per booster box
- 24
- Draw order
- Complete draw, then filters
All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.
Pack & Booster Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Booster Box EV × 24 packs (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Seller fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after purchase | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break-even price (Mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Estimated ROI
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Modeled ROI vs entered cost | -- | -- | -- |
booster boxes: 0 · Price/booster box: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00
How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.
Expected contribution
Card Value Breakdown
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Products / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected cards/booster box after toggles and Sift | 0.00 | ||||||
| All modeled game-card rows | 0.00 | ||||||
| Gap to modeled card total | 0.00 | ||||||
The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.