Flesh and Blood

Part the Mistveil Booster Display EV

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Part the Mistveil booster displays using generated TCGplayer prices and a complete 384-position model.

Model assumptions & evidence

Estimated baseline. Each display contains 24 sixteen-card packs. Published pack counts, approximately 1/24 Cold Foils and 1/15 Expansion cards are combined with disclosed estimates for the remaining rarity and finish rates. One token is guaranteed; the other back position draws a token, Expansion card, Cold Foil (including Marvel), or Rainbow Foil Legendary/Fabled. Separate Gold Pack bonuses and LGS promos are excluded. Missing prices remain unknown. Full contents are drawn before Sift or user filters, without reroll or backfill. Publisher specifications.

24 packs / display 16 cards / pack Estimated recipe: 11 Commons • 1 Rare • 1 Rare/Majestic • 1 Rainbow Foil • 1 token • 1 back slot

Estimated baseline.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Per-row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Changing this can materially shift EV when marketplace prices are stale or sparse.
Sift is applied to the 16 drawn cards per pack (post‑draw, after the equipment/token slot). $0 cards (tokens) only count when Sift = 0.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.

Purchase EV

Sealed Price / EV

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Sealed booster box price compared with this calculator's mid break-even EV.
Source Box price Break-even price/box (mid) P/E Basis
TCGplayer Loading... -- -- Low sealed price when available.
eBay Loading... -- -- Low sealed price when available.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Simulated booster display EV (24 packs, gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00
Auto-loading generated card data…
Token/Expansion slot replaces the token with Expansion Slot content around 1/15 packs; tokens contribute $0 EV. CF ≈1/24 is a publisher headline rate. Marvel ≈1/100, RF Legendary ≈1/96 and Majestic total ≈1/4 are retained scenario assumptions. The separate Gold Pack bonus is excluded, not an occupied zero-valued ordinary-booster branch.

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level EV, fees, profit, and ROI across low, mid, and high estimates.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Content snapshot

Display Content Snapshot

Pack contents are drawn first; Sift is applied only after the opened cards are known.

Packs
24 / display
Cards
16 / pack
Modeled cards
384 cards
EV rows
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Pack Structure

Product model
  1. Estimated recipe: 11 Commons
  2. 1 Rare
  3. 1 Rare/Majestic
  4. 1 Rainbow Foil
  5. 1 token
  6. 1 back slot

Every slot is resolved before value filtering; excluded outcomes are never backfilled.

Top EV Contributors

After post-draw Sift
  1. Loading card contributions…
Part the Mistveil card EV rows with rarity, treatment, value, fees, and expected boxes per copy.
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value ($) Seller fees Boxes / copy