Flesh and Blood

Heavy Hitters Booster Display EV

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Heavy Hitters booster displays using live TCGplayer market prices via TCGCSV. This calculator models product-specific slot composition, rarity weighting, and treatment pools to produce realistic EV and variance projections.

Model assumptions & evidence

Each sealed display is simulated pack-by-pack using the configured slot behavior shown below. Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.

Set theme: Heavy Hitters is themed around signature heroes, class identities, and chase treatments that define this Flesh and Blood release.

Generated: November 06, 2025 • 10:25 PM (America/Chicago)
24 packs / display 16 cards / pack Slots: 11C (NF) • 1 Rare (NF) • 1 Rare+ (R/SR/M NF) • 1 RF • 1 Special (Basic | CF | Marvel | Expansion) • 1 Token

Set theme: Heavy Hitters is themed around signature heroes, class identities, and chase treatments that define this Flesh and Blood release.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Per-row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Changing this can materially shift EV when marketplace prices are stale or sparse.
Sift is applied to the 16 drawn cards per pack (post‑draw). $0 cards (Basic/Token) only count when Sift = 0.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.

Purchase EV

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Simulated booster display EV (24 packs, gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00
Auto-loading generated card data…
A display contains 24 packs of 16 cards. All ten HVY245-254 normal Expansion cards share the retained Expansion branch; uniform allocation and its 1/15 rate remain assumptions. Full EV is held because ordinary Cold Foils are omitted and premium-slot rates need reconciliation. LSS lists Cold Foil 1/24 and Marvel 1/192; the Fabled/Legendary split and RF allocation are assumptions. Draw the full product before Sift, without reroll or backfill.

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level EV, fees, profit, and ROI across low, mid, and high estimates.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Content snapshot

Display Content Snapshot

Pack contents are drawn first; Sift is applied only after the opened cards are known.

Packs
24 / display
Cards
16 / pack
Modeled cards
384 cards
EV rows
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Pack Structure

Product model
  1. 11C (NF)
  2. 1 Rare (NF)
  3. 1 Rare+ (R/SR/M NF)
  4. 1 RF
  5. 1 Special (Basic | CF | Marvel | Expansion)
  6. 1 Token

Every slot is resolved before value filtering; excluded outcomes are never backfilled.

Top EV Contributors

After post-draw Sift
  1. Loading card contributions…
Heavy Hitters card EV rows with rarity, treatment, value, fees, and expected boxes per copy.
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value ($) Seller fees Boxes / copy