Flesh and Blood

History Pack 1 Booster Display EV

Estimate the expected value (EV) of History Pack 1 booster displays using live TCGplayer market prices via TCGCSV. This calculator models product-specific slot composition, rarity weighting, and treatment pools to produce realistic EV and variance projections.

Model assumptions & evidence

Each sealed display is simulated pack-by-pack using the configured slot behavior shown below. Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.

Set theme: History Pack 1 is themed around signature heroes, class identities, and chase treatments that define this Flesh and Blood release.

36 packs / display 10 cards / pack Slots: 8C (NF) • 1 Rare (NF) • 1 Rare+ (R/M/L NF)

Set theme: History Pack 1 is themed around signature heroes, class identities, and chase treatments that define this Flesh and Blood release.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Per-row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Changing this can materially lower EV if Market/Mid are stale. “Min” is most conservative.
Sift is applied to the 10 drawn cards per pack (post‑draw). $0 rows only count when Sift = 0.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.

Purchase EV

US Sealed Price / EV

Compares marketplace low sealed booster box prices to this calculator's break-even price/box after fees.

Sealed booster box price to break-even EV comparison by marketplace.
Marketplace Box price Break-even price/box (mid) P/E Basis
TCGplayer Loading... -- -- Low sealed price when available.
eBay -- -- -- Marketplace link available; synced sealed low price when available.
Loading sealed booster display price...

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Simulated booster display EV (36 packs, gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)———
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00
Auto-loading generated card data…
History Pack 1 has no foils in this white-border model. The official English 427-card checklist contains 238 Commons, 118 Rares, 62 Majestics, and 9 Legendaries; all are modeled in their printed rarity pools. The ten manufacturer-listed short-print Majestics have half the individual weight of other Majestics, normalized within their slot. See the publisher checklist.

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level expected value, fees, profit, and return across all boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Content snapshot

Display Content Snapshot

Pack contents are drawn first; Sift is applied only after the opened cards are known.

Packs
36 / display
Cards
10 / pack
Modeled cards
360 cards
EV rows
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Pack Structure

Product model
  1. 8C (NF)
  2. 1 Rare (NF)
  3. 1 Rare+ (R/M/L NF)

Every slot is resolved before value filtering; excluded outcomes are never backfilled.

Top EV Contributors

After post-draw Sift
  1. Loading card contributions…
History Pack Vol.1 expected value rows by card, rarity, treatment, price, fees, and boxes per copy.
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value ($) Seller fees Boxes / copy