Flesh and Blood

Dusk till Dawn Booster Display EV

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Dusk till Dawn booster displays using live TCGplayer market prices via TCGCSV. This calculator models product-specific slot composition, rarity weighting, and treatment pools to produce realistic EV and variance projections.

Model assumptions & evidence

Each sealed display is simulated pack-by-pack using the configured slot behavior shown below. Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.

Model assumptions: The publisher specifies 24 packs of 10 cards, seven commons, two rare-or-higher slots and one rainbow foil, with a cold foil replacing a rare about once per display. Finish-specific rarity allocations, equal weighting within cold-foil pools and the seven 40% regular short-print weights below are retained modeling assumptions pending verification. Fabled and Marvel odds are not established by their catalog counts. Price coverage alone does not verify these probabilities.

Set theme: Dusk till Dawn is themed around signature heroes, class identities, and chase treatments that define this Flesh and Blood release.

24 packs / display 10 cards / pack Slots: 7C (NF) • 1 Rare/Cold Foil replacement slot • 1 Rare+ (R/M/L NF) • 1 Rainbow Foil (C/R/M/L/F)

Set theme: Dusk till Dawn is themed around signature heroes, class identities, and chase treatments that define this Flesh and Blood release.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Per-row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Changing this can materially lower EV if Market/Mid are stale. “Min” is most conservative.
Sift is applied to the 10 drawn cards per pack (post-draw).

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.

Purchase EV

US Sealed Price / EV

Compares marketplace low sealed booster box prices to this calculator's break-even price/box after fees.

Sealed booster box price to break-even EV comparison by marketplace.
Marketplace Box price Break-even price/box (mid) P/E Basis
TCGplayer Loading... -- -- Low sealed price when available.
eBay -- -- -- Marketplace link available; synced sealed low price when available.
Loading sealed booster display price...

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Simulated booster display EV (24 packs, gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00
Auto-loading generated card data…
Cold Foil replaces the Rare slot at about 1/24 packs; Legendary ≈1/64 across all finishes; named regular short prints are modeled at 40% of normal frequency.

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level expected value, fees, profit, and return across all boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Content snapshot

Display Content Snapshot

Pack contents are drawn first; Sift is applied only after the opened cards are known.

Packs
24 / display
Cards
10 / pack
Modeled cards
240 cards
EV rows
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Pack Structure

Product model
  1. 7C (NF)
  2. 1 Rare/Cold Foil replacement slot
  3. 1 Rare+ (R/M/L NF)
  4. 1 Rainbow Foil (C/R/M/L/F)

Every slot is resolved before value filtering; excluded outcomes are never backfilled.

Top EV Contributors

After post-draw Sift
  1. Loading card contributions…
Dusk till Dawn expected value rows by card, rarity, treatment, price, fees, and boxes per copy.
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value ($) Seller fees Boxes / copy

Serialized artist-sketch Cold Foils are intentionally excluded from baseline EV.