Flesh and Blood

Mastery Pack Guardian Booster Display EV

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Mastery Pack Guardian booster displays using live TCGplayer market prices via TCGCSV. This calculator models product-specific slot composition, rarity weighting, and treatment pools to produce realistic EV and variance projections.

Model assumptions & evidence

Each sealed display is simulated pack-by-pack using the configured slot behavior shown below. Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.

Set theme: Mastery Pack Guardian is themed around signature heroes, class identities, and chase treatments that define this Flesh and Blood release.

12 packs / display 13 cards / pack Slots: 9 Commons (NF) • 1 Rare/Majestic (NF) • 1 Equipment (NF) • 1 Token (0 EV) • 1 Rainbow/Cold Foil

Set theme: Mastery Pack Guardian is themed around signature heroes, class identities, and chase treatments that define this Flesh and Blood release.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Per-row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Changing this can materially shift EV when marketplace prices are stale or sparse.
Sift is applied to the 13 drawn cards per pack (post-draw). Ordinary Token positions are intentionally excluded from value under this model; premium Marvel tokens remain in their Cold Foil bucket. Missing prices never change the drawn pools.
Marvel Cold Foils are included in baseline EV using the page model's Cold Foil bucket weighting.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.

Purchase EV

Sealed Price / EV

Advertising disclosure: The Expected Value may earn commissions from qualifying purchases made through affiliate links. Programs used by the site include TCGplayer, Mana Pool, the eBay Partner Network, and Amazon Associates. As an Amazon Associate, The Expected Value earns from qualifying purchases.

Sealed booster box price compared with this calculator's mid break-even EV.
Source Box price Break-even price/box (mid) P/E Basis
TCGplayer Loading... -- -- Low sealed price when available.
eBay Loading... -- -- Low sealed price when available.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Simulated booster display EV (12 packs, gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00
Auto-loading generated card data…
LSS publishes the broad 13-card pack buckets. Exact Rare/Majestic, Equipment, Rainbow Foil, Cold Foil, and Marvel Cold Foil branch weights below are page model assumptions layered onto those buckets.

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level EV, fees, profit, and ROI across low, mid, and high estimates.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Content snapshot

Display Content Snapshot

Pack contents are drawn first; Sift is applied only after the opened cards are known.

Packs
12 / display
Cards
13 / pack
Modeled cards
156 cards
EV rows
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Pack Structure

Product model
  1. 9 Commons (NF)
  2. 1 Rare/Majestic (NF)
  3. 1 Equipment (NF)
  4. 1 Token (0 EV)
  5. 1 Rainbow/Cold Foil

Every slot is resolved before value filtering; excluded outcomes are never backfilled.

Top EV Contributors

After post-draw Sift
  1. Loading card contributions…
Mastery Pack Guardian card values, treatments, seller fees, and modeled pull frequency.
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value ($) Seller fees Boxes / copy