One Piece Card Game / Booster Box
Awakening of the New Era Booster Box EV Calculator
Estimate this physical product's no-chase expected value with a product-, region-, language-, and printing-specific model, then compare the modeled range with your entered cost. Estimated ROI is a planning metric, not a guaranteed return.
- Release
- December 8, 2023
- Market scope
- en / North America / English North America booster box
- Default singles price
- TCGplayer Low
- Model basis
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy
Sealed Price / EV
Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.
| Marketplace | Product price | Break-even price | P/E | Basis |
|---|
Simulation Results
Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.
Confidence band: --
Modeled contribution mix
Card Value Breakdown
See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.
Waiting for modeled rows
Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidenceBest Evidence — Japanese collation proxyReviewed September 4, 2026 Price coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline3 chase families excluded
Generated model: /data-static/one-piece/awakening-of-the-new-era/models/awakening-of-the-new-era-booster-box.json
Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy
Evidence
This calculator is based on Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy reviewed September 4, 2026.
Sources
- Awakening of the New Era [OP-05] official English product page - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-03)
- TCGCSV category 68 group 23213, sealed product 498734 - TCGCSV (accessed 2026-09-03) — identity and pricing were imported into local generated artifacts; the calculator does not call the raw endpoint.
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy and ordinary-pool classification - The Expected Value (accessed 2026-09-04)
- Japanese OP-05 product contents - Bandai Co., Ltd. (accessed 2026-09-04)
- English OP-05 box contents discussion - Reddit community observation (accessed 2026-09-04)
- English OP-05 two-DON!! box observation - Reddit community observation (accessed 2026-09-04)
Limitations
- collation.cardsPerPack and collation.packsPerProduct: the product uses 12 cards per pack and 24 packs per English booster box; those physical wrapper counts do not establish rarity-slot probabilities.
- collation.caseStructure: box-level hit counts and display/case correlations are unresolved for the exact English North America printing.
- evidence.sample: null because no reviewed observation provides a complete, attributable sample with exact unit, size, method, North America printing, and observation interval.
- pricing.coverage: exact TCGCSV identity is known, but modeled row and expected-mass coverage have not been measured.
- Modeling policy approved 2026-09-04: every supported ordinary card in the same slot, rarity, treatment, and finish pool receives one equal positive selection weight. This is a transparent modeling assumption where the publisher or empirical sample gives pool odds but not card-level sheet weights.
- Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy: exact English wrapper and card-price identities are combined with an owner-approved Japanese-product collation proxy because a complete English rate ledger is not published. This is an estimate, not a factory guarantee.
- Only booster-pack slot counts and rarity probabilities are proxied. Card identities, treatments, TCGplayer Low prices, sealed-product identity, language, region, release date, and any explicitly modeled fixed bonus come from the exact English release.
- The proxy is first-order and product-family-specific. No display or case correlation is inherited, and no target is used as a donor for another target.
- Within each retained English rarity/treatment pool, exact positively priced card SKUs use equal positive weight where publisher sheet weights are unavailable.
- Per 24-pack English box proxy: 166 Common, 64 Uncommon, 39 Rare, 8 Leader, 7 Super Rare, and 2 retained Secret Rare cards fill 286 game-card positions. The standard Japanese display pattern is scaled to the double-card English wrapper, and unsupported high-hit positions are conditioned onto the retained regular-art Secret Rare pool. Two expected English parallel DON!! outcomes replace assumed Common mass inside the advertised wrapper, producing 288 modeled physical cards per display. Their exact replaced rarity and pack assignment are not documented.
- Replace this proxy when a complete, attributable English collation ledger or publisher rate table becomes available for the exact release.
- Bandai's exact English OP-05 roster advertises 126 game-card types plus one DON!! type: 119 ordinary L/C/UC/R/SR/SEC identities, six Special cards, and one 1st Anniversary Special card. It separately advertises 27+1 parallel designs. The six Special cards, anniversary treatments, mangas, signature, and all other unsupported game-card parallels remain chase-excluded.
- The two English OP-05 DON!! inserts use exact English TCGplayer product 529792 and its TCGplayer Low price. The similarly named products 530119 and 530120 belong only to Double Pack Set Volume 2 and never enter the booster-box calculator.
- English OP-05 opening evidence reports two parallel DON!! cards per 24-pack box and no regular DON!! in every pack. They are retained as two in-pack display-level inserts, so embedded pack EV includes their average 2/24 contribution while no loose-pack guarantee is claimed.
- The retained 286-game-card plus two-DON ledger is a first-order no-chase marginal: English reports corroborate eight Leaders, seven or eight Super Rares, one regular Secret Rare plus at least one unsupported premium hit, and two DON!! inserts, while the Japanese product-family pattern supplies the remaining Common/Uncommon arithmetic. Excluded premium-hit positions are normalized onto the retained regular-art Secret Rare pool before drawing.
- The displayed OP-05 box contains 288 modeled physical cards: 286 game cards plus two parallel DON!! outcomes replacing assumed Common mass. No Box Topper, Revision Pack, Double Pack DON!! card, or other box-only bonus is added.
- No-chase redraw policy approved 2026-09-04: Curio, Enchanted, alternate-art, parallel, showcase, serialized, signature, premium-rarity, promotional, and any other card or treatment without a supported pull rate are excluded. A chase hit is redrawn from the applicable supported ordinary pool, so excluded cards occupy no modeled outcome.
- Simulation ordering is draw the complete disclosed no-chase product first, record that draw, and only then apply Sift or another user filter. Sift never changes or backfills the completed modeled draw.
Local price snapshots
Pricing
TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.
- Row coverage (reviewed)
- 100.0%
- Modeled mass coverage (reviewed)
- 100.0%
- Coverage observed
- September 4, 2026
- Low-price source
- Available Via Tcgcsv
No catalog-level price fallbacks are recorded. Runtime gaps are disclosed below when data loads.
TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.
Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.
No-chase model
Chase Exclusions
Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.
- Alternate-art, parallel, and promotional cards
- Separate-product Double Pack DON!! cards
- Unsupported premium or foil treatments
Model assumptions & evidence
Simulation order: complete product contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied only after the draw, and filtered outcomes are never replaced or backfilled.
Product snapshot
Modeled Product Structure
- Cards per pack
- 12
- Packs per booster box
- 24
- Draw order
- Complete draw, then filters
All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.
Pack & Booster Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Booster Box EV × 24 packs (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Seller fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after purchase | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break-even price (Mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Estimated ROI
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Modeled ROI vs entered cost | -- | -- | -- |
booster boxes: 0 · Price/booster box: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00
How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.
Expected contribution
Card Value Breakdown
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Products / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected cards/booster box after toggles and Sift | 0.00 | ||||||
| All modeled game-card rows | 0.00 | ||||||
| Gap to modeled card total | 0.00 | ||||||
The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.