One Piece Card Game / Booster Box

Anime 25th Collection Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate this physical product's no-chase expected value with a product-, region-, language-, and printing-specific model, then compare the modeled range with your entered cost. Estimated ROI is a planning metric, not a guaranteed return.

Release
May 9, 2025
Market scope
en / North America / English North America booster box
Default singles price
TCGplayer Low
Model basis
Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy

Sealed Price / EV

Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.

Low sealed marketplace price compared with the current Mid break-even price.
MarketplaceProduct priceBreak-even priceP/EBasis

Simulation Results

Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.

Confidence band: --

Modeled contribution mix

Card Value Breakdown

See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.

Waiting for modeled rows

Card contribution data appears after prices load.Contents are drawn first; included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied afterward.
Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidenceBest Evidence — Japanese collation proxyReviewed September 4, 2026 Price coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline3 chase families excluded

Generated model: /data-static/one-piece/anime-25th-collection/models/anime-25th-collection-booster-box.json

Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy

Evidence

This calculator is based on Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy reviewed September 4, 2026.

Sources

Limitations

  • collation.cardsPerPack and collation.packsPerProduct: the product uses 12 cards per pack and 24 packs per English booster box; those physical wrapper counts do not establish rarity-slot probabilities.
  • collation.caseStructure: box-level hit counts and display/case correlations are unresolved for the exact English North America printing.
  • evidence.sample: null because no reviewed observation provides a complete, attributable sample with exact unit, size, method, North America printing, and observation interval.
  • Modeling policy approved 2026-09-04: every supported ordinary card in the same slot, rarity, treatment, and finish pool receives one equal positive selection weight. This is a transparent modeling assumption where the publisher or empirical sample gives pool odds but not card-level sheet weights.
  • EB02 assumption-only Japanese collation proxy: exact English wrapper and card-price identities are retained, but no complete EB02 English or Japanese rarity ledger was established. Expected box marginals of 240 Common, 39 Rare, 4 Leader, 4 Super Rare and 1 regular Secret Rare total 288 physical positions. These are explicit generic assumptions, including regular Secret Rare conditioning, not measured EB02 pull rates or a factory guarantee. No other set's observations are used as EB02 evidence.
  • The exact English ordinary roster is EB02-001 through EB02-061: 29 Common, 21 Rare, 1 Leader, 9 Super Rare and 1 Secret Rare. C and Leader use Normal finish; R, SR and SEC use Foil. The advertised 87 card types include 26 Special leader reprints carrying EB01/OP05/OP06/OP07/OP08 numbers. Those exact gold-foil treatments are not ordinary reprints or 26 extra ordinary Leader choices. All 61 retained exact English SKUs require positive TCGplayer Low; missing ordinary prices fail classification instead of shrinking the pool. Equal per-card weights within each rarity/finish pool are assumptions. No Japanese card prices enter this model.
  • The first-hand Japanese EB02 two-box opening published January 25, 2025 shows Rare, theme-song Rare, SR and parallel results but no complete Common/Leader inventory or pack sequence. The English EB02 two-case selected-hit report has an EB01 typo in its opening sentence, corrected hit-count inconsistencies, no full C/R/Leader inventory, no exact North America printing wave and no precise opening interval. Its six-SR and four-SEC-per-case assertions are not adopted as a complete rate ledger. Neither partial opening establishes every retained slot, replacement relationship or case guarantee; evidence.sample remains null.
  • The English publisher's wrapper image says twelve cards; the exact English retail box listing corroborates twenty-four boosters. The Japanese six-card wrapper is not the English product. Each synthetic English pack draws ten Common, one assumed guaranteed Rare and one upgrade at 15/24 Rare, 4/24 Leader, 4/24 Super Rare and 1/24 regular Secret Rare. Slot placement and all rarity probabilities are assumptions. Independent draws preserve expected marginals, not guaranteed box counts, no-duplicate rules or case seeding. Draw all 288 positions before Sift and user filters; filters never backfill. Embedded pack EV is box EV divided by 24.
  • All 44 exact unsupported premium SKUs are absent before drawing: 26 Special gold-foil leader reprints plus 18 alternate-art/Manga variants. Normalize retained outcomes within each applicable slot. Regular Leader Luffy 629100 and regular Secret Rare Luffy 629165 remain eligible; their premiums 629101, 629166 and 629167 never occupy zero-EV positions. Unpriced Special leaders 629086, 629171, 629184 and 629188 are intentionally excluded premiums, not ordinary coverage gaps. EB02 has no separate collector product, so this documented no-chase baseline applies to its booster box. No DON!! card is published in this product's roster or present in the English group. Do not import another release's ordinary/Gold DON, invent a thirteenth card or add an unsupported topper, purchase, release-event or tournament bonus.
  • No-chase redraw policy approved 2026-09-04: Curio, Enchanted, alternate-art, parallel, showcase, serialized, signature, premium-rarity, promotional, and any other card or treatment without a supported pull rate are excluded. A chase hit is redrawn from the applicable supported ordinary pool, so excluded cards occupy no modeled outcome.
  • Simulation ordering is draw the complete disclosed no-chase product first, record that draw, and only then apply Sift or another user filter. Sift never changes or backfills the completed modeled draw.

Local price snapshots

Pricing

TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.

Row coverage (reviewed)
100.0%
Modeled mass coverage (reviewed)
100.0%
Coverage observed
September 4, 2026
Low-price source
Available Via Tcgcsv

No catalog-level price fallbacks are recorded. Runtime gaps are disclosed below when data loads.

TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.

Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.

No-chase model

Chase Exclusions

Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.

  • Manga alternate-art cards
  • Special gold-foil leader reprints
  • Unsupported alternate-art cards

Model assumptions & evidence

Simulation order: complete product contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied only after the draw, and filtered outcomes are never replaced or backfilled.

Product snapshot

Modeled Product Structure

Cards per pack
12
Packs per booster box
24
Draw order
Complete draw, then filters

All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.

Pack & Booster Box EV

Pack and per-product Low, Mid, and High expected value ranges from one recalculation. Each physical unit is simulated separately. Fractional display-rate slots are coupled as needed to keep the full pack card count and preserve expected slot weights; factory pack correlations remain an approximation.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Booster Box EV × 24 packs (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Seller fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after purchase$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price (Mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Estimated ROI

Purchase Low, Mid, and High EV and estimated ROI values from the same recalculated simulation.
MetricLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
Modeled ROI vs entered cost------

booster boxes: 0 · Price/booster box: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00

How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.

Expected contribution

Card Value Breakdown

Modeled card rows, current values, fees, and expected products per copy.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValueSeller feesProducts / copy
Expected cards/booster box after toggles and Sift0.00
Preparing calculator...

The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.

Calculator Settings

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Price and Sift

EV RangeMonte CarloAdvanced

Purchase EV