Flesh and Blood

Tales of Aria [Unlimited] Booster Display EV

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Tales of Aria [Unlimited] booster displays using live TCGplayer market prices via TCGCSV. This calculator models product-specific slot composition, rarity weighting, and treatment pools to produce realistic EV and variance projections.

Model assumptions & evidence

Each sealed display is simulated pack-by-pack using the configured slot behavior shown below. Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.

Model assumptions: This Unlimited display contains 24 packs of 16 cards: twelve commons, one rare, one rare-or-majestic, one rainbow foil and one token. Cold foils and First Edition-only treatments are outside this product. Legendary rainbow foil uses the published 1:88 anchor. The retained 25% nonfoil Majestic branch, rainbow-foil remainder by eligible printing counts, and uniform choices within pools are modeling assumptions. The six regular short prints are weighted at 40%. The Fabled outcome remains excluded because its pull rate is unpublished; no separate Collector product is available. The token position is drawn with zero resale value. Missing selected prices prevent full-product EV.

Set theme: Tales of Aria [Unlimited] is themed around signature heroes, class identities, and chase treatments that define this Flesh and Blood release.

24 packs / display 16 cards / pack Slots: 12C (NF) • 1 Rare (NF) • 1 Rare+ (R/M NF) • 1 RF • 1 Token

Model assumptions: This Unlimited display contains 24 packs of 16 cards: twelve commons, one rare, one rare-or-majestic, one rainbow foil and one token.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Per-row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Changing this can materially lower EV if Market/Mid are stale. “Min” is most conservative.
Sift is applied to the 16 drawn cards per pack (post-draw). $0 token cards only count when Sift = 0.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.

Purchase EV

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Simulated booster display EV (24 packs, gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00
Auto-loading generated card data…
Token slot: 1 zero-value token per pack; Unlimited has no Cold Foil slot. Legendary is modeled at the LSS 1/88 overall rate and assigned to RF Legendary rows; nonfoil Majestic uses the 1/4 Rare+ headline while Rainbow Foil is modeled separately. Korshem, Crossroad of Elements is visible when present but excluded from baseline EV because no published Unlimited pack path is available. The six nonfoil Majestic short-print weights (ELE003, ELE034, ELE112-114, and ELE223 at 0.4x) follow the publisher statement that these cards appear 60% less often. The Rainbow Foil remainder allocation and interpretation of the headline Majestic rate across finishes remain modeling assumptions.

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level expected value, fees, net value, profit, and return across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Content snapshot

Display Content Snapshot

Pack contents are drawn first; Sift is applied only after the opened cards are known.

Packs
24 / display
Cards
16 / pack
Modeled cards
384 cards
EV rows
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Pack Structure

Product model
  1. 12C (NF)
  2. 1 Rare (NF)
  3. 1 Rare+ (R/M NF)
  4. 1 RF
  5. 1 Token

Every slot is resolved before value filtering; excluded outcomes are never backfilled.

Top EV Contributors

After post-draw Sift
  1. Loading card contributions…
Tales of Aria Unlimited expected value rows by card, rarity, treatment, price, fees, and boxes per copy.
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value ($) Seller fees Boxes / copy