One Piece Card Game / Booster Box

500 Years in the Future Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate this physical product's no-chase expected value with a product-, region-, language-, and printing-specific model, then compare the modeled range with your entered cost. Estimated ROI is a planning metric, not a guaranteed return.

Release
June 28, 2024
Market scope
en / North America / English North America booster box
Default singles price
TCGplayer Low
Model basis
Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy

Sealed Price / EV

Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.

Low sealed marketplace price compared with the current Mid break-even price.
MarketplaceProduct priceBreak-even priceP/EBasis

Simulation Results

Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.

Confidence band: --

Modeled contribution mix

Card Value Breakdown

See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.

Waiting for modeled rows

Card contribution data appears after prices load.Contents are drawn first; included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied afterward.
Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidenceBest Evidence — Japanese collation proxyReviewed September 4, 2026 Price coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline3 chase families excluded

Generated model: /data-static/one-piece/500-years-in-the-future/models/500-years-in-the-future-booster-box.json

Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy

Evidence

This calculator is based on Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy reviewed September 4, 2026.

Sources

Limitations

  • collation.cardsPerPack and collation.packsPerProduct: the product uses 12 cards per pack and 24 packs per English booster box; those physical wrapper counts do not establish rarity-slot probabilities.
  • collation.caseStructure: box-level hit counts and display/case correlations are unresolved for the exact English North America printing.
  • evidence.sample: null because no reviewed observation provides a complete, attributable sample with exact unit, size, method, North America printing, and observation interval.
  • pricing.coverage: exact TCGCSV identity is known, but modeled row and expected-mass coverage have not been measured.
  • Modeling policy approved 2026-09-04: every supported ordinary card in the same slot, rarity, treatment, and finish pool receives one equal positive selection weight. This is a transparent modeling assumption where the publisher or empirical sample gives pool odds but not card-level sheet weights.
  • Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy: exact English wrapper and card-price identities are combined with an owner-approved Japanese-product collation proxy because a complete English rate ledger is not published. This is an estimate, not a factory guarantee.
  • Only booster-pack slot counts and rarity probabilities are proxied. Card identities, treatments, TCGplayer Low prices, sealed-product identity, language, region, release date, and any explicitly modeled fixed bonus come from the exact English release.
  • The proxy is first-order and product-family-specific. No display or case correlation is inherited, and no target is used as a donor for another target.
  • Within each retained English rarity/treatment pool, exact positively priced card SKUs use equal positive weight where publisher sheet weights are unavailable.
  • Per 24-pack English OP-07 box proxy: 166 Common, 64 Uncommon, 39 Rare, 8 Leader, 7 Super Rare, 2 retained Secret Rare, and 2 parallel DON!! cards total exactly 288 physical cards. The seven-Super-Rare and two-DON marginals are corroborated by English box reports; unsupported premium-hit positions are conditioned onto the two regular Secret Rares. Exact low-rarity DON replacement and pack sequencing remain assumptions, not factory guarantees.
  • Replace this proxy when a complete, attributable English collation ledger or publisher rate table becomes available for the exact release.
  • Bandai's exact English OP-07 roster advertises 126 game-card types plus one DON!! type: 119 ordinary L/C/UC/R/SR/SEC identities, six Special cards, one Treasure Rare, and one DON!! card. All 119 ordinary identities remain eligible. The six Special cards, Treasure Rare, manga, and every other unsupported parallel or alternate-art game card are removed before drawing.
  • Bandai's Japanese OP-07 product has six-card packs. A reviewed single Japanese box opening covers 24 packs and counts 85 Common, 30 Uncommon, 19 Rare, 4 Leader, 4 Super Rare, and 1 Secret Rare, totaling 143 of the 144 advertised physical cards. Treating the remaining position as the product's separately catalogued DON!! type is an inference, not a source-labelled pack map. This one-box observation is evidence for the product-specific family structure, not an exact production rate table.
  • English OP-07 community observations corroborate seven regular Super Rares, two or three premium hits, and two DON!! cards per 24-pack box. The no-chase model uses eight Leaders, seven Super Rares, and two retained high-hit positions; excluded alternate-art, Special, Treasure Rare, and manga outcomes are removed and the supported high-hit positions are conditioned onto the two regular-art Secret Rares.
  • The two retained DON!! cards use exact English TCGplayer product 555894 and its Foil Low price. Products 557078 and 557080 belong only to Double Pack Set Volume 4, and product 557077 is the separate DP-04 Special DON!! Card Pack; none of those Double Pack identities enters the booster-box or embedded pack EV.
  • The English wrapper is 24 packs of 12 cards, or 288 physical cards. No reviewed source proves that DON!! packs contain a thirteenth card or identifies the exact replaced low-rarity position, so the model replaces two Common positions with the two DON!! cards as an explicit marginal assumption. The displayed box remains 288 cards, and embedded pack EV includes the average 2/24 DON!! contribution.
  • OP-07 has no fixed Box Topper, Revision Pack, purchase-campaign card, Double Pack bonus, or other box-only card in the booster-box identity. Ordinary and retained special pools use equal positive SKU weights where sheet weights are unavailable; no within-box duplicate rules, pack assignments, or case covariance are claimed.
  • No-chase redraw policy approved 2026-09-04: Curio, Enchanted, alternate-art, parallel, showcase, serialized, signature, premium-rarity, promotional, and any other card or treatment without a supported pull rate are excluded. A chase hit is redrawn from the applicable supported ordinary pool, so excluded cards occupy no modeled outcome.
  • Simulation ordering is draw the complete disclosed no-chase product first, record that draw, and only then apply Sift or another user filter. Sift never changes or backfills the completed modeled draw.

Local price snapshots

Pricing

TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.

Row coverage (reviewed)
100.0%
Modeled mass coverage (reviewed)
100.0%
Coverage observed
September 4, 2026
Low-price source
Available Via Tcgcsv

No catalog-level price fallbacks are recorded. Runtime gaps are disclosed below when data loads.

TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.

Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.

No-chase model

Chase Exclusions

Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.

  • Alternate-art, parallel, and promotional cards
  • Separate-product Double Pack DON!! cards
  • Unsupported premium or foil treatments

Model assumptions & evidence

Simulation order: complete product contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied only after the draw, and filtered outcomes are never replaced or backfilled.

Product snapshot

Modeled Product Structure

Cards per pack
12
Packs per booster box
24
Draw order
Complete draw, then filters

All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.

Pack & Booster Box EV

Pack and per-product Low, Mid, and High expected value ranges from one recalculation. Each physical unit is simulated separately. Fractional display-rate slots are coupled as needed to keep the full pack card count and preserve expected slot weights; factory pack correlations remain an approximation.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Booster Box EV × 24 packs (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Seller fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after purchase$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price (Mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Estimated ROI

Purchase Low, Mid, and High EV and estimated ROI values from the same recalculated simulation.
MetricLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
Modeled ROI vs entered cost------

booster boxes: 0 · Price/booster box: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00

How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.

Expected contribution

Card Value Breakdown

Modeled card rows, current values, fees, and expected products per copy.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValueSeller feesProducts / copy
Expected cards/booster box after toggles and Sift0.00
Preparing calculator...

The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.

Calculator Settings

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Price and Sift

EV RangeMonte CarloAdvanced

Purchase EV